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Blue's Clues to Trading: Timing Levels and Behaviour of Price

  • #401
  • Oct 5, 2025 5:58pm Oct 5, 2025 5:58pm
Euro Futures 820 Open time..Not 930 NY
IB is 820-920 these levels will play out through out NY close and thru Asia/UK Globex.

Same with Yen and Pound.

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Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #402
  • Oct 5, 2025 6:01pm Oct 5, 2025 6:01pm
Yen Futures 820 NY Open
IB 820-920 establishes range until next NY Open

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Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #403
  • Oct 5, 2025 6:04pm Oct 5, 2025 6:04pm
Ye Old Pound 820 NY Open
IB 820-920 NY

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Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #404
  • Oct 5, 2025 6:10pm Oct 5, 2025 6:10pm
Quoting bluesteele
Ye Old Pound 820 NY Open IB 820-920 NY {image} {image} {image}
Those TradingView charts are clean.
Life itself is a privilege, but to live life to the fullest is a choice
  • #405
  • Oct 5, 2025 6:58pm Oct 5, 2025 6:58pm
Quoting vidvad
{quote} Those TradingView charts are clean.
It just never ceases to amaze me how the market reacts/behaves at these levels.

If traders can understand that these are volume time based levels. That represent where the majority of volume is/orders are at.... That present the same day in day out. And that they represent Balance and Imbalance...

Then one can design themselves setups or use existing time tested ones based on these.

Chris Drysdale's 4 core setups work like a hot darn is all I can say.. Lock step with me.

You know I was thinking yesterday..( I do that occasionally) how many hours of chart time do I have...and it must be well over that 40k hours #.. probably 50k+++ ?

And I only say that as still to this day I am amazed at the charts...

As they say..Do what you love and you will never work a day in your life !
Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #406
  • Oct 5, 2025 8:01pm Oct 5, 2025 8:01pm
Sunday night scalping. M1 line on close chart ... "Look, Ma! No wicks"

Short: back inside value, fade the failure to break back into "price discovery."

Long: VWAP bounce baby!

+21 points without breaking a sweat.


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Life itself is a privilege, but to live life to the fullest is a choice
  • #407
  • Oct 5, 2025 8:33pm Oct 5, 2025 8:33pm
Quoting vidvad
Sunday night scalping. M1 line on close chart ... "Look, Ma! No wicks" Short: back inside value, fade the failure to break back into "price discovery." Long: VWAP bounce baby! +21 points without breaking a sweat. {image}

Boom Bang ! $ 420!!! Nice shooting !!!! Pulling up a NQ chart here in minute ..alot going on tonight lol...

Woulda shudda coulda....in the midst of making a little sunday night turkey dinner,,,,putting up a new Blink camera
and posting charts... I missed out on Gold. Mind you the move was earlier than normal at 7 vs 8-9ish...

10k GC contracts traded in 10mins is a Volume Anomaly now the whole Globex has traded 37k con...approx..wow

Anyways,,,cant go wrong buying/selling a volume spike like this in Asia...and its a prime example of
anchoring VWAP to volume anomalys..These will often give great VAH VAL levels to trade from..
and sure as the Full Moon....yep

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Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #408
  • Oct 5, 2025 8:41pm Oct 5, 2025 8:41pm
Quoting vidvad
Sunday night scalping. M1 line on close chart ... "Look, Ma! No wicks" Short: back inside value, fade the failure to break back into "price discovery." Long: VWAP bounce baby! +21 points without breaking a sweat. {image}
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Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #409
  • Oct 5, 2025 9:12pm Oct 5, 2025 9:12pm
Quoting bluesteele
{quote} Boom Bang ! $ 420!!! Nice shooting !!!! Pulling up a NQ chart here in minute ..alot going on tonight lol... Woulda shudda coulda....in the midst of making a little sunday night turkey dinner,,,,putting up a new Blink camera and posting charts... I missed out on Gold. Mind you the move was earlier than normal at 7 vs 8-9ish... 10k GC contracts traded in 10mins is a Volume Anomaly now the whole Globex has traded 37k con...approx..wow Anyways,,,cant go wrong buying/selling a volume spike like this in Asia...and its a prime example of anchoring...
When Price is in balance Between 1SD H/L we fade VAH VAL....
When Price breaks thru 1SD holds /retests/ it then is IMBALANCED
we trade the initial retest/confirmation.... (Outlined on chart)

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Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #410
  • Oct 5, 2025 9:23pm Oct 5, 2025 9:23pm
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Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #411
  • Oct 6, 2025 4:32am Oct 6, 2025 4:32am
Quoting bluesteele
{quote} {image} {image} {image}
Wot are those yellow lines please ?
every Saint has a past. Every Sinner has a Future
  • #412
  • Oct 6, 2025 6:07am Oct 6, 2025 6:07am
Quoting bluesteele
{image}
Hi Blue

I saw that setup - Unfortunately I was on a Call to my broker in Chicago about a Data issue so missed it.

Another trade Setup I look for when trading VWAP / Volume Profile are OUTLIER's.
These are just trades that don't fit in to expected PA, normally cascading Stop runs that are just waiting to be faded.
I use a few tools on my Execution screen to nail these setups - Just wait for Buyers to enter on Bearish Stop Runs and a setup you can't lose on.
I may lose on the first attempt but normally the Win on 2nd or 3rd attempt is often huge.

