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  • #2,221
  • Jul 16, 2025 7:53am Jul 16, 2025 7:53am
Quoting Fadhl
Upcoming Weekly analysis! FA Analysis: 1- Tariff On/Off: The noise will continue this week as well. Europe will be the target this week. Uncertainty OR Eternity pause? Market might tend towards Eternity pause which is positive for stocks and equities. 2- New Earnings season: This will be on the driver seat for the next few weeks. Positive earnings for major stocks will impact positively NQ and vice-versa. 3- Macroeconomic data: CPI and PPI will be relevant for July rate cut. Lower and inline inflation will be very good for July Rate cut; hence very...
Good day!
So far, we have:
1- 30% tariffs on Europe and Mexico in addition to Canada and many other countries: This is bad equities;
2- Inflation is softening; both CPI and PPI came better than expected: This is good Equities.
3- Earnings has started. This factor will decide the direction.
As you can see, we have mixed forces. Until we clear earnings of key players, NQ will continue to consolidate between the top and the bottom of the range.
So Sell very high and buy very low of the range.
  • #2,222
  • Jul 21, 2025 9:51am Jul 21, 2025 9:51am
Hi
I've been following your thread for a while and would like to appreciate your work and the help you are trying to give it to the community, so I thought I should register and Thank you,
Thank you and keep up the good work.
  • #2,223
  • Jul 22, 2025 2:34am Jul 22, 2025 2:34am
Is it time to get pull back?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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My posts are for educational purpose only.
  • #2,224
  • Jul 29, 2025 12:25pm Jul 29, 2025 12:25pm
Good day/week!
I'm back and I'll publish daily...
We have an important week:
1- FED
2- NFP
3- Earnings
In addition, tariffs are settling and fading out with a minimum of 15% (crazy but it's what it is).
NQ has made a new ATH.
Based on this outcome data, earnings and FED decision and projections, NQ will have a clear direction until next FED meeting in September.
From lower TF, H1, price has made HH-LL. A new VA around 23400 to decide the next move, up or down.
See you tomorrow!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #2,225
  • Jul 29, 2025 11:15pm Jul 29, 2025 11:15pm
Quoting Fadhl
Good day/week! I'm back and I'll publish daily... We have an important week: 1- FED 2- NFP 3- Earnings In addition, tariffs are settling and fading out with a minimum of 15% (crazy but it's what it is). NQ has made a new ATH. Based on this outcome data, earnings and FED decision and projections, NQ will have a clear direction until next FED meeting in September. From lower TF, H1, price has made HH-LL. A new VA around 23400 to decide the next move, up or down. See you tomorrow! {image} {image}
Thank you. Good to see your analysis. Hope you are having a great summer!!
  • #2,226
  • Jul 30, 2025 7:27am Jul 30, 2025 7:27am
Quoting saikatunb
{quote} Thank you. Good to see your analysis. Hope you are having a great summer!!
Thank you! Indeed it was a great vacation with family and friends.
  • #2,227
  • Jul 30, 2025 7:28am Jul 30, 2025 7:28am
Good day!
Good data is good for US Equities/NQ and vice-versa.
  • #2,228
  • Jul 30, 2025 8:40am Jul 30, 2025 8:40am
The 5min Opening range is bullish. We also got a breakout. Looking for a displacement and retest to buy.
The FED is this afternoon. So I'm just looking for quick in and out.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The VA is around 23400.
  • #2,229
  • Edited 9:26am Jul 30, 2025 9:01am | Edited 9:26am
As soon as a green candle that closes above the opening range, I'm in.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-07-30_10-00-21.png Size: 37 KB

Edit:
I'm in.
  • #2,230
  • Jul 30, 2025 9:32am Jul 30, 2025 9:32am
Quoting Fadhl
As soon as a green candle that closes above the opening range, I'm in. {image} Edit: I'm in.
TP1 hit at the previous HH.
STP moved to BE.
  • #2,231
  • Jul 30, 2025 10:13am Jul 30, 2025 10:13am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} TP1 hit at the previous HH. STP moved to BE.
And stopped at BE.
This trade provided me 38 green points.
Will stay sidelines until the FED is over.
  • #2,232
  • Jul 30, 2025 1:15pm Jul 30, 2025 1:15pm
FED: 2 Govs out of 9 were in favor of cutting rate in July; they bent their knees to the king. Powell will be gone very soon.
How market will react? Let see...
NQ price is exactly at the VA of 23400!
  • #2,233
  • Jul 30, 2025 1:17pm Jul 30, 2025 1:17pm
Quoting Fadhl
FED: 2 Govs out of 9 were in favor of cutting rate in July; they bent their knees to the king. Powell will be gone very soon. How market will react? Let see... NQ price is exactly at the VA of 23400!

Should bode well for markets. Should see NAS100 rise along with yen pairs. But yen has been crazy strong for like the last 4 trading days. GJ was momentarily flat for the day ahead of NY open but since given up that 40 pips.
  • #2,234
  • Jul 30, 2025 1:56pm Jul 30, 2025 1:56pm
Quoting FBarthez16
{quote} Should bode well for markets. Should see NAS100 rise along with yen pairs. But yen has been crazy strong for like the last 4 trading days. GJ was momentarily flat for the day ahead of NY open but since given up that 40 pips.
I was wrong.
Market doesn't like what is being said. Yen gaining. Dow getting slaughtered. NAS following.
  • #2,235
  • Jul 30, 2025 2:02pm Jul 30, 2025 2:02pm
Scenario 1 seems in play...
Very strong bearish H1 candle.
Inflation is expected to go up...
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  • #2,236
  • Jul 30, 2025 2:07pm Jul 30, 2025 2:07pm
Quoting Fadhl
Scenario 1 seems in play... Very strong bearish H1 candle. Inflation is expected to go up... {image}
Seems like a conspiracy theory, but it seems to me that Powell is just bent on wrecking the markets and leaving Trump open to difficult questions later...

It shouldn't be this bad for the markets; in fact, I see these as positive.

Don't see this as falling knife, I'm looking for buys.
  • #2,237
  • Jul 30, 2025 2:12pm Jul 30, 2025 2:12pm
Quoting FBarthez16
{quote} Seems like a conspiracy theory, but it seems to me that Powell is just bent on wrecking the markets and leaving Trump open to difficult questions later... It shouldn't be this bad for the markets; in fact, I see these as positive. Don't see this as falling knife, I'm looking for buys.
Friday NFP data will give the official direction; up or down.
  • #2,238
  • Jul 31, 2025 8:00am Jul 31, 2025 8:00am
Good day!
Very strong earnings yesterday from all AI corporations, in particular MSFT and META. This has changed a Red Daily candle to a strong green daily candle! A new ATH has been made. Price has made HH and a valid HL. So price is expected to continue up.
Data came inline.
Today, we'll have Amazon earnings; It's very important to gauge tariff impacts and inflation.
Tomorrow, we have NFP.
So for trading, nothing for the Sell side and it's very expensive ticket for the buy side.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #2,239
  • Jul 31, 2025 8:38am Jul 31, 2025 8:38am
Very strong bearish opening range!!! Price made from HH-HL a new LH-LL.
So no valid buy anymore.... A new LH will provide an opportunity to sell. I thi nk a test of yesterday low is possible (red dotted line).
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  • #2,240
  • Jul 31, 2025 9:11am Jul 31, 2025 9:11am
Price made a new LH at yesterday High. I opened a sell position.
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