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  • #341
  • Sep 16, 2025 10:24am Sep 16, 2025 10:24am
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  • #342
  • Sep 16, 2025 1:37pm Sep 16, 2025 1:37pm
An epic zone to enter shorts
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  • #343
  • Sep 16, 2025 2:45pm Sep 16, 2025 2:45pm
this usd bear is strong, usdchf and jpy look like going off the cliff, eur new highs maybe,, im thinking it could get spikey, quite dangerous play thinking something like an initial drop then some comments just whip lashing it everywhere among other scenarios, i might sit it out, im sitting in audnzd and b/e of nzdcad feeling comfortable,,, eurcad looking sweet and gbpcad i was waiting for that pop, possible hawkish tone from the fed should accelerate it downwards, theres a lot to analyze here, what your guys take on the fed and boc? I was getting a.i to look through fundis, heres where im up to,,

Scenario Matrix: EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD
We’ll look at two key variables:

  1. Fed tone: Hawkish / Neutral / Dovish
  2. BoC cut / Canadian CPI: As expected (25bps) / Hawkish surprise (smaller cut or hold) / Dovish surprise (larger cut or stronger easing signal)

Fed ToneBoC OutcomeEUR/CAD / GBP/CAD Likely MoveNotes

Hawkish FedBoC as expected (25bps cut) Moderate dropUSD strength → CAD loses vs USD but outperforms EUR/GBP → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD fall. BoC cut already priced, so CAD impact is muted vs EUR/GBP.
Hawkish FedBoC more dovish than expected Small drop / rangeboundCAD weakens more → offsets USD strength vs EUR/GBP. Net effect: EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD may not fall as much.
Hawkish FedBoC less dovish / hold Larger dropCAD stronger than expected, Fed hawkish → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD drop sharply. Best-case scenario for short setup.
Neutral FedBoC as expected Slight drop / rangeCAD mildly weaker vs USD but stable vs EUR/GBP. EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD mostly rangebound.
Neutral FedBoC more dovish Slight rise / flatCAD weakens more → offsets neutral Fed → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD may creep higher.
Neutral FedBoC less dovish / hold Small dropCAD stronger than expected → small drop in EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD.
Dovish FedBoC as expected Rise USD down → CAD may gain slightly if oil is supportive, but EUR/GBP generally stronger → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD rise.
Dovish FedBoC more dovish Moderate riseBoth USD down and CAD easing → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD likely spike higher. Risk for short trades.
Dovish FedBoC less dovish / hold Mild rise / flatCAD stronger than expected may offset USD weakness → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD rise smaller.

  • #344
  • Sep 16, 2025 3:05pm Sep 16, 2025 3:05pm
Quoting Fx-Blitz
this usd bear is strong, usdchf and jpy look like going off the cliff, eur new highs maybe,, im thinking it could get spikey, quite dangerous play thinking something like an initial drop then some comments just whip lashing it everywhere among other scenarios, i might sit it out, im sitting in audnzd and b/e of nzdcad feeling comfortable,,, eurcad looking sweet and gbpcad i was waiting for that pop, possible hawkish tone from the fed should accelerate it downwards, theres a lot to analyze here, what your guys take on the fed and boc? I was getting...

IfI would trade like this I'll be ded already. lol. But best luck to you and this hawkish plan. Cheer$

imo NCAD and GCAD heading down to trap sellers it should not break few hours back I posted GClong it hasn't yet completed
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  • #345
  • Sep 16, 2025 8:04pm Sep 16, 2025 8:04pm
Quoting Fx-Blitz
this usd bear is strong, usdchf and jpy look like going off the cliff, eur new highs maybe,, im thinking it could get spikey, quite dangerous play thinking something like an initial drop then some comments just whip lashing it everywhere among other scenarios, i might sit it out, im sitting in audnzd and b/e of nzdcad feeling comfortable,,, eurcad looking sweet and gbpcad i was waiting for that pop, possible hawkish tone from the fed should accelerate it downwards, theres a lot to analyze here, what your guys take on the fed and boc? I was getting...
bro why do you write so cryptic ?First time I read at a glance thought you might be onto something, and I am a person who encourages smallest of the idea but now that I read it again, it makes no sense to me. This ain't gram if you can't post your entries then let it be. you are fooling yourself. ECAD and GCAD rangebound ? or you cant decide where to enter ? CAD may gain slightly !? What the fuck is slightly and if oil is supportive. you expected cpi 25bps, Show me how CPI helps you. Man I generally don't react but something that I'm hooked with so long I can sense even the slightest of bull fucking shit ! Why you making me say all this ? It's not language barrier or I'm ranting over a post, its the context that pissed me really off dude. I've been nailing my zones lately and aware of what all pairs are doing it's not about right or wrong either. Kindly Ban me if this post makes sense. it could get spikey ? ugh !!!!!!  Please don't do this nothing pisses me off than spam. Write Goodmorning 10 times I don't fucking care I don't own the space but don't post random shit if you don't know shit about it. thanks and Apologies

WHAT THE FUCK DO I MAKE OF YOUR SCENARIO MATRIX ?

