The Swamp | Page 6229 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #124,561
  • Aug 31, 2025 10:53pm Aug 31, 2025 10:53pm
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} I closed my short opened at 1732. This move up above 1712 failed my setup so I'm out. Waiting to see next move...
this move plus gold breaking the roof makes me wonder if we will be breaking out from the range but today is US holiday so i kinda doubt it
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,562
  • Sep 2, 2025 3:29am Sep 2, 2025 3:29am
Quoting gatorinla
EU last year closed in a b/o close. It shows a multi decade. 23 year lower close. I think it should had fallen tech wise. But the tariffs/nut job hurt the trajectory. Removing the tariffs may remove some upper pressure after the dust settles. This move up was large. Similar to war years ramp up for the u.s. Yet we were not at war {image}
A large red candle under 1682..
If we see some capitualization like the last candle 1588. 1635 or 1619,,, may help block.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 10 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 10 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,563
  • Sep 2, 2025 3:38am Sep 2, 2025 3:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A large red candle under 1682.. If we see some capitualization like the last candle 1588. 1635 or 1619,,, may help block. {image} {image}
This next h close may hint for more below 1635 or 1619.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,564
  • Sep 2, 2025 3:50am Sep 2, 2025 3:50am
If this time tomorrow if pa is below 1556 or 1588. A drop could real. 1556 Could establish a new R
With tariffs its been on a rise. Without tariffs it may go where it started. Or at least a decent amount. The fall may be faster than the rise. Once you know its just a child with cap gun. The rest is noise
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,565
  • Sep 2, 2025 3:58am Sep 2, 2025 3:58am
Quoting gatorinla
If this time tomorrow if pa is below 1556 or 1588. A drop could real. 1556 Could establish a new R With tariffs its been on a rise. Without tariffs it may go where it started. Or at least a decent amount. The fall may be faster than the rise. Once you know its just a cap gun. The rest is noise
the drop since London open was super nice! Maybe market start to realise Euro zone and Britain are also in deep shit.
we have euro zone news in 4 mins.
closing below 1556 1582 maybe aggressive for the next 24 hours but not impossible. We are still stuck in the range since early Aug.
am not sure if we will just stay within until Fomc
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,566
  • Edited 4:19am Sep 2, 2025 4:09am | Edited 4:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This next h close may hint for more below 1635 or 1619.
1635 held up. the 12h is not bad looking. Most indicators are still up. Pa dipped to a LL. and made aLH Friday.
Structure wise (month wk day) point lower to me. But the the structure at 1556 is bullish
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 14 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,567
  • Sep 2, 2025 4:15am Sep 2, 2025 4:15am
Quoting johncen
{quote} the drop since London open was super nice! Maybe market start to realise Euro zone and Britain are also in deep shit. we have euro zone news in 4 mins. closing below 1556 1582 maybe aggressive for the next 24 hours but not impossible. We are still stuck in the range since early Aug. am not sure if we will just stay within until Fomc
Its always comparable. like hey "We got a war in Europe with a guy who wants to expand" Wake the fuck up. You can't count on the orange fool in the clown suit.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,568
  • Sep 2, 2025 4:23am Sep 2, 2025 4:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its always comparable. like hey "We got a war in Europe with a guy who wants to expand" Wake the fuck up. You can't count on the orange fool in the clown suit.
he has gone pretty quiet lately, i mean still blah blah on his “truth” social but not showing his face much
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,569
  • Sep 2, 2025 4:27am Sep 2, 2025 4:27am
Quoting johncen
{quote} he has gone pretty quiet lately, i mean still blah blah on his “truth” social but not showing his face much
A rising usd kills oil prices. with cheaper oil Putin losses finance. War over
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,570
  • Sep 2, 2025 4:33am Sep 2, 2025 4:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A rising usd kills oil prices. with cheaper oil Putin losses finance. War over
as long as China/India continues to buy from Russia maybe not much of an impact? They are not paying usd
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,571
  • Sep 2, 2025 4:43am Sep 2, 2025 4:43am
Quoting johncen
{quote} as long as China/India continues to buy from Russia maybe not much of an impact? They are not paying usd
Sure they are. Putin has to lower the price in whatever currency they use. Or the others will buy it from the western producer. Ukraine is killing Putin's refining output. Russia has less refining to export (its a lot more valuable than crude). So they have more crude to export. Further dropping the crude price in whatever currency they are using. Eventually you go broke. Russia has a domestic petro shortage. With a shrinking income on exports. A rising usd hurts them
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,572
  • Sep 2, 2025 4:45am Sep 2, 2025 4:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Sure they are. Putin has to lower the price in whatever currency they use. Or the others will buy it from the western producer. Ukraine is killing Putin's refining output. Russia has less refining to export (its a lot more valuable than crude). So they have more crude to export. Further dropping the crude price in whatever currency they are using. Eventually you go broke. Russia has a domestic petro shortage. With a shrinking income.
if Russia has to buy firearms from North Korea u kinda know they are in trouble. After the war with Ukraine it will take years for them to recover
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,573
  • Sep 2, 2025 5:24am Sep 2, 2025 5:24am
Quoting johncen
{quote} if Russia has to buy firearms from North Korea u kinda know they are in trouble. After the war with Ukraine it will take years for them to recover

