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  • #215,441
  • Edited 9:24pm Sep 17, 2025 7:52pm | Edited 9:24pm
I would encourage everyone seeking to form a longer timeframe opinion on this market to watch Powell's FOMC press conference from today, listening for the discussion of their statutory dual mandate, inflation projections, the distinction between unemployment rate and net job creation, and discussion of the dot plot and the FOMC policy debate and voting processes.
  • #215,442
  • Sep 17, 2025 8:06pm Sep 17, 2025 8:06pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} am thinking 1774 next if we can break below 1805, thoughts? not sure if we will see 1.1550 again in the next couple of days/weeks before deciding where it wants to go
I remembered our friend ERKAT. I haven't seen him around here in a while. He was the one who mentioned this women's shoe one day... lol... Maybe some of you here remember that. Well, I believe tomorrow will be bearish again, perhaps following the trend of the women's shoe pattern... many might think it's a joke, but I've seen this pattern before... look at the M15 pattern before the "rise"... the price was already falling...
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I have up to 1.1861 range to exit sales, I don't have 1.15 here, but everything can change... I'm looking at the W1 chart, those triangles I posted before going on my trip...
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...3#post15372253
My plan is for the price to continue rising until it touches the tip of the square "following the orange inverted triangle.
"No pain no gain"
  • #215,443
  • Sep 17, 2025 9:56pm Sep 17, 2025 9:56pm
I'm testing something new with this indicator and it's signaling to target the horizontal line, but I'll be waiting for a better entry. Is anyone else taking a buy?
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  • #215,444
  • Sep 17, 2025 9:59pm Sep 17, 2025 9:59pm
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} I remembered our friend ERKAT. I haven't seen him around here in a while. He was the one who mentioned this women's shoe one day... lol... Maybe some of you here remember that. Well, I believe tomorrow will be bearish again, perhaps following the trend of the women's shoe pattern... many might think it's a joke, but I've seen this pattern before... look at the M15 pattern before the "rise"... the price was already falling... {image} I have up to 1.1861 range to exit sales, I don't have 1.15 here, but everything can change... I'm looking...
i remember that and yea might take some tims to get there. I hav 185x as key resistance level.
the trend is still up but 177x is a good spot to buy as long as 172x holds
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #215,445
  • Sep 17, 2025 10:03pm Sep 17, 2025 10:03pm
Flattened before the retrace. It was a good day.
Edit: I did not trade the retracement, but I see that some did, very well done!
"Wisdom is proved righteous by its works"
  • #215,446
  • Sep 17, 2025 10:08pm Sep 17, 2025 10:08pm
Early morning to all,
Yesterday was a rollercoaster.
Today, no clue if it will go up or down honestly.
I m.not technical at all so just sharing a fact based on my observation of London openings lately.

I will watch the london tricky manipulation opening...regularly (and again yesterday)they drag the pair down at open for 15 /20 pips.
I m pretty sure this time will be a push up 20i pips to better sell later.

Let s trade united in the group, lots of smart people as I can see.
Good luck to all
  • #215,447
  • Edited 11:55pm Sep 17, 2025 11:41pm | Edited 11:55pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Hopefully we continue tomorrow.. Peace out... {image}
"Hope is not a plan" I have been told, but I get the sense of that, and I can tell you do have a plan besides hope .
Well done today I am sure. And we will absolutely continue tomorrow.

I do not review these forums prior to trading due to my susceptibility to confirmation bias. I still like seeing super-accurate analysis by retail traders (that isn't intended to be a put down as you may be institutional, but I don't know; my assumption is that the majority of posters here are retail) it makes my day and hones my edge reviewing quality posts on this platform.

And Hawkins, I love your signature and am tempted to steal it. . This is a great community. Keep the blue side up, and profitable trading today to all here.

