Meanwhile, on H1...
The bearish journey continues... Can't post much today, but just know that I keep selling...
The bearish journey continues... Can't post much today, but just know that I keep selling...
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #215,501
- Sep 18, 2025 6:47am Sep 18, 2025 6:47am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,160 Posts
- #215,502
- Sep 18, 2025 6:48am Sep 18, 2025 6:48am
- Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Trader | 8,702 Posts
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
- #215,503
- Sep 18, 2025 6:50am Sep 18, 2025 6:50am
Looking ahead...
Based off of a similar situation last year, the Fed took rates from 5.50 to 4.50 over three months (Sep-Dec).
If history repeats itself, and it tends to, I reckon we might be looking at something similar to this 1 month chart.
Important variables this time are tariffs and a new administration
This is a LONG projection. We are likely to go higher than 1.19 (possibly 1.20) before trekking down. This could be why we saw so much volume in that area.
Just my thoughts!
Based off of a similar situation last year, the Fed took rates from 5.50 to 4.50 over three months (Sep-Dec).
If history repeats itself, and it tends to, I reckon we might be looking at something similar to this 1 month chart.
Important variables this time are tariffs and a new administration
This is a LONG projection. We are likely to go higher than 1.19 (possibly 1.20) before trekking down. This could be why we saw so much volume in that area.
Just my thoughts!
"A man's reach should exceed his grasp"
- #215,504
- Sep 18, 2025 6:54am Sep 18, 2025 6:54am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,160 Posts
Meanwhile, on H1... The bearish journey continues... Can't post much today, but just know that I keep selling...
Focus only on what truly matters!
Meanwhile, on H1... The bearish journey continues... Can't post much today, but just know that I keep selling...
"Wisdom is proved righteous by its works"
- #215,506
- Sep 18, 2025 6:56am Sep 18, 2025 6:56am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,160 Posts
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #215,508
- Sep 18, 2025 6:58am Sep 18, 2025 6:58am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,160 Posts
and closed with +65 pips Now waiting for the retracement to go short again
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #215,510
- Sep 18, 2025 7:02am Sep 18, 2025 7:02am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,160 Posts
{quote} Missed the news event. my overnight buys were premature, to put it mildly
Focus only on what truly matters!
and closed with +65 pips Now waiting for the retracement to go short again
.I lose too much this morning because of over trading and over leveraging, not controling my emotions, but in the end i capture +74 pips,and now i am very happy 
.Stay blessed Bros.
- #215,512
- Sep 18, 2025 7:09am Sep 18, 2025 7:09am
- Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Trader | 8,702 Posts
{quote} ...one eternity later: {image}
I am finally preparing to start buying USD for a change, since we are in the last decade's highs and its just been so choppy on that scale, no sign of trending on that scale = sell the highs, buy the lows, with a lot of dancing in between!
Alas, I need to wait for weekly bulls to be done with their mayhem
. Greeting to all from my better half!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
- #215,513
- Sep 18, 2025 7:10am Sep 18, 2025 7:10am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,160 Posts
My bigger picture view based on H4:
- Yes, currently bears are pushing... BUT just know that this drop could just be a retest to ~1.1777 area...
- I marked the area as a blue triangle.. Things can get shaky and choppy here as long as bear momentum stays intact.. We don't know yet if this area will act supportive or not, and currently, bears are trying to reach ~1.1739 area.. IF sell momentum fades, things can change quick.
- Long story short: If bulls kick in, we will witness that ~1.1777 will suddenly turn into strong support. BUT if bears keep going, then ~1.1739 area will probably get retested... Time will tell...
I hope it helps
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #215,514
- Sep 18, 2025 7:11am Sep 18, 2025 7:11am
{quote} A few more. I have plenty of patience; these shorts can wait... and will be profitable
Songo
- #215,515
- Sep 18, 2025 7:11am Sep 18, 2025 7:11am
- Joined Sep 2018 | Status: Trader Man | 2,123 Posts
WOW... What a drop! I exited all the shorts at 1.1777, entered with a long, but it took my Sl... I bought again here at 1.17530. Let's see if it reaches 1.18970. That was radical yesterday and today.
"No pain no gain"
- #215,518
- Sep 18, 2025 7:13am Sep 18, 2025 7:13am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,160 Posts
{quote} it has been too long indeed, missed you Ata! I am finally preparing to start buying USD for a change, since we are in the last decade's highs and its just been so choppy on that scale, no sign of trending on that scale = sell the highs, buy the lows, with a lot of dancing in between! Alas, I need to wait for weekly bulls to be done with their mayhem
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #215,519
- Sep 18, 2025 7:15am Sep 18, 2025 7:15am
- Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 27,160 Posts
{quote} I notice there is a gap on your chart to at 1.18170
Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
- #215,520
- Sep 18, 2025 7:20am Sep 18, 2025 7:20am
{quote} Hey DeJaBlue, after yesterday’s chat about patience, today both pending shorts got triggered (1.1781 and 1.1754). My style: no stop loss, no manual exits, only shorts. For me, time = money in the most direct sense. Not a recommendation for anyone unless you really know what you’re doing.
This information is not intended as investment advice