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  • #17,181
  • Sep 25, 2025 11:51pm Sep 25, 2025 11:51pm
Quoting johncen
We have pce later today. Let see if we see another green data. i will be quite keen to see where we close the week at. Below these levels 1735 1703 1670 1650 are bearish the lower the better. next week is going to be fun! End of month and quarter plus Non-Farm (if govt is not shuting down which delays the data)
If PCE comes out the same then I don't think it's going to drop much further but a better number opens 1600. Nfp is going to be interesting for the eu bear. But us shutdown is changing the game I believe!

1.1500/27 for me in the most bearish case unless more catalysts come in.

Bulls must get a surprise pce today for 1750 to come in their view.

Quoting johncen
{quote} is this happening?
Not sure technical 4th wave might extend lower. Then bulls must show resilience!

Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} If PCE comes out the same then I don't think it's going to drop much further but a better number opens 1600. Nfp is going to be interesting for the eu bear. But us shutdown is changing the game I believe! 1.1500/27 for me in the most bearish case unless more catalysts come in. Bulls must get a surprise pce today for 1750 to come in their view. {quote} Not sure technical 4th wave might extend lower. Then bulls must show resilience!
Black trendline and 100 dma.
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  • #17,182
  • Sep 26, 2025 12:14am Sep 26, 2025 12:14am
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1650-60 quite a critical support (usdx 98.60 also a critical resistance level) after two days of almost one way market plus Friday we may see some profit taking and upward movement. Let see how high bull can take us to. Below 1735 bear remain in full control
according to correlation 1.1030 is pivotal, from a bearish perspective a decisive breach of 1660 and a consequent failing of secondary test opens a complete reset of the gain of fiber untill the end of the year. Specularly, swissie could regain above 0,90.
It s a surprise scenario, from a fundamental point of view somethng very big has to happen (supreme court blocks tariffs, great improving of us economy, eu economy worsening, wars.)
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chaos is just unknown order
  • #17,183
  • Sep 26, 2025 12:36am Sep 26, 2025 12:36am
1.1680 H4 opening lvl serves as a good reference point for trade reversals, while below above
  • #17,184
  • Sep 26, 2025 1:48am Sep 26, 2025 1:48am
Have closed some longs near the tl, still holding some as it may go higher to 1715 1735 level

but if bear unable to break below 1671 bull still alive
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,185
  • Sep 26, 2025 1:56am Sep 26, 2025 1:56am
I also have this line and keep an eye on it. for me, the blue lines are resistance levels—bearish defense zones.

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H1 chart
  • #17,186
  • Sep 26, 2025 2:06am Sep 26, 2025 2:06am
Quoting Cavar
I also have this line and keep an eye on it. for me, the blue lines are resistance levels—bearish defense zones. {image} H1 chart
i think we could break above to see at least 1.17
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,187
  • Sep 26, 2025 2:22am Sep 26, 2025 2:22am
Sell
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Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #17,188
  • Sep 26, 2025 2:33am Sep 26, 2025 2:33am
Quoting fxcontest
Sell {image}
I did the same, but then the momentum disappeared — just like it has all week.
So I closed with a small profit.
Honestly, I’m not sure where the price wants to go now.
Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #17,189
  • Sep 26, 2025 2:39am Sep 26, 2025 2:39am
Price action matches with yesterdays morning session. We might continue to see the same until news.
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  • #17,190
  • Sep 26, 2025 2:40am Sep 26, 2025 2:40am
Friday is always volatile today are important news coming up at later USA session. Trump tweets will add up some more volatility.
  • #17,191
  • Sep 26, 2025 2:46am Sep 26, 2025 2:46am
On the H4 timeframe, 1.1680 open acts as a resistance level preventing bullish breakout. Price below that lvl is good for bears. Especially below middle Bollinger M30 TF
  • #17,192
  • Sep 26, 2025 3:00am Sep 26, 2025 3:00am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Price action matches with yesterdays morning session. We might continue to see the same until news.
That's what it's supposed to do, but now, I would say.. It's struggling.
No volume, no big players behind as it's supposed to be on the London open.
Every SELL is quickly absorbed by another BUY
Every BUY is quickly shot down by SELL
Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #17,193
  • Sep 26, 2025 3:12am Sep 26, 2025 3:12am
Quoting halkins
{quote} That's what it's supposed to do, but now, I would say.. It's struggling. No volume, no big players behind as it's supposed to be on the London open. Every SELL is quickly absorbed by another BUY Every BUY is quickly shot down by SELL
i think there is still more room to go down
  • #17,194
  • Sep 26, 2025 3:13am Sep 26, 2025 3:13am
Does anyone have strong biases or thoughts on the EU for today, before and after CPE? Well, for me, I don't think CPE will move EU by a lot of pips.
Persistent
  • #17,195
  • Sep 26, 2025 3:15am Sep 26, 2025 3:15am
Quoting halkins
{quote} That's what it's supposed to do, but now, I would say.. It's struggling. No volume, no big players behind as it's supposed to be on the London open. Every SELL is quickly absorbed by another BUY Every BUY is quickly shot down by SELL
lack of news, Friday after 2 days of drops both sides are a bit hesitant. Waiting for news i guess
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,196
  • Sep 26, 2025 3:27am Sep 26, 2025 3:27am
Quoting Tabtrades
Does anyone have strong biases or thoughts on the EU for today, before and after CPE? Well, for me, I don't think CPE will move EU by a lot of pips.
The BIAS is SELL for the moment, but where the selling might start, I have no idea now
I think those three levels must be watched carefully
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  • #17,197
  • Sep 26, 2025 3:36am Sep 26, 2025 3:36am
Quoting halkins
{quote} That's what it's supposed to do, but now, I would say.. It's struggling. No volume, no big players behind as it's supposed to be on the London open. Every SELL is quickly absorbed by another BUY Every BUY is quickly shot down by SELL
Resistance seems broken but 1h candle still open! 1700 or 1660 might come before news
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  • #17,198
  • Sep 26, 2025 3:52am Sep 26, 2025 3:52am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Resistance seems broken but 1h candle still open! 1700 or 1660 might come before news
lets wait for the 4h close to decide where it want to go next! I m slightly favouring the bull today due to profit taking until pce. But if pce is green then we will come back down.

bull would like to close the week back above 1735.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,199
  • Sep 26, 2025 4:15am Sep 26, 2025 4:15am
Quoting johncen
{quote} lets wait for the 4h close to decide where it want to go next! I m slightly favouring the bull today due to profit taking until pce. But if pce is green then we will come back down. bull would like to close the week back above 1735.
Last 4h candle closed weak so I sold but price action too slow! Lets see.
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  • #17,200
  • Sep 26, 2025 4:19am Sep 26, 2025 4:19am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Last 4h candle closed weak so I sold but price action too slow! Lets see.
yea i also closed some more longs after 4h close leaving only a little.

i will probably try to buy again when it reach 1650 level.

but not much momentum to push pa down
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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