Scenario Matrix: EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD We’ll look at two key variables: Fed tone: Hawkish / Neutral / Dovish BoC cut / Canadian CPI: As expected (25bps) / Hawkish surprise (smaller cut or hold) / Dovish surprise (larger cut or stronger easing signal) Fed ToneBoC OutcomeEUR/CAD / GBP/CAD Likely MoveNotes Hawkish FedBoC as expected (25bps cut) Moderate dropUSD strength → CAD loses vs USD but outperforms EUR/GBP → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD fall. BoC cut already priced, so CAD impact is muted vs EUR/GBP. Hawkish FedBoC more dovish than expected Small drop / rangeboundCAD weakens more → offsets USD strength vs EUR/GBP. Net effect: EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD may not fall as much. Hawkish FedBoC less dovish / hold Larger dropCAD stronger than expected, Fed hawkish → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD drop sharply. Best-case scenario for short setup. Neutral FedBoC as expected Slight drop / rangeCAD mildly weaker vs USD but stable vs EUR/GBP. EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD mostly rangebound. Neutral FedBoC more dovish Slight rise / flatCAD weakens more → offsets neutral Fed → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD may creep higher. Neutral FedBoC less dovish / hold Small dropCAD stronger than expected → small drop in EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD. Dovish FedBoC as expected Rise USD down → CAD may gain slightly if oil is supportive, but EUR/GBP generally stronger → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD rise. Dovish FedBoC more dovish Moderate riseBoth USD down and CAD easing → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD likely spike higher. Risk for short trades. Dovish FedBoC less dovish / hold Mild rise / flatCAD stronger than expected may offset USD weakness → EUR/CAD & GBP/CAD rise smaller.
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  • #346
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:00pm Sep 16, 2025 11:00pm
here is why i think the eurcad was sweet amongst many other things in h4, maybe a little trick a reader will pick up but i think its possible its in the 4th wave, the spike i skipped, they usually dont count for me thats why i was waiting for the pop also some other things were showing me it could do that, but do i really need to trade it with the risk later on top of every other potential that could happen

dont worry about those words all i see is emotional blindness and drawdown, ive been with some real bad people it is like child talking to me,,, i thought a little resonance was here, maybe not
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  • #347
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:40pm Sep 16, 2025 11:40pm
Quoting varun76
An epic zone to enter shorts {image}
be careful friend, the euro is still in a frenetic and insane buying spree against all the majors.
Fed will show the way it s a matter of hours
chaos is just unknown order
  • #348
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:41pm Sep 16, 2025 11:41pm
I did not intent to disrespect you in any way, the entire context was based on the post. I said what I had to , Also I don't want anyone to care about anything from me except for myself that's all matter. Please post levels or teach this poor child so I can at least exit, Since I'm already gambling all these years. what do I know.
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  • #349
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:42pm Sep 16, 2025 11:42pm
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} be careful friend, the euro is still in a frenetic and insane buying spree against all the majors. Fed will show the way it s a matter of hours
You are right I'll be careful. looks hopeful so far though.
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  • #350
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:48pm Sep 16, 2025 11:48pm
GA looks better in H12, testing descending channel as support. good chances of going up imho, unless it will get slammed down again to print a new low LOL
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chaos is just unknown order
  • #351
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:49pm Sep 16, 2025 11:49pm
Quoting Fx-Blitz
{quote} what a baby guy, nobody cares about your drawdown, and nobody here opened those trades for u, i think u need a break go try some yuga from the Scenario Matrix on wards is all written by a.i, i guess u have no experience with a.i ill explain the 1st half of what u dont understand? chf or jpy of a cliff? that was a bit of joking diddnt get it obviously, what else? before scenario matrix, that was again, written by a.i... i simply dont have time for your baby talk my interpretation on the a.is fundi convo i had is u can see the many scenarios...
ALSO ECAD GCAD and ncad GOING up exit when you can or not we will see how it unfolds
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  • #352
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:52pm Sep 16, 2025 11:52pm
Quoting Luxyus
GA looks better in H12, testing descending channel as support. good chances of going up imho, unless it will get slammed down again to print a new low LOL {image}
If these pairs does not create another low, you won't be hearing another word from me. For some reason lately I'm loving drama. Have a good day mate.
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  • #353
  • Sep 17, 2025 12:00am Sep 17, 2025 12:00am
Quoting varun76
{quote} If these pairs does not create another low, you won't be hearing another word from me. For some reason lately I'm loving drama. Have a good day mate.
hey, it s forex!
chaos is just unknown order
  • #354
  • Edited 1:06am Sep 17, 2025 12:05am | Edited 1:06am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} hey, it s forex!
Wouldn't say such thing if it would be anything else, let alone I'm not sure If I'm waking up tomorrow but these are going down.
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  • #355
  • Sep 17, 2025 12:38am Sep 17, 2025 12:38am
Quoting varun76
I did not intent to disrespect you in any way, the entire context was based on the post. I said what I had to , Also I don't want anyone to care about anything from me except for myself that's all matter. Please post levels or teach this poor child so I can at least exit, Since I'm already gambling all these years. what do I know.
probably a lot there is a lot to be proud of, it makes me think of the guy (not u just a story), who plants the coffee seed, and the guys and ladies who water it and take care of it and the guy who picks it and gives it to the delivery guy, that guy has to drive all the way and delivers it to the factory and all the ladies and guys process it and package it and then give it back to the man who comes all the way and picks it up, takes it to the ship it goes, it gets transported by the many guys who are away from there families to bring it to our country then to the man to deliver it to the store then on the shelf by the hard working team at the food store, then from there to our cup etc etc u know what i mean, not sure where im going with this