HAHAH

How dumb do you have to be to believe this stuff?
  • #124,574
  • Sep 2, 2025 5:27am Sep 2, 2025 5:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A rising usd kills oil prices. with cheaper oil Putin losses finance. War over

Come on man, you have been saying the same crap for 4 years and have been consistently wrong. Just give it up already, you sound ridiculous every time you talk about it. You have abslolutely zero knowldege about what is going on
  • #124,575
  • Sep 2, 2025 5:57am Sep 2, 2025 5:57am
Quoting xtradex
{quote} Come on man, you have been saying the same crap for 4 years and have been consistently wrong. Just give it up already, you sound ridiculous every time you talk about it. You have absolutely zero knowledge about what is going on
I didnt give a timeline. But the moron Putin you worship did. Was it not 10 days to take the entire country from the Nazis. Yet your still are indoctrinated by the propaganda. Your showing people how stupid people are prone to believe bullshit. You practice too much. Take some time off. I know 0. Your right, i know what Putin said. And that's like knowing 0. Practicing being smart, with dumb shit dont make you smart. Day 916 and counting. Flamingos are in the sky tick tock.

Vladimir Putin called the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine a "special military operation" (Russian: О проведении специальной военной операции). He announced this term during a televised address on February 24, 2022, framing the action as a defense of Russian-speaking territories in eastern Ukraine and a mission to "demilitarise and denazify" the country.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,576
  • Sep 3, 2025 2:20am Sep 3, 2025 2:20am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A large red candle under 1682.. If we see some capitualization like the last candle 1588. 1635 or 1619,,, may help block. {image} {image}
It tested 1682 from below.. But still above 1556. 1588 is below too. Lets see if it test 1588. at 5am est a close below 1588. may be a signal to to test 1556 later (less than 2h)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 5 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,577
  • Edited 3:17am Sep 3, 2025 2:27am | Edited 3:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It tested 1682 from below.. But still above 1556. 1588 is below too. Lets see if it test 1588. at 5am est a close below 1588. may be a signal to to test 1556 later (less than 2h) {image}
if we get accelerated it is possible to see 1582 but i m not sure about 1556 as it means a breakout of the range which may signal further drops cominh
ok no breakout still
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,578
  • Sep 3, 2025 4:06am Sep 3, 2025 4:06am
That was a ugly 4h candle for the bear
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,579
  • Sep 3, 2025 6:41am Sep 3, 2025 6:41am
Quoting johncen
That was a ugly 4h candle for the bear
It was/is.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,580
  • Sep 3, 2025 8:49am Sep 3, 2025 8:49am
I took a shot on the ej... I will close if it dont move soon
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 5 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
51 traders viewing now