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  • #17,161
  • Sep 25, 2025 6:52am Sep 25, 2025 6:52am
Look guys, at what's happening in the retail market order flow.

68% of retailers are in the BUY position !!! (right panel)
There are thousands of their stop-loss orders at the 1.1725 level!!! (left panel)
Large players may swallow them like a sip of water.

Might be helpful for some of you...
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Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #17,162
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:10am Sep 25, 2025 7:10am
Quoting halkins
Look guys, at what's happening in the retail market order flow. 68% of retailers are in the BUY position !!! (right panel) There are thousands of their stop-loss orders at the 1.1725 level!!! (left panel) Large players may swallow them like a sip of water. Might be helpful for some of you... {image}
Where did you find this information? This looks very helpful in uncertain times, like right now.
  • #17,163
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:20am Sep 25, 2025 7:20am
Quoting halkins
Look guys, at what's happening in the retail market order flow. 68% of retailers are in the BUY position !!! (right panel) There are thousands of their stop-loss orders at the 1.1725 level!!! (left panel) Large players may swallow them like a sip of water. Might be helpful for some of you... {image}
Many traders expecting a break after yesterdays drop lets see who wins!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,164
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:26am Sep 25, 2025 7:26am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Many traders expecting a break after yesterdays drop lets see who wins!
red news coming!!!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,165
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:31am Sep 25, 2025 7:31am
Wow all green!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,166
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:31am Sep 25, 2025 7:31am
Quoting johncen
{quote} red news coming!!!
Many green! Bears get the prize!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,167
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:39am Sep 25, 2025 7:39am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Many green! Bears get the prize!
1702-03 area hit which may pause the bear
but with all those green numbers bear has the power to go lower
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,168
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:51am Sep 25, 2025 7:51am
Inserted Video
chaos is just unknown order
  • #17,169
  • Sep 25, 2025 9:07am Sep 25, 2025 9:07am
dxy h1
trendlines
I think a lot of people were aware of the good dollar data yesterday.

eurusd h1
trendlines
1.1680 support
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #17,170
  • Edited 9:19am Sep 25, 2025 9:08am | Edited 9:19am
Bounce up first or down to 1667/60 for a test!
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,171
  • Sep 25, 2025 11:13am Sep 25, 2025 11:13am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Bounce up first or down to 1667/60 for a test! {image}
Weekly support has likely stopped the drop, but this is probably temporary. If other news favors a stronger dollar ahead, a break of the 1.1660/55 support zone could open the way to 1.1600. Buyers must get above 1.1700 and try to beat today's high of 1.1753 to turn the price action upward again.

I must close now. See you again tomorrow. Bye!
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,172
  • Sep 25, 2025 11:15am Sep 25, 2025 11:15am
I thought we would go down to 1659 and maybe even take that low. In fact, we probably still do, but due to this, I passed on this nice 5M bullish outside bar with divergence for a scalp against exhausted bears.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/OuC0r7vy
  • #17,173
  • Sep 25, 2025 12:19pm Sep 25, 2025 12:19pm
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
{quote} and this head and shoulders pattern is also valid and we as well broke below the blue trendline which is also the neckline of the head and shoulder ..... {image}
The head and shoulder worked fine but i was hesitating to sell because we were on a support zone and the RSI was oversold as well so i didn't sell but not regreting my decision there are countless other opportunity in the market
  • #17,174
  • Sep 25, 2025 4:17pm Sep 25, 2025 4:17pm
Quoting fex.
price went from long term demand to long term supply, now at ltd no fresh, i wish some liquidity at lows almost to Month Open Price, if not, will be ready green pips {image}
new supply levels,
now at touched demand,
guess a bounce at month open,
if not, will be ready

regards & greens
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newbie
  • #17,175
  • Sep 25, 2025 4:51pm Sep 25, 2025 4:51pm
Going for a triple dip? 3 days red? not sure the odds are in it's favour but anything can happen.
  • #17,176
  • Sep 25, 2025 8:12pm Sep 25, 2025 8:12pm
Buy
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #17,177
  • Sep 25, 2025 10:45pm Sep 25, 2025 10:45pm
Yesterday, the EUR/USD dropped to 1.1645 after US news was better than expected. It then bounced above the 1.1655-60/67 zone and is now in a consolidation mode above that level. 1.1683 and 1.1700 are keeping the downside trend intact, and sellers will have the chance to lead the pair lower to 1.1631 and 1.1608/00 if support breaks. On the other hand, buyers need to break above the first resistance level of 1.1684, at which point 1.1700-1.1726 could become a target.

Have a great day!


Daily volatility (range) 54 pips

Option expiries for Friday: 1.1750 (EU2.25b), 1.2050 (EU2.11b), 1.1700 (EU1.67b) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US PCE, University Michigan Sentiment & US Consumer Spending

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,178
  • Sep 25, 2025 11:24pm Sep 25, 2025 11:24pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Yesterday, the EUR/USD dropped to 1.1645 after US news was better than expected. It then bounced above the 1.1655-60/67 zone and is now in a consolidation mode above that level. 1.1683 and 1.1700 are keeping the downside trend intact, and sellers will have the chance to lead the pair lower to 1.1631 and 1.1608/00 if support breaks. On the other hand, buyers need to break above the first resistance level of 1.1684, at which point 1.1700-1.1726 could become a target. Have a great day! Daily volatility (range)...
1650-60 quite a critical support (usdx 98.60 also a critical resistance level) after two days of almost one way market plus Friday we may see some profit taking and upward movement. Let see how high bull can take us to. Below 1735 bear remain in full control
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,179
  • Sep 25, 2025 11:30pm Sep 25, 2025 11:30pm
We have pce later today. Let see if we see another green data.

i will be quite keen to see where we close the week at. Below these levels 1735 1703 1670 1650 are bearish the lower the better.

next week is going to be fun! End of month and quarter plus Non-Farm (if govt is not shuting down which delays the data)
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,180
  • Sep 25, 2025 11:32pm Sep 25, 2025 11:32pm
Quoting johncen
not good at counting waves but just thinking out loud here….. we have completed 5 waves (if we have seen the top) with extended wave 3. then we should see abc correction next which may target somewhere between 1.14 in the next couple of weeks/months. A wave may ends at 1557 or around 1.16. if all goes as per plan we should see by the end of the month maybe? 1.1720-30 must give up to validate this thinking (rising trendline from Fed breaks if this is the case) and we cannot go back above 1857. {image}
is this happening?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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