Apologies, this was devoid of analysis. So: I'm seeing a liquidity raid at 37:00 UTC-4 I'm still bullish on this pair. For now, since we haven't busted key daily or 4h support. Add to this the momentum from prior movement. Contrarily to keep in mind: we are right there on support, so long positions should be taken with caution. That, and please note that I am a retail trader willing to take some sloppy entries, meaning that you could potentially invert my trade ideas and make a handsome living.
"Wisdom is proved righteous by its works"
  • #215,448
  • Sep 18, 2025 12:36am Sep 18, 2025 12:36am
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} I remembered our friend ERKAT. I haven't seen him around here in a while. He was the one who mentioned this women's shoe one day... lol... Maybe some of you here remember that. Well, I believe tomorrow will be bearish again, perhaps following the trend of the women's shoe pattern... many might think it's a joke, but I've seen this pattern before... look at the M15 pattern before the "rise"... the price was already falling... {image} I have up to 1.1861 range to exit sales, I don't have 1.15 here, but everything can change... I'm looking...
He had solid projections
  • #215,449
  • Sep 18, 2025 12:43am Sep 18, 2025 12:43am
My M15 chart.
Have a short from 1.18115, break below H1 resistance.
TP 1.17705
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H1
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Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #215,450
  • Sep 18, 2025 1:40am Sep 18, 2025 1:40am
Quick H1 Outlook

Started with a clean slate... Trend here is now bearish...

I shorted a few orders when price was around 1.1810... Closed some minutes ago.. Now sidelines... Waiting for London opening...

I am marking 1.1813 as nearest resistance.... I will keep selling spikes and pullbacks as long as candles open below it...

Happy trading day folks
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #215,451
  • Sep 18, 2025 1:50am Sep 18, 2025 1:50am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Quick H1 Outlook Started with a clean slate... Trend here is now bearish... I shorted a few orders when price was around 1.1810... Closed some minutes ago.. Now sidelines... Waiting for London opening... I am marking 1.1813 as nearest resistance.... I will keep selling spikes and pullbacks as long as candles open below it... Happy trading day folks {image}
God seid dank!
  • #215,452
  • Edited 2:43am Sep 18, 2025 2:08am | Edited 2:43am
Contrary to Ata (which makes me nervous), I bought the dip.

Long @ 1.1792, aiming for around 1.185. If Euro drops below ~1.177, I’ll be out and wait for another buy opportunity near 1.17.


Edit: That was quick. Moved hard SL to BE. Will move SL to 1.1815 as soon as price hits ~1.183.

Edit2: Trailed SL just below ~1.182. Since I’m trading KO certificates, I can’t say the exact equivalent — but secured around 28 pips.

Edit3: Closed @ 1.1833
When the trumpet sounds, you won't be able to hear the techno anymore.
  • #215,453
  • Sep 18, 2025 2:15am Sep 18, 2025 2:15am
Getting ready to sell again... Stepping down to M5...

*Lol... On a side note: You are not trading against me.. You are probably trading against the market and the trend... I am only the messenger!
**IF any H1 candle closes above 1.1813, I stop selling until a restarter candle shows!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #215,454
  • Edited 3:27am Sep 18, 2025 2:18am | Edited 3:27am
trading discretionary instead of my strategy, shorting current price here so not much expectation.
TP = 1.17008
  • #215,455
  • Sep 18, 2025 2:40am Sep 18, 2025 2:40am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Getting ready to sell again... Stepping down to M5... *Lol... On a side note: You are not trading against me.. You are probably trading against the market and the trend... I am only the messenger! **IF any H1 candle closes above 1.1813, I stop selling until a restarter candle shows!
what is it you wait for on the 5min ? A engulfing ? A 5min BOS ? Cheers
  • #215,456
  • Sep 18, 2025 2:52am Sep 18, 2025 2:52am
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  • #215,457
  • Edited 3:16am Sep 18, 2025 3:00am | Edited 3:16am
Just selling at resistance on m15. I still believe we will go up today but this should be the high of the retracement - continuation pattern

sell at 1.1835 SL 1.1866

These are my 2 scenarios
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This information is not intended as investment advice
  • #215,458
  • Sep 18, 2025 3:10am Sep 18, 2025 3:10am
Inserted Video
  • #215,459
  • Sep 18, 2025 3:28am Sep 18, 2025 3:28am
Quoting Kiberenge
{quote} ,breaking all rules, fences and tearing apart long positions
..a journey of a thousand miles starts with a single step..based on 1hr and 4hr anyone can clearly see... Just like Ata be a seer not a looker
  • #215,460
  • Sep 18, 2025 3:34am Sep 18, 2025 3:34am
Hi guys.
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