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EURUSD only

  • #215,621
  • Sep 22, 2025 1:39am Sep 22, 2025 1:39am
Quoting qefeqfqfq3fg
Shorted @ 1.17457, so far going very well. Trade Type: Discretionary Extreme EUR shorts + USD longs = bearish positioning bias → usually, EURUSD has already been trending down. From here, two main scenarios: Continuation: If macro data (U.S. inflation strong, ECB dovish, etc.) keeps supporting USD, the trend can grind lower — but the risk/reward gets worse for new shorts. Reversal risk: If U.S. data weakens or the ECB surprises hawkish, crowded USD longs could unwind fast → sharp EURUSD squeeze higher. Confluences: My Intuition ...
Stopped out at Break Even, from 19 Pips to 0
  • #215,622
  • Sep 22, 2025 1:44am Sep 22, 2025 1:44am
H4 however (compared to D1) is a real mess... Barricades everywhere... That's also the reason why nothing really moves...

I have 1.1750 and 1.1777 as resistance and 1.1725 as support...

This timeframe needs an explosion... Let's see when that happens...

*While H4 candles open above 1.1725, I stay bullish!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H4.png Size: 20 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #215,623
  • Sep 22, 2025 1:46am Sep 22, 2025 1:46am
Quoting qefeqfqfq3fg
{quote} Stopped out at Break Even, from 19 Pips to 0
Sell Limit @ 1.17479, SL @ 1.17577, TP to IPDA Equilibrium.
  • #215,624
  • Sep 22, 2025 1:47am Sep 22, 2025 1:47am
hi
=====
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2025 09 22 pn 0845 EurUsdH4.png Size: 27 KB
  • #215,625
  • Sep 22, 2025 1:58am Sep 22, 2025 1:58am
On H1 I am looking for 2 things:

1) Bulls must achieve a candle close above 1.1749...
2) Or bulls must force price to stay above 1.1731...

Otherwise no correction and all bearish!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #215,626
  • Sep 22, 2025 2:08am Sep 22, 2025 2:08am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
On H1 I am looking for 2 things: 1) Bulls must achieve a candle close above 1.1749... 2) Or bulls must force price to stay above 1.1731... Otherwise no correction and all bearish!
Trend is bearish for you?
  • #215,627
  • Sep 22, 2025 2:16am Sep 22, 2025 2:16am
Quoting qefeqfqfq3fg
{quote} Sell Limit @ 1.17479, SL @ 1.17577, TP to IPDA Equilibrium.
Top-Ticked, trade is going accordingly in conjunction to a 1H RSI Divergence, Bulls are weakening, however it's too early to say whether or not this is just a bullish retracement or a continuation of the expansion downwards.
  • #215,628
  • Sep 22, 2025 2:23am Sep 22, 2025 2:23am
Quoting belon
hi ===== {image}
Missed you buddy, good to have you back
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #215,629
  • Sep 22, 2025 2:24am Sep 22, 2025 2:24am
EU is on a support zone and the blue trendline will work as support as well ... A three rising method candlestick pattern is being formed on H4 on that support and the 20 moving average is also working as support on daily ..... i will look for longs as soon as the candle formation is completed
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 20 KB
  • #215,630
  • Sep 22, 2025 2:28am Sep 22, 2025 2:28am
Took a long position @ 1.17462
Target 1 - 1.17630
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #215,631
  • Sep 22, 2025 2:30am Sep 22, 2025 2:30am
The bulls need to break out of the Triangle on Chart W1, which I published before leaving for my trip. https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...3#post15372253
Attachment g

If the bulls break out, the next target will certainly be the other orange triangle. If this happens, I believe the price will follow the orange triangle line to its tip... I can't verify the amplitude here, but it could be a 200% Fibonacci expansion around 1,365 or 220% at 1,4000...

For this occasion, if this happens, I'll adjust my entries based on the yellow markers on the M15 chart.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_M15_20250922_033051_0000.png Size: 126 KB



I remember having settings on my laptop at home for MN charts with the possibility of continuing to climb until June 6, 2030. In a post I wrote here recently, I mentioned this in a chart image. This analysis is for that "Guys' Agenda for 2030." Maybe you read or saw the report about 20 days ago about the EU reaching an agreement with the US on the Atlantic Project, as mentioned in the interview, or I guessed "Atlantica Project"...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 27 KB
"No pain no gain"
  • #215,632
  • Edited 3:14am Sep 22, 2025 3:03am | Edited 3:14am
@post time: Strength of EUR vs USD is Bullish for EUR/USD... However, my bias is Bearish for this week.
=======================================
At the time in which I now write ; )—

  1. EUR = 5.9 versus USD = 3.8
  2. EXY = 6.9 versus DXY = 0.6


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EXY_index.png Size: 277 KB
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #215,633
  • Sep 22, 2025 3:16am Sep 22, 2025 3:16am
Inserted Video
  • #215,634
  • Sep 22, 2025 3:38am Sep 22, 2025 3:38am
Quoting v2vboni
@post time: Strength of EUR vs USD is Bullish for EUR/USD... However, my bias is Bearish for this week. ======================================= At the time in which I now write ; )— EUR = 5.9 versus USD = 3.8 EXY = 6.9 versus DXY = 0.6 {image}
Appreciated ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD _20250922_051840_0000.png Size: 156 KB


In the 1800s there seems to be a void..
"No pain no gain"
  • #215,635
  • Sep 22, 2025 3:50am Sep 22, 2025 3:50am
Quoting Fishbones
{quote} Trend is bearish for you?
Since this morning I posted the D1, then the H4, then H1... and you are asking me if I am bearish????? Whatta...

Okay... Let me translate my H1 post for you:
I am bullish, BUT for H1 only I am saying: Bulls have to work their asses! Their mission is : 1 and 2...
If they don't do what I have listed, then H1 chart stays bearish... I am not bearish! I want bulls to go!

I hope it clarifies...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #215,636
  • Sep 22, 2025 4:02am Sep 22, 2025 4:02am
My intraday plan is to stroll with bulls until ~1.1777 gets properly tested... Then we can re-analyze and decide which side is winning... No rush!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #215,637
  • Sep 22, 2025 4:11am Sep 22, 2025 4:11am
previous week cycle or new cycle??
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 48 KB
  • #215,638
  • Sep 22, 2025 4:21am Sep 22, 2025 4:21am
I intend to exit purchases at 1.1785, "If it gets there", I have the next range, on my MT4 app charts at 1.17871, (M15)... I have already left a sell limit order.
"No pain no gain"
  • #215,639
  • Sep 22, 2025 4:21am Sep 22, 2025 4:21am
1H RSI Divergence (2x) / 2 4H Imbalances / 4H Supply
Trade Type: Discretionary,
Enter: 1.17687 (Already Entered)
SL: 1.17704
TP: 1.16998 (Equilibrium)
  • #215,640
  • Sep 22, 2025 4:42am Sep 22, 2025 4:42am
I think we'll push further up to 1.1780, and that's where the selling should begin.
The New York opening would also be ideal.
Of course, we need to keep an eye on how the candles behave in this zone, as it could very well break even higher.

I've already made a daily plan, so I'll be leaving as the weather is still good.
I kind of regret closing my positions too early... (chicken) as I could have squeezed a few more pips out of it.
But that's what it is, the day ended on a positive note...
Good luck..
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2025-09-22_10-33-56.png Size: 33 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Zrzut ekranu 2025-09-22 103331.jpg Size: 248 KB
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