Attachments: The Swamp

The Swamp

#124,321
Aug 17, 2025 4:14pm Aug 17, 2025 4:14pm

johncen
Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 8,022 Posts | Online Now

Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} I got a few different opens, different platforms. All under 1714, but not 1686 82. Indicator wise leans bulls still. 1714 is still blocking.

Ignored

plus spread is too wide to do anything at the stage

a deal with Russia can boost up the Euro, at least initially.

Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.

#124,322
Aug 17, 2025 9:16pm Aug 17, 2025 9:16pm

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

Quoting johncen

Disliked

{quote} plus spread is too wide to do anything at the stage a deal with Russia can boost up the Euro, at least initially.

Ignored

There is no deal. Putin made an ass out of Trump. From pissed against Putin tough talk. To crickets on what he would do. This was done before by Neville Chamberlain in 1938. We have been here before. All he did was give a green light.

those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can

#124,323
Aug 17, 2025 10:26pm Aug 17, 2025 10:26pm

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

Today + 1714 Sustained above is a likely bullish break out. A wick alone dont count. The same bellow 1682. Some lighter support at 1659ish. 1682 can support like 1714 can resist. Placement can make 1682 strong support, or strong R when sustained below. 1682 can be stronger than 1714. But i have a problem because 1682 missed a rung on timing. That may be a sign of a bearish agenda. PA is above 1682 and below 1714. I think sustained above 1714 is bullish. Below 1682 sustained bearish. My indicators are bullish. Probably like the rest of yours. If it does slip below 1682, and later 1659. It may have topped. Either later can resist. By topped I mean 1682 can force a 200+ pip drop.

those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can

#124,324
Aug 17, 2025 11:47pm Aug 17, 2025 11:47pm

Airpirate
| Joined Oct 2023 | Status: Trader | 4 Posts

Quoting gatorinla

Disliked

{quote} There is no deal. Putin made an ass out of Trump. From pissed against Putin tough talk. To crickets on what he would do. This was done before by Neville Chamberlain in 1938. We have been here before. All he did was give a green light.

Ignored

If you knew anything about diplomacy and geopolitics, you'd know that no deal happens quickly after a high level dialogue. Trump can inject himself all he likes, but no deal will be reached until Ukraine and Russia make that decision.

#124,325
Aug 18, 2025 12:40am Aug 18, 2025 12:40am

johncen
Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 8,022 Posts | Online Now

Quoting gatorinla

Disliked

{quote} There is no deal. Putin made an ass out of Trump. From pissed against Putin tough talk. To crickets on what he would do. This was done before by Neville Chamberlain in 1938. We have been here before. All he did was give a green light.

Ignored

Trump is meeting with EU leaders later~ though its hard to make the deal works or its going to look bad for EU. Just like the trade deal

Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.

#124,326
Aug 18, 2025 1:20am Aug 18, 2025 1:20am

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

if the h closes below 1682 in 3 hs that may be bearish sign. It can be choppy.. Not being able to take 1714. Is not bullish

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can

#124,327
Aug 18, 2025 2:02am Aug 18, 2025 2:02am

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

EJ looks like a short

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can

#124,328
Aug 18, 2025 4:00am Aug 18, 2025 4:00am

johncen
Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 8,022 Posts | Online Now

Quoting gatorinla

Disliked

if the h closes below 1682 in 3 hs that may be bearish sign. It can be choppy.. Not being able to take 1714. Is not bullish {image}

Ignored

it was just under, not sure how strong this is

Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.

#124,329
Aug 18, 2025 7:11am Aug 18, 2025 7:11am

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

Quoting johncen

Disliked

{quote} it was just under, not sure how strong this is

Ignored

Alone it leans bearish overall for the day usually. But it can reach back above 30ish pips. In this case pa was unable to break back above 1714, it closed the 12h below 1682. That's the best bears could hoped for early. Now you would want the b/o below 1659 sustained. But using indicators its still above the 1h 200 etc.. 1682 may harden as R for the next 4 weeks, eventually 1550/20. I will let you know. If holding below 1575 Wednesday mostly. It may be deeper. Its unlikely to be pretty.. Lots of stuff to break.

those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can

#124,330
Aug 18, 2025 7:24am Aug 18, 2025 7:24am

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

1659.9 is a b/o point. So it can support.. it may push it to test 1682 from under

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can

#124,331
Aug 18, 2025 7:40am Aug 18, 2025 7:40am

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

Quoting gatorinla

Disliked

EJ looks like a short {image}

Ignored

The same as the euro usd.. The ej is caught in 2 worlds. The 172.5 area can sink it well below lc using the month. But the week is lined up against the month.

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can

#124,332
Aug 18, 2025 9:09am Aug 18, 2025 9:09am

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

I may be wrong.. The ej looks stretched on the month bearish. The week closed in a bullish stance.. One will be wrong. it could pull the eu up also. But with the 12h close.. they should be back.

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can

#124,333
Aug 18, 2025 9:56am Aug 18, 2025 9:56am

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

Eu is testing the st day b/o point. I say st because the month is 1682 and it could of triggered a break down of several hundred pips.. But it still needs sustained below 1659. The 1h 200 about 1658

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can

#124,334
Edited 10:59am Aug 18, 2025 10:14am | Edited 10:59am

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

For the ej to fall.. it has to slip back below 172.5.. it just held a lc above. I thought it would follow the eu.. but its being stubborn with that week bullish bias. When it stops.. it should reach 171.55.. pa atm is likely overextended above 171.55.. Later 171.08 may bounce it for a 171.55 retest from below. Wednesday could be a telling day
ATm pa is above 172.50 and 57
That's where it can slip.. If your indicators start to line up.. look at it hard.. Note the week is not inline atm. It may be wednesday. eu 1682/86ish may be developing as R, overshoot 1714

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can

#124,335
Aug 18, 2025 11:23am Aug 18, 2025 11:23am

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

ej did take back 172.57 172.5 atm below 172.33 sustained brings it back to a day neutral place. It and the eu has some room is eu breaks below 1659 and ej 172.33 sustained. ej may find its next b/o support at 171.55... The eu is already testing its at 1659
Both are in a supportish place.. if either breaks it may pull the other..

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can

#124,336
Edited 11:57am Aug 18, 2025 11:40am | Edited 11:57am

gatorinla
Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts

The eu ej is not lined up week versus month yet atm.. the uj is lined up week and month. -147.67 sustained can be it slipping below the waves. Below 137.3 austaned is not bullish... Its well extended above 146.85.. it hit near 148.. I missed this earlier.. The yen can be linked with equities. High equities float crosses. The usd/yen, more so on the usd, have a bearish shadow. The Yen looks to have power across the usd and eur. If the eu and ej break their week bias they will be inline with the month and the usd/jpy
This is likely opposite of many trending indicators. This is trend too.. Just a different type of trend, with no ma based averages like most indicators.

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