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The Swamp

  • #124,981
  • Sep 23, 2025 5:07pm Sep 23, 2025 5:07pm
strange, complete turnaround
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #124,982
  • Sep 23, 2025 6:07pm Sep 23, 2025 6:07pm
Quoting DMA Trader
strange, complete turnaround {image}
The last man out wants to go with a winner He bullshitted everyone about the Javelins. When the senate had a veto proof vote against him. That's when Ukraine got the Javelins.
Anyway glad to see them finally getting something. But if its just words time will tell
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,983
  • Sep 23, 2025 6:14pm Sep 23, 2025 6:14pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea agree 1799 is less relevant now but its between 1814 and 1787. overall remain bullish and may test 1848 today not real sign of bear as bull took me 1799 after Powell
If it bullish, it should be above 1847 early London. That's not too far.

If not maybe below 1802.. More power below 1787.. But be careful if this happens on longs. PA atm is less than 100 from 1736

It looks bullish.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,984
  • Sep 23, 2025 6:20pm Sep 23, 2025 6:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If it bullish, it should be above 1847 early London. That's not too far. If not maybe below 1802.. More power below 1787.. But be careful if this happens on longs. PA atm is less than 100 from 1736 It looks bullish.
yea it does look more bullish than bearish to me as well.

will come back pre London to check
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,985
  • Sep 23, 2025 6:27pm Sep 23, 2025 6:27pm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,986
  • Sep 23, 2025 6:31pm Sep 23, 2025 6:31pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea it does look more bullish than bearish to me as well. will come back pre London to check
The have been lined up for structure for 8 days now. They took a hh to 1918.. Then went back to 1736.. Atm this current pa is not halfway. back to 1918. Bulls are struggling to get this up
Its not just the bears struggling.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,987
  • Sep 23, 2025 6:37pm Sep 23, 2025 6:37pm
You can put "its bullish" on my tombstone. But dont think it cant fall and take it below 1736 and 1556.. It has a path. Whats the odds. 20 25 30% more, I dont know
All the quarter has to do to keep it bullish is closes above 1556. That could be with a drop before
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,988
  • Sep 23, 2025 6:56pm Sep 23, 2025 6:56pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The have been lined up for structure for 8 days now. They took a hh to 1918.. Then went back to 1736.. Atm this current pa is not halfway. back to 1918. Bulls are struggling to get this up Its not just the bears struggling.
that I agree Gator, that wick after fomc is a big mission for the bull to overcome and they certainly struggle about it. 1830 may cap, 1848 may also cap.
but bear will have to go below 1736 to really trigger a off.

i am not sure if we can close below 1556 for the quarter, that seems tough for the bear
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,989
  • Sep 23, 2025 7:36pm Sep 23, 2025 7:36pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} that I agree Gator, that wick after fomc is a big mission for the bull to overcome and they certainly struggle about it. 1830 may cap, 1848 may also cap. but bear will have to go below 1736 to really trigger a off. i am not sure if we can close below 1556 for the quarter, that seems tough for the bear
If its to fall it may still make false slips.. its below 1814 atm.. 1787 may be tested... When it went up.. The floor became less distance to break out..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,990
  • Sep 23, 2025 7:43pm Sep 23, 2025 7:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If its to fall it may still make false slips.. its below 1814 atm.. 1787 may be tested... When it went up.. The floor became less distance to break out..
i have 1804-05 sitting in the middle, not sure if we can break below
if not we back to 1814 1822
i hope it can
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,991
  • Sep 23, 2025 7:52pm Sep 23, 2025 7:52pm
If bear is going to action they better act now. Otherwise we are running out of time
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,992
  • Sep 23, 2025 7:56pm Sep 23, 2025 7:56pm
Quoting gatorinla
{image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,993
  • Sep 23, 2025 10:36pm Sep 23, 2025 10:36pm
Bear pressure appeared to be strong…. If it continues maybe we will see 1760?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,994
  • Sep 23, 2025 10:43pm Sep 23, 2025 10:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If its to fall it may still make false slips.. its below 1814 atm.. 1787 may be tested... When it went up.. The floor became less distance to break out..
under 1814... lets see .. still above 1787
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,995
  • Sep 23, 2025 10:45pm Sep 23, 2025 10:45pm
Quoting johncen
Bear pressure appeared to be strong…. If it continues maybe we will see 1760?
If your short.. you want the support at 1787 to give up.. If it can stay below, that was the b/o... It can in that area too.. if bears cant hold it below. Early London may signal things if it stays below 1802.. it could do it below 1787
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,996
  • Sep 23, 2025 10:50pm Sep 23, 2025 10:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If your short.. you want the support at 1787 to give up.. If it can stay below, that was the b/o... It can in that area too.. if bears cant hold it below. Early London may signal things if it stays below 1802.. it could do it below 1787
yea 1787 1784 may bounce it but if we closed below 1760 next. 1760 my b/o zone

i dont know how much i can trust the bear, i thought we will see a breakout below at 1736 but didnt.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,997
  • Sep 23, 2025 11:08pm Sep 23, 2025 11:08pm
4h close next and before Frankfurt/London kicks in. Let see
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,998
  • Sep 24, 2025 1:50am Sep 24, 2025 1:50am
1787 reacting…
i think we will likely be closing below 1802 1084 at least. If we can also close below 1794 pre London better
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,999
  • Sep 24, 2025 4:04am Sep 24, 2025 4:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If your short.. you want the support at 1787 to give up.. If it can stay below, that was the b/o... It can in that area too.. if bears cant hold it below. Early London may signal things if it stays below 1802.. it could do it below 1787
1 12h close below 1787.. -1787 looked to be a b/o
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,000
  • Sep 24, 2025 4:11am Sep 24, 2025 4:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1 12h close below 1787.. -1787 looked to be a b/o {image}
bear momentum has been promising today. Didnt take too much effort. Which is what i would like to see.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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