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  • #216,281
  • Sep 30, 2025 5:08pm Sep 30, 2025 5:08pm
If the bulls continue,
I expect it to reach at least 1.17973 today....
Happy Wednesday to all and good trading
"No pain no gain"
  • #216,282
  • Sep 30, 2025 5:17pm Sep 30, 2025 5:17pm
I have resistance on Chart H1 1.17463
"No pain no gain"
  • #216,283
  • Sep 30, 2025 5:48pm Sep 30, 2025 5:48pm
On the D1 chart, I have this setup for today's candle... What do you think... is this really wave five?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_D1_20250930_194343_0000.png Size: 154 KB

I wouldn't be surprised if it hits the yellow line...
"No pain no gain"
  • #216,284
  • Sep 30, 2025 5:50pm Sep 30, 2025 5:50pm
Government shutdown seems very likely, based upon the last 3 gov shutdowns it looks like a great time to go long...long @ 1.17338. Go bulls go!
  • #216,285
  • Sep 30, 2025 5:51pm Sep 30, 2025 5:51pm
Price movement is expected to be within the market range. Today, I am awaiting the release of US economic data, the ADP report, and PMI data.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD 1 10 2025 H1.png Size: 10 KB
I trade at FXOpen
  • #216,286
  • Sep 30, 2025 6:49pm Sep 30, 2025 6:49pm
If the price drops, I have a buy limit entry at 1.17190... Main support is at 1.17185
"No pain no gain"
  • #216,287
  • Sep 30, 2025 7:10pm Sep 30, 2025 7:10pm
Quoting JBRolim
If the price drops, I have a buy limit entry at 1.17190... Main support is at 1.17185
have something similiar on my chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_5961.jpeg Size: 447 KB
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #216,288
  • Edited 11:33pm Sep 30, 2025 10:43pm | Edited 11:33pm
Good day
Side lined for now.
Which way? The Big Question? Seems that 1.17615 was double tested and rejected.
I was expecting 1.17850 IDK if we will get there
I am looking to see what happens on this trend line break. or are we just moving in this channel
I am expecting a break for now below 1.17295 and will look for a short if it holds.
Seems downside may be possible today, if this breaks - London will probably decide the direction
Here is my chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 55 KB
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #216,289
  • Edited 11:12pm Sep 30, 2025 10:48pm | Edited 11:12pm
Open Position Here (Buy), Setting my TP to 1.17719
-Based on a 1H OB, 4H Imbalance, US10Y Bullishness and DXY Bullishness, 1H SMT as well as the market structure itself.
  • #216,290
  • Sep 30, 2025 11:35pm Sep 30, 2025 11:35pm
Hi hope y'all are doing great.

Today is the Wednesday of a NFP week, we might experience a manipulation.

I'm watching that iSiBi above the -BRK after a -MSS. I'll go short if the price rejects and close below it

