{quote} Proof that you took the opposite trade! Share a screenshot...
Nasdaq-Simple Intraday Strategy
- #2,202
- Jun 27, 2025 8:07am Jun 27, 2025 8:07am
- Joined Jan 2016 | Status: Trader | 3,933 Posts
{quote} here is my screenshot
- #2,204
- Jun 30, 2025 3:35am Jun 30, 2025 3:35am
- Joined Jan 2016 | Status: Trader | 3,933 Posts
Good day/Week!
FA Analysis:
1- US Macroeconomic data has started showing tariff impacts. Despite higher inflation data, market is, so far, ignoring it and buying any dip!!!
2- This week, we have very relevant data and political noise:
2.1- Good data will be good for equities and bad data will be bad for equities.
2.2- July 4th is coming and Trump will be very active in all fronts: fiscal deficit; Tariffs triumph with 10% or another extended pause; ceasefire in Gaza... Unfortunately, market is still reacting to Trump tweets!
3- Summer is underway; so low liquidity is expected.
TA Analysis
a- Very strong weekly bullish close. We should expect a continuation up, but Summer, macroeconomic data and Trump's week news will limit, in my view, any additional move up.
b- Today. we have Monthly/Quarterly Close.
c- The Summer range will be between 19600 and today's High.
In terms of trading opportunities:
* If you're long, price is at ATH; so it's very expensive to go long; wait for a confirmed HL around 21800-22000 to jump in.
* If you're short, wait for either a LL followed by a LH OR a HL followed by LH. Your LH should be between 22100-22600.
Happy green week to Everyone!
FA Analysis:
1- US Macroeconomic data has started showing tariff impacts. Despite higher inflation data, market is, so far, ignoring it and buying any dip!!!
2- This week, we have very relevant data and political noise:
2.1- Good data will be good for equities and bad data will be bad for equities.
2.2- July 4th is coming and Trump will be very active in all fronts: fiscal deficit; Tariffs triumph with 10% or another extended pause; ceasefire in Gaza... Unfortunately, market is still reacting to Trump tweets!
3- Summer is underway; so low liquidity is expected.
TA Analysis
a- Very strong weekly bullish close. We should expect a continuation up, but Summer, macroeconomic data and Trump's week news will limit, in my view, any additional move up.
b- Today. we have Monthly/Quarterly Close.
c- The Summer range will be between 19600 and today's High.
In terms of trading opportunities:
* If you're long, price is at ATH; so it's very expensive to go long; wait for a confirmed HL around 21800-22000 to jump in.
* If you're short, wait for either a LL followed by a LH OR a HL followed by LH. Your LH should be between 22100-22600.
Happy green week to Everyone!
- #2,209
- Jul 2, 2025 11:43am Jul 2, 2025 11:43am
- Joined Jan 2016 | Status: Trader | 3,933 Posts
Good day/Week! FA Analysis: 1- US Macroeconomic data has started showing tariff impacts. Despite higher inflation data, market is, so far, ignoring it and buying any dip!!! 2- This week, we have very relevant data and political noise: 2.1- Good data will be good for equities and bad data will be bad for equities. 2.2- July 4th is coming and Trump will be very active in all fronts: fiscal deficit; Tariffs triumph with 10% or another extended pause; ceasefire in Gaza... Unfortunately, market is still reacting to Trump tweets! 3- Summer is underway;...
1- At Daily TF, price has made a HL. So if you're long, today's close will confirm it and you can jump in with a stop below the daily HL.
2- At H4 TF and below, price made a LL but followed by a new HH. So there is nothing for you if you want to go short.
- #2,210
- Jul 3, 2025 4:50am Jul 3, 2025 4:50am
- Joined Jan 2016 | Status: Trader | 3,933 Posts
Good day!
NFP data is today; tomorrow July 4th, US is OFF.
Same thing: good data is good for equities and vice-versa.
Here is my planned Sell Stop at 22374.
NFP data is today; tomorrow July 4th, US is OFF.
Same thing: good data is good for equities and vice-versa.
Here is my planned Sell Stop at 22374.
- #2,218
- Jul 10, 2025 9:48am Jul 10, 2025 9:48am
- Joined Jan 2016 | Status: Trader | 3,933 Posts
Good day!
The 5min opening range was a strong bearish. We got a breakout. Looking for the retest to jump in.
Here is my trade:
The 5min opening range was a strong bearish. We got a breakout. Looking for the retest to jump in.
Here is my trade:
- #2,220
- Jul 12, 2025 4:38am Jul 12, 2025 4:38am
- Joined Jan 2016 | Status: Trader | 3,933 Posts
Upcoming Weekly analysis!
FA Analysis:
1- Tariff On/Off: The noise will continue this week as well. Europe will be the target this week.
Uncertainty OR Eternity pause? Market might tend towards Eternity pause which is positive for stocks and equities.
2- New Earnings season: This will be on the driver seat for the next few weeks. Positive earnings for major stocks will impact positively NQ and vice-versa.
3- Macroeconomic data:
CPI and PPI will be relevant for July rate cut. Lower and inline inflation will be very good for July Rate cut; hence very good for Equities. Higher inflation data will be bad.
Also, Consumer sentiment and Inflation expectations, later in the week, will be very relevant.
So from FA Analysis, US equities might go either direction based on data outcomes.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF: Direction is Buy!
The weekly close was irrelevant; it was inside the bullish green candle. Price must break and close below or above the master weekly candle to establish clear direction.
So nothing to trade from weekly perspective.
Daily TF: Direction is Neutral!
Same as weekly TF, we got an irrelevant daily close, inside the previous daily green candle (red dotted lines).
Price must break and close either below or above the dotted red lines for a clear direction.
Hourly TF: Direction is Neutral!
Based on the Weekly and Daily TF, clearly price is consolidating and looking for FA data to make decision on the next move.
Price is making LL-LH-HL-HH... and switching from one side to another reinforcing the consolidation.
Here are two scenarios:
Scenario 1: Good earnings, macroeconomic data and lower inflation will trigger a new ATH.
Scenario 2: Bad earnings, macroeconomic data and higher inflation will trigger a retrace.
Happy green week!
FA Analysis:
1- Tariff On/Off: The noise will continue this week as well. Europe will be the target this week.
Uncertainty OR Eternity pause? Market might tend towards Eternity pause which is positive for stocks and equities.
2- New Earnings season: This will be on the driver seat for the next few weeks. Positive earnings for major stocks will impact positively NQ and vice-versa.
3- Macroeconomic data:
CPI and PPI will be relevant for July rate cut. Lower and inline inflation will be very good for July Rate cut; hence very good for Equities. Higher inflation data will be bad.
Also, Consumer sentiment and Inflation expectations, later in the week, will be very relevant.
So from FA Analysis, US equities might go either direction based on data outcomes.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF: Direction is Buy!
The weekly close was irrelevant; it was inside the bullish green candle. Price must break and close below or above the master weekly candle to establish clear direction.
So nothing to trade from weekly perspective.
Daily TF: Direction is Neutral!
Same as weekly TF, we got an irrelevant daily close, inside the previous daily green candle (red dotted lines).
Price must break and close either below or above the dotted red lines for a clear direction.
Hourly TF: Direction is Neutral!
Price is making LL-LH-HL-HH... and switching from one side to another reinforcing the consolidation.
Here are two scenarios:
Scenario 1: Good earnings, macroeconomic data and lower inflation will trigger a new ATH.
Scenario 2: Bad earnings, macroeconomic data and higher inflation will trigger a retrace.
Happy green week!