I took those two Stop run setups, the second chart is the smaller one.

Cheers

PS. A fantastic Stop Run just occurred on NQ - I just caught a small piece on the way down (Loss trade 1 - Nailed trades 2 & 3)
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Trading thin liquidity at the boundary of the charts
  • #413
  • Oct 6, 2025 6:18am Oct 6, 2025 6:18am
Quoting RickM
{quote} Hi Blue I saw that setup - Unfortunately I was on a Call to my broker in Chicago about a Data issue so missed it. Another trade Setup I look for when trading VWAP / Volume Profile are OUTLIER's. These are just trades that don't fit in to expected PA, normally cascading Stop runs that are just waiting to be faded. I use a few tools on my Execution screen to nail these setups - Just wait for Buyers to enter on Bearish Stop Runs and a setup you can't lose on. I may lose on the first attempt but normally the Win on 2nd or 3rd attempt is often...
Actually, one of my favourite setups. Most of the times, key factors are:
1. the price moves too far too fast
2. with significant acceleration
3. accompanied with abnormal volume flushes

These variables are measurable in different ways, based on one's toolkit. Most people are scared to buy/sell at the these "panic" moves, but if you know what you are looking for, there is huge amount to be made.
  • #414
  • Oct 6, 2025 9:50am Oct 6, 2025 9:50am
ES with a different spin...

LVN Low Volume Nodes...

With Vol Profile the longer the Composite profile the more mmm stable the POC VAH VAL are.
When using strictly a session they will move around..

So anchoring to Fridays market Vol profile and VWAP.

The good thing about VWAP is those VAH VAL lines are set...they wont fluctuate like VOL Profile VAH VAL etc.

So the low vol node I had marker before the session comes into play alongside VWAP 1SD for a easy lay up.
Think of a LVN where little business has been done and they more often than not reject price or blow thru.

Great gold action this mornin !

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Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #415
  • Oct 6, 2025 8:23pm Oct 6, 2025 8:23pm
IYKYK

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Life itself is a privilege, but to live life to the fullest is a choice
  • #416
  • Oct 6, 2025 8:42pm Oct 6, 2025 8:42pm
Quoting vidvad
IYKYK {image}
100% yep...

More to say in a minute
Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #417
  • Oct 6, 2025 9:37pm Oct 6, 2025 9:37pm
Quoting vidvad
IYKYK {image}
Thoughts....It is my firm belief that a retail traders best chance at success lies within understanding
,,,even a simple understanding of Value thru the lens of AMT Auction Mkt Theory basics incorporating
Volume Profile VWAP IB .

Last nights Gold was a great example of this.... Simple terms 10k Gold contracts were traded in 10 minutes.
An anomaly and GOld shot up...Which we all know thats the path its on.

Price does not move without Volume thats a fact...
Volume is the Author of Price...If you want to read Price learn to read volume..Even say an intermediate understanding
you will leapfrog your trading...when you combine it with AMT Value etc


VWAP..."Today, virtually all trades executed by institutional investors are in the form of program trades, such as VWAP..." Ken Griffin
It is THE BENCHMARK METRIC for all institutions to grade performance... VWAP is the Average price of all executed orders.

When you understand VALUE and how VWAP represents that you can start finding edge. We all know markets mostly range,
75-80% they say and the rest we are trending....

Soooooo heres an idea.... Trade from the OUTSIDE...Trade From Extremes... Trade from VAH VAL...think about this.

If the market is in balance Fair Value and price is at the edge of value...such as VAH VAL...It might be more probabilistic that
you find success at these edges.

Perhaps im saying to much
SO lets take a look at Gold. Absolutely Precise clearly defined setups.
Based on AMT on Value....

It's all over the news even major hedge fund owners..saying how the flight to GOld from the dollar is very prevalent
worldwide... SO IF INSTITUTIONS were to be BUYING gold...Wheres one spot we know they would buy ? Yes VWAP

IYKYK is all I can really say.... Learn who AUTHORS PRICE..Because its not Candlesticks...

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Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #418
  • Edited Oct 7, 2025 6:37am Oct 6, 2025 9:50pm | Edited Oct 7, 2025 6:37am
Maaaaaaaaaaaan, you getting too excited..Blue says, "Learn who AUTHORS PRICE..Because its not Candlesticks..."

Wrong.

Blue, you are making absolute statements like this and I can not not respond...here is today head and shoulders on 5 Min TF ES Futures, Pure Candlesticks action. No Volume or any delayed indicators ever needed. I trade patterns made out of pure Candlesticks action every day. Short Entry where the dashed line is.

There are another 2 pure candlestick patterns on this chart that can be traded successfully.
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  • #419
  • Oct 6, 2025 11:38pm Oct 6, 2025 11:38pm
Imbalance to,,,,,,,
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Balance to,,,,,,,
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Same setup as above selling the edge of Value
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Markets are Mirrors,,Mastery of craft is mastery of self
  • #420
  • Oct 7, 2025 3:29am Oct 7, 2025 3:29am
For those (like me) that still use MT4, a VWAP indicator that you can anchor to a time of your choosing.
Normally they are fixed at your brokers start time of day, which may not be the US Open.

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