The fib is a Daily Wick graded into quadrants, if the price closed above the 1.17470 Wick C.E I'll be on the sideline 'cause it might be reaching for the REHs
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot 2025-10-01 002659.png Size: 14 KB
  • #216,291
  • Sep 30, 2025 11:35pm Sep 30, 2025 11:35pm
Quoting DeJaBlue
Good day Side lined for now. Which way? The Big Question? Seems that 1.17615 was double tested and rejected. I was expecting 1.17850 IDK if we will get there I am looking to see what happens on this trend line break. or are we just moving in this channel I am expecting a break for now below 1.17295 and will look for a short if it holds. Seems downside may be possible today, if this breaks - London will probably decide the direction Here is my chart {image}
That escalated quickly, will wait and see what happens with London, too late to jump in on long now
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #216,292
  • Sep 30, 2025 11:42pm Sep 30, 2025 11:42pm
Quoting DeJaBlue
{quote} That escalated quickly, will wait and see what happens with London, too late to jump in on long now
Watch out for Judas Swing. Might seems like its running but reverses quickly
  • #216,293
  • Sep 30, 2025 11:51pm Sep 30, 2025 11:51pm
Quoting Dy9MiteFx
Hi hope y'all are doing great. Today is the Wednesday of a NFP week, we might experience a manipulation. I'm watching that iSiBi above the -BRK after a -MSS. I'll go short if the price rejects and close below it The fib is a Daily Wick graded into quadrants, if the price closed above the 1.17470 Wick C.E I'll be on the sideline 'cause it might be reaching for the REHs {image}
Buys look better, let's see if the REHs @1.17620 get tag
  • #216,294
  • Sep 30, 2025 11:57pm Sep 30, 2025 11:57pm
Trend is now continuing up
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 30 KB
ADAPT FAST OR LOSE ALL
  • #216,295
  • Oct 1, 2025 12:12am Oct 1, 2025 12:12am
Quoting adrielt
{quote} still in my long, same short pending orders at longs tp
https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...l?d=1759210064
SL - Still safe and running in profit as below
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 18 KB
  • #216,296
  • Oct 1, 2025 12:13am Oct 1, 2025 12:13am
EURO is waiting for next big news before the gerat move we all are wiating, Euro seems to be posed to go down after the next interest rate news.
  • #216,297
  • Oct 1, 2025 12:59am Oct 1, 2025 12:59am
Potential US GOV SHUTDOWN at 12:01 AM Today, this will push EURUSD BULLISH, debating whether or not I remove my sell limits above 1.17804, analysts are suggesting that for every week the government is shutdown, 0.1% of GDP is Lost, this is extremely bullish.
  • #216,298
  • Oct 1, 2025 1:01am Oct 1, 2025 1:01am
Today I’m still leaning toward the sell side. I really don’t like that bullish one-hour candle (an engulfing one before London opened), since it’s pushing against the last two days’ highs(body closure vs body closure). For now, I’ll probably just watch the market, as I’m feeling a bit too indecisive from my own perspective.
Let s smash some pips today bros!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ff1.png Size: 39 KB
HOF: https://www.forexfactory.com/eelfranz https://www.forexfactory.com/ata
  • #216,299
  • Oct 1, 2025 1:25am Oct 1, 2025 1:25am
Quoting qefeqfqfq3fg
Potential US GOV SHUTDOWN at 12:01 AM Today, this will push EURUSD BULLISH, debating whether or not I remove my sell limits above 1.17804, analysts are suggesting that for every week the government is shutdown, 0.1% of GDP is Lost, this is extremely bullish.
Already in a Buy Position Since 1.17376

My 2 Cents on the US Gov Shutdown. Based on previous US Government Shutdowns, in 2018-2019 (35 Day Shutdown) DXY dropped -0.8% which translates to a +200+250 Pip rise over the shutdown period, however the moves weren't straight up - it was choppy with pullbacks. I'm expecting 50-150 Pip rise if the shutdown is 1-2 weeks, for 3-5 weeks im expecting 150-250 Pips >5 weeks could push EURUSD up 300+ Pips, beynd that other macro forces (ECB, Fed Policy, global risk sentiment matter more than just the shutdown. I'm going to be extremely ambitious and put my TP up to 1.19177

US Gov Shutdown = Gradual impact, markets don't dump USD all at once; they sell more as GDP drag and political risk accumulate,
  • #216,300
  • Oct 1, 2025 1:34am Oct 1, 2025 1:34am
Quoting qefeqfqfq3fg
{quote} Already in a Buy Position Since 1.17376 My 2 Cents on the US Gov Shutdown. Based on previous US Government Shutdowns, in 2018-2019 (35 Day Shutdown) DXY dropped -0.8% which translates to a +200+250 Pip rise over the shutdown period, however the moves weren't straight up - it was choppy with pullbacks. I'm expecting 50-150 Pip rise if the shutdown is 1-2 weeks, for 3-5 weeks im expecting 150-250 Pips >5 weeks could push EURUSD up 300+ Pips, beynd that other macro forces (ECB, Fed Policy, global risk sentiment matter more than just the shutdown....
I am also in a long position TP set to 1.19052, TSL set to 50 pips, I did a look back at 2018-2019 the EURUSD gained approx 3000 points, time is what we have plenty of, lets see what happens.
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