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  • #212,181
  • Jul 31, 2025 3:54am Jul 31, 2025 3:54am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} While M15 candles open below 1.1462 we should only look for selling.. another option is sidelines... but not buying!
On the M15, EURUSD is showing bearish vibes as long as candles open below 1.1462—stick to selling setups only. Targets could align with the 30M forecast at 1.1380 and 1.1350 if momentum holds. RSI and MAs back the downward trend, so sideline’s an option if unsure, but no buying yet—bears are in control. SL above 1.1485 if you jump in.
  • #212,182
  • Jul 31, 2025 4:29am Jul 31, 2025 4:29am

  1. ON THE DAILY TIMEFRAME:

  1. The price today broke through the OB.
  2. The price couple of days ago made a CHoCH.
  3. It now formed a second BOS.
    Attached Image (click to enlarge)
    Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 27 KB

  1. DOWN TO THE 4H TIMEFRAME:

  1. An OB is broken and the FVG was created due to the FOMC MEETING.
  2. The FVG is mitigated by the price
  3. The price is now currently being rejected by the FVG indicating it as a true FVG not an IFVG.

  1. DOWN TO THE HOULRY TIMEFRAME:

  1. A nice rejection is seen in hourly timeframe.
    Attached Image (click to enlarge)
    Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 27 KB

  1. DOWN TO THE 30MIN TIMEFRAME:

  1. A small uptrend is seen because the price made HH and HL but the CHoCH is not formed intil the major swing high is crossed.
  2. A MARUBOZU BLACK or BEARISH candle is seen after an uptrend indicating high selling pressure.
    Attached Image (click to enlarge)
    Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 26 KB

  1. DOWN TO THE 15MIN TIMFRAME:

  1. A red HANGING MAN canldestick is seen before MARUBOZU CANDLE indicating possible reversals to downside.
  2. A descending triangle after an uptrend indicates weekening uptrend and possible reversal to downside.
    Attached Image (click to enlarge)
    Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 37 KB

  1. WAITING FOR THE BREAKOUT AND PULL BACK AND THEN GOING SHORT.

  • #212,183
  • Jul 31, 2025 4:32am Jul 31, 2025 4:32am
Sell limit on 1.14800 Tight Stop loss 1.14950 Take profit 1.14100 Rinse and repeat people, Trump’s deal got USD way stronger this is the sentiment of everyone now. Now it’s a slow but steady downfall till pre tariffs levels around 1.11 but for now I only loook for sell opportunities as I fear that because of the news the graphic in the bigger picture will reverse
  • #212,184
  • Jul 31, 2025 4:40am Jul 31, 2025 4:40am
Price just tapped the lower trendline of the current uptrend near 1.1437, lining up with the recent pullback zone.
Looks like it's building energy for a possible bounce — could be getting ready to react and resume the prior uptrend.
RSI is neutral, so no extremes yet.
Trendline is still holding strong as key support.
If we get a bullish confirmation candle, I’ll be watching for a move back toward 1.1610.
Let’s see if the bulls step in here.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily20250731.png Size: 27 KB
  • #212,185
  • Jul 31, 2025 4:45am Jul 31, 2025 4:45am
Quoting s.jalili
Price just tapped the lower trendline of the current uptrend near 1.1437, lining up with the recent pullback zone. Looks like it's building energy for a possible bounce — could be getting ready to react and resume the prior uptrend. RSI is neutral, so no extremes yet. Trendline is still holding strong as key support. If we get a bullish confirmation candle, I’ll be watching for a move back toward 1.1610. Let’s see if the bulls step in here. {image}
Fundamentally?
FOMC just held rates at 4.25–4.50% — no surprise, but 2 members voted for a cut. Cracks starting to show in the Fed's hawkish front.
U.S. data is mixed — job market is cooling slowly, inflation sticky but not spiking. Market still pricing 1 cut by Sept, maybe 1 more in 2025.
Powell sounded cautious — wants more data before moving. Dovish shift starting, but very gradual.
Eurozone? Inflation’s easing, but growth is fragile. ECB also in hold mode, but Lagarde isn’t rushing into cuts either.
Overall: USD is holding ground for now, but if labor data weakens, expect pressure. EUR/USD stuck between Fed patience and ECB hesitation.
  • #212,186
  • Jul 31, 2025 4:53am Jul 31, 2025 4:53am
sold the pair at 1.1439, though not much confident, target could be 1.1375
  • #212,187
  • Jul 31, 2025 5:17am Jul 31, 2025 5:17am
This is how I see it , it will resettle and go sideways until the news and then it will continue going down
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #212,188
  • Jul 31, 2025 5:23am Jul 31, 2025 5:23am
Based on M15, I went short just now at 1.1433.....
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #212,189
  • Jul 31, 2025 5:28am Jul 31, 2025 5:28am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Waiting on sidelines... {image}
No harm done. closed at -14 pips. Short at 1.1431 SL 1.1464
This information is not intended as investment advice
  • #212,190
  • Jul 31, 2025 5:37am Jul 31, 2025 5:37am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Based on M15, I went short just now at 1.1433.....
Just gave an example of entry... Closed here at 1.1423 with +10 pips...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #212,191
  • Jul 31, 2025 5:43am Jul 31, 2025 5:43am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Just gave an example of entry... Closed here at 1.1423 with +10 pips...
I got out as well as something seems off. +3 pips

Long at 1.1428 SL 1.1395
This information is not intended as investment advice
  • #212,192
  • Jul 31, 2025 6:57am Jul 31, 2025 6:57am
Getting ready to sell again...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #212,193
  • Jul 31, 2025 7:05am Jul 31, 2025 7:05am
EU is currently bullish. News may spike up then sell off later
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #212,194
  • Jul 31, 2025 7:18am Jul 31, 2025 7:18am
Quoting ijaz554
EU is currently bullish. News may spike up then sell off later {image}
Consider this Support turned Resistance area as well
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 10 KB
  • #212,195
  • Jul 31, 2025 7:23am Jul 31, 2025 7:23am
No more selling... switching to bullish based on M15 anticipation...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #212,196
  • Jul 31, 2025 7:30am Jul 31, 2025 7:30am
Opened a long order here at 1.1431
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #212,197
  • Jul 31, 2025 7:32am Jul 31, 2025 7:32am
And there it is - inline PCE data, reinforcing the Fed's sticky inflation narrative.
  • #212,198
  • Jul 31, 2025 7:33am Jul 31, 2025 7:33am
i will stay bearish
  • #212,199
  • Jul 31, 2025 7:38am Jul 31, 2025 7:38am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Opened a long order here at 1.1431
Noticing hesitation and indecision... Normally it should rise with easiness... but seems like it doesn't want to...

So I am closing order with +4 pips here at 1.1435... Will try again later...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #212,200
  • Jul 31, 2025 7:39am Jul 31, 2025 7:39am
Good afternoon, we're at the resistance level for today, at 1.1437. Based on 5M, I anticipate the bears will do good, because of the Unemployment Claims news.
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