i might exit out ncad looks to be flagging though and play this ecad or gcad not sure yet dont like that triangle in the ecad, gcad is to low for me, sl will be to far

ill try help out when i can
  • #356
  • Sep 17, 2025 12:52am Sep 17, 2025 12:52am
Quoting Fx-Blitz
{quote} probably a lot there is a lot to be proud of, it makes me think of the guy (not u just a story), who plants the coffee seed, and the guys and ladies who water it and take care of it and the guy who picks it and gives it to the delivery guy, that guy has to drive all the way and delivers it to the factory and all the ladies and guys process it and package it and then give it back to the man who comes all the way and picks it up, takes it to the ship it goes, it gets transported by the many guys who are away from there families to bring it...

I might know what you mean that even life is unique to everyone it's still a team work, together we grow better and stronger.


Do help and contribute whenever you can.
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  • #357
  • Sep 17, 2025 1:47am Sep 17, 2025 1:47am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} i m not a mage but some bottoming is building up, at least the downtrend channel starts looking to be broken. Ye next critical is figure 2,05 {image}
i will not get surprised if a seconday test is going to be printed, outcame can be different anyway when reached.
chaos is just unknown order
  • #358
  • Sep 17, 2025 1:58am Sep 17, 2025 1:58am
No, you’re not, that’s the irony. The banks, the Vanguard do exist in reality but they don’t control the price or anything for that matter. Do you know before 2000 there were no charts, two guys from Russia started a charting package for local Russians, it got widely famous, they saw the potential but this is such a complex area Russia couldn’t be the originating zone so they moved to Ciaz Republic and re-registered the company MetaQuotes. The two Russians were software engineers, they added new people to the team, one of the team members offered the first MT4 platform after official rebranding of a language in itself and the best part they let other brokers white label it and have a datacenter nearest to the broker’s office for transmitting feed, it got widely adopted. Check for yourself, no matter what broker you are using or platform, the daily candle and the entire forex market works in sync with Ukraine time to be precise. Try accepting this theory for once, you will see charts differently. There are many things, as per me I don’t feel like sharing on a public forum but I am convinced. This story could be a complete flux, don’t take it seriously.

The reason I am sharing drawdown is to prove the numbers game is different than the chart. I haven’t closed except for very few trades in loss since the day I started posting my first drawdown. Just Trades | Page 2 | Forex Factory My balance was 6889, leverage 1:69, –492 floating loss, I’m already in profit being an emotional fool and stretching things to expect the worst. Now I am in a zone where drawdown doesn’t matter, just the zones. My balance and equity simultaneously keep growing and it will never stop until I fear and mess things deliberately. The drawdown is high but it’s 3 weeks old trades that will be closed by a week or two and now I don’t have to hold any trades. I could see many amazing zones but I am unable to enter because I have maxed out my number of trades. Now in a week or two I’ll just copy the new trades to a live account.

My money management is minimum 13k to cover any situation, 0.03 lot for every 10k and just keep harvesting. Don’t enter haphazardly, enter where swing zones are and the price only appears a few times a week, the rest of the time it will be in a direction insisting on a bias it’s not supposed to go. More later.
My theories could be mere flux. Kindly don’t take it seriously. How do you think I made 800k to 4 mil 3.2 mil in profit the equite touched as high as 6.5 mil Luck, Maybe that time I did only to figure out more.

Again the broker only posted this to market itself, I know the kind of investment it has pulled showing my account/s. https://www.thehindubusinessline.com...oogle_vignette

Caution : My theories could be mere flux don't take it seriously !
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  • #359
  • Sep 17, 2025 1:59am Sep 17, 2025 1:59am
and my leverage still around same
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  • #360
  • Sep 17, 2025 2:43am Sep 17, 2025 2:43am
I’m sharing this partly because I want to fail in public. I wanted to win, yet I’ve watched people close to me win games I wasn’t even playing. I’ve always been kind, but some folks shove that kindness in my back. I still don’t have answers to a lot of my whys life has humbled me enough that it takes care of me in strange ways.

I want to put what’s inside my head in front of an audience that actually gets it. I want to see if what I say has any worth. If I’ve had enough to make this work not from luck, but by finishing a cycle on my own terms then I won’t need to talk much about it. I want every uncertainty to try and stop me, I’ll take my time, climb back, and get to where I’m supposed to be. The same goes for our beloved Forex.
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