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  • #215,761
  • Sep 23, 2025 8:34am Sep 23, 2025 8:34am
Could be a biiiig move now, intraday trades are off the table for me!!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #215,762
  • Sep 23, 2025 8:47am Sep 23, 2025 8:47am
My 2 cent
Although i don't see any bear power currently, the bears are ticking the market down almost as if the market knows where its next target is.
Since this morning we have seen bull spikes and bears just casually bring it down again.
Either the Bulls are waiting to Storm looking for the best entry, (Powell Speech) or we have a slight change in sentiment,
Remember last week after the rate cut when Powell was speaking sense the market dropped,
Are the markets expecting Powell to diplomatically tell us that the $(or US economy) is doing all right.
There are 2 people that can make the market move Trump and Powell,
Powell will deliver his speech with caution and be diplomatic about what he says, Where as Trump has no Filter.

I have no doubt that 1.2 is the next target, but that said there is still alot of liquidity down below.
imo down we go for now, but i aint betting on it, its what i am expecting
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #215,763
  • Sep 23, 2025 8:53am Sep 23, 2025 8:53am
My opinion on how Powell speech will play out. We may dip to 1.17646 and then a buy off to 1.18452.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #215,764
  • Sep 23, 2025 8:59am Sep 23, 2025 8:59am
My final H1 chart for the day...

Bulls have the upper hand, it is getting real tight.. Still waiting for explosion...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H1.png Size: 21 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #215,765
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:00am Sep 23, 2025 9:00am
Since the market took a downturn when Powell spoke last week it could be that - if he says nothing different - that the EUR turns up. The slow sliding down could mean that the traders have the drop from last week still in mind.
  • #215,766
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:03am Sep 23, 2025 9:03am
Quoting Austyno
My opinion on how Powell speech will play out. We may dip to 1.17646 and then a buy off to 1.18452.
i dont think we can expect any spikes up or down.i hope not. I recon the its going to steady climb or drop depending on what he says and when he says it. Probably end where we started.
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #215,767
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:07am Sep 23, 2025 9:07am
Quoting DeJaBlue
{quote} i dont think we can expect any spikes up or down.i hope not. I recon the its going to steady climb or drop depending on what he says and when he says it. Probably end where we started.
In my experience, most Powell speeches often have fakeouts before moving in the intended direction
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #215,768
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:08am Sep 23, 2025 9:08am
Quoting Austyno
{quote} Nowhere to be found , direction is up today. 1.18452 is still in play as target
Nice to see an old colleague !!!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #215,769
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:12am Sep 23, 2025 9:12am
If my Fib is correct not accounting for the rate cut spike, we turned exactly on 0.618 level
It may be significant??
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Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 26 KB
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #215,770
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:20am Sep 23, 2025 9:20am
Quoting mtako
buying now 1.18010
This long is one position too many now, so I closed here in minuscule profit, just enough to cover the implicits and explicits of a dozen orders
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #215,771
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:23am Sep 23, 2025 9:23am
Quoting mtako
Maybe a burst before FED? Or, like many of us, is mr.Bull is not feeling it right now? {image}
A beautiful tiny burst indeed, now taking out the popcorn

Have a great big news moment everyone !!!!

Popcorn anyone?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: efefdf.jpg Size: 40 KB
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #215,772
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:24am Sep 23, 2025 9:24am
Quoting MojiFx
Right now, EUR/USD is stuck in a tight range between 1.1720 and 1.1800. The 1.1750–1.1720 area is holding as a key support, but indicators still look pretty neutral, so the pair might keep bouncing around here for a bit. If bulls can push through 1.1800 and clear that trendline, we could see a move toward 1.1850 and maybe even the 1.1900 zone. On the flip side, if 1.1720 breaks, the downside could open up quickly toward 1.1670. For now, it feels like we’re in waiting mode until the market picks a direction. {image}
Pair is sitting just under 1.1800 with traders waiting on Powell’s speech. Support at 1.1750–1.1720, resistance 1.1800–1.1840. If Powell leans dovish and hints at more cuts, we could see a breakout toward 1.1850+. If he’s cautious on inflation, expect a pullback back to support. Choppy until then, but volatility likely once he speaks.
  • #215,773
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:31am Sep 23, 2025 9:31am
eurusd moving well
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #215,774
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:36am Sep 23, 2025 9:36am
Not bad for a Tuesday. hope everyone is banking $. its been some nice rinse and repeat plays today.
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  • #215,775
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:49am Sep 23, 2025 9:49am
Getting back in this long right here, exactly where I got out of
Quoting mtako
buying now 1.18010
Quoting mtako
{quote}This long is one position too many now, so I closed here in minuscule profit, just enough to cover the implicits and explicits of a dozen orders
Mr.Bear went back to the gym again, focusing on distant future projects
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dswwww3 - Copy.jpg Size: 177 KB
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #215,776
  • Sep 23, 2025 9:55am Sep 23, 2025 9:55am
- Powell called rates modestly restrictive, flagged risks both ways, and kept cuts data-dependent. Basically, cautious dovish but no big surprises.
- He sounded cautiously open to more rate cuts, but didn’t promise anything, mainly focused on risks from inflation and a cooling job market

Pair steady near 1.1800, still waiting for a breakout above resistance.
  • #215,777
  • Sep 23, 2025 10:02am Sep 23, 2025 10:02am
I think euro is buying but first it has to make a new high called break of structure then later come to clear liquidity

Powell news was how dollar is trying to get on their feet nothing really special
  • #215,778
  • Sep 23, 2025 10:04am Sep 23, 2025 10:04am
Planning long for my straddles that mirror EUR. will keep my balance plays in plays to capture either way though. Just a small fry working towards retirement
  • #215,779
  • Sep 23, 2025 10:11am Sep 23, 2025 10:11am
Quoting DeJaBlue
My 2 cent Although i don't see any bear power currently, the bears are ticking the market down almost as if the market knows where its next target is. Since this morning we have seen bull spikes and bears just casually bring it down again. Either the Bulls are waiting to Storm looking for the best entry, (Powell Speech) or we have a slight change in sentiment, Remember last week after the rate cut when Powell was speaking sense the market dropped, Are the markets expecting Powell to diplomatically tell us that the $(or US economy) is doing all right....
Well put my friend!

I would add : put "bull(s)" where "bear(s)" are in the text, and vice-versa, and you also have today's choppy movements.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #215,780
  • Sep 23, 2025 10:22am Sep 23, 2025 10:22am
Based on D1, 1.1817 area is big blockage... Bulls have the upper hand but can not continue... Bears are hesitant too..

So, I am calling it a day.. Nothing for me to trade here...

Hopefully, we meet again tomorrow after London folks...

Peace out...
Focus only on what truly matters!
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