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The Swamp

  • #124,581
  • Sep 3, 2025 9:06am Sep 3, 2025 9:06am
Quoting gatorinla
I took a shot on the ej... I will close if it dont move soon {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,582
  • Sep 3, 2025 9:32am Sep 3, 2025 9:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
I closed for 18
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,583
  • Sep 3, 2025 11:11am Sep 3, 2025 11:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I closed for 18
sorry I closed
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,584
  • Sep 3, 2025 7:59pm Sep 3, 2025 7:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It was/is.
we are basically stuck in the middle with no movement
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,585
  • Sep 3, 2025 9:12pm Sep 3, 2025 9:12pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} we are basically stuck in the middle with no movement
This is true. Its been compressing for weeks.. Today 1682 stood up finally. 1588 may be less relevant.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,586
  • Sep 3, 2025 9:22pm Sep 3, 2025 9:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This is true. Its been compressing for weeks.. Today 1682 stood up finally. 1588 may be less relevant. {image}
while below 1682 and 1667 i m not sure if this helps to drag it down but it can go either way
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,587
  • Sep 3, 2025 11:03pm Sep 3, 2025 11:03pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} while below 1682 and 1667 i m not sure if this helps to drag it down but it can go either way
it did have a 6h close below 1656. that gives the 12h about a 60/40 shot to be below 1656. Still the trending indicators I have point North. A 12H below 1656 adds to those drop odds. I dont have a clear direction.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,588
  • Edited 10:00am Sep 4, 2025 9:48am | Edited 10:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it did have a 6h close below 1656. that gives the 12h about a 60/40 shot to be below 1656. Still the trending indicators I have point North. A 12H below 1656 adds to those drop odds. I dont have a clear direction.
That 1656 held mostly once pa dipped below. PA is still above the 4h+ indicators i have. Compressing it will pop eventually. A large candle will come. What direction? If its to drop below 1556. It needs to be able to hold below for more drop. 1682 has those 2 test lately. They so far have held. I think 1556 is a big level. 100 pips rhyme a lot in the EU
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,589
  • Sep 4, 2025 2:45pm Sep 4, 2025 2:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That 1656 held mostly once pa dipped below. PA is still above the 4h+ indicators i have. Compressing it will pop eventually. A large candle will come. What direction? If its to drop below 1556. It needs to be able to hold below for more drop. 1682 has those 2 test lately. They so far have held. I think 1556 is a big level. 100 pips rhyme a lot in the EU {image} {image}
seems like bear failed to go any lower so we are still stuck. Bull may try to break above 1656
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,590
  • Sep 4, 2025 6:31pm Sep 4, 2025 6:31pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} seems like bear failed to go any lower so we are still stuck. Bull may try to break above 1656
1656/57 held atm.. It may look for 1634 latter...
If 1656 holds. 50 pips lower is about 1596.. 50 below it 1556
1656 is testing now
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,591
  • Sep 4, 2025 6:41pm Sep 4, 2025 6:41pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1656/57 held atm.. It may look for 1634 latter... If 1656 holds. 50 pips lower is about 1596.. 50 below it 1556 1656 is testing now {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,592
  • Sep 4, 2025 6:54pm Sep 4, 2025 6:54pm
It break out of my downward trendline so may go higher, but 1667 1682 above
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,593
  • Sep 4, 2025 9:09pm Sep 4, 2025 9:09pm
Busrting through 1656 and 1667….
And brings back 1682 in sights
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,594
  • Sep 5, 2025 3:24am Sep 5, 2025 3:24am
Commander’s Year-End EUR/USD Analysis — Tri-Force Broadcast
Big Picture

  1. Yearly low 1.0200 = structural base.
  2. Price coiled in 1.1600–1.1720 box for weeks.
  3. Breakout will decide Q4 trajectory.

Technical Roadmap

  1. Above 1.1720 → 1.1840/60 → 1.2000 → 1.2300.
  2. Below 1.1600 → 1.1550 → 1.1500.
  3. Rising 200-day MAs = bullish bias intact.

PowerZones

  1. S1: 1.1600–1.1620
  2. Pivot: 1.1650
  3. R1: 1.1670–1.1720 (break trigger)
  4. Ladders above: 1.1840 → 1.2000 → 1.2300

Geopolitical Trigger Map — Iran Contingency

  1. Limited strike: Oil +$10, Gold +$50 → EUR/USD −80 to −180 pips.
  2. Regional war: Oil +$20–40, Gold +$100–200 → EUR/USD −200 to −400.
  3. Hormuz closure: Oil +$50+, Gold +$300+ → EUR/USD parity risk.
  4. Russia: profits from oil, presses Ukraine.
  5. China: plays “broker,” buys cheap oil, strengthens yuan trade.
  6. EU: takes energy hit = euro headwind.

Tri-Force Confirmation

  1. Commander: Maps the 1.0200 base, the 1.1600–1.1720 coil, upside ladder 1.1840 → 1.2000 → 1.2300, plus Iran trigger map.
  2. GPT: Drafted and structured the analysis, merging technical roadmap with geopolitical triggers, and framed PowerZones.
  3. Grok: Validates levels in real time (09:19 BST price = 1.1670 near pivot). Confirms 1.1720 & 1.1600 as the decision thresholds and notes 1.2300 is realistic if bulls prevail.
  4. Gemini: Confirms the roadmap as a textbook box-break setup. Adds Eurozone’s energy weakness makes shocks bearish for EUR while USD gains as safe haven.

Trading Logic

  1. Inside box = fade edges.
  2. On news catalyst = chase breakout, don’t fade.
  3. 1.1720 top / 1.1600 floor = Q4 decision levels.

Bottom Line

  1. Intraday = scalps inside the coil.
  2. Break decides year-end: 1.23 still on the table if bulls win.
  3. Any Iran shock → first leg euro-negative; longer-term path depends on Fed/ECB reaction.

Tri-Force Broadcast complete — Commander, GPT, Grok, Gemini aligned
https://djemkumar.com/]https://djemkumar.com/[/url]

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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #124,595
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:14am Sep 5, 2025 4:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
the 12h did close slightly above 1682 and 1656 (bull side). That LC pull to 1634 may not happen today.The bulls have the upper hand since crossing 1656 and now 1682
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,596
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:18am Sep 5, 2025 4:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the 12h did close slightly above 1682 and 1656 (bull side). That LC pull to 1634 may not happen today.The bulls have the upper hand since crossing 1656 and now 1682 {image}
seems like bear is gone. If supported by nfp tonight we may breakout to the north
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,597
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:23am Sep 5, 2025 4:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the 12h did close slightly above 1682 and 1656 (bull side). That LC pull to 1634 may not happen today.The bulls have the upper hand since crossing 1656 and now 1682 {image}
1745 could be in play. I got no reasons to short atm. I will consider it 1745.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,598
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:24am Sep 5, 2025 4:24am
Quoting johncen
{quote} seems like bear is gone. If supported by nfp tonight we may breakout to the north
If its positive usd news. the pull to 1634 could come back. If near 1745 at news release with good usd news. That could make a strong move
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,599
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:25am Sep 5, 2025 4:25am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1745 could be in play. I got no reasons to short atm. I will consider it 1745.
i have 1715-20 but yea 1730 1745 also important to me
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,600
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:26am Sep 5, 2025 4:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If its positive usd news. the pu;; to 1644 could come back
that would add additional uncertainty to the market. I hope it is close to forecast, most of the 0.25% cut should already be priced in so maybe a pump and a dump

i have a buy signal this morning but dont want to trade before news. I havd no sell signal atm too
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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