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The Swamp

  • #123,921
  • Jul 21, 2025 4:16am Jul 21, 2025 4:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It can suck to miss an entree. I need to wait for 1654,, or near. just a little pump late asia into early london..
seems like we have got near your target and bear is showing up
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,922
  • Jul 21, 2025 4:23am Jul 21, 2025 4:23am
Quoting johncen
{quote} seems like we have got near your target and bear is showing up
yeah.. If I'm right it would likely fall 1654x.. see chart from Friday.. It should be close to 1654.. +- a little I'm ok with. I had a short signal already.
=
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,923
  • Jul 21, 2025 5:01am Jul 21, 2025 5:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Monday often is a pump opposite day.A weaker usd on the gbp eur and chf early may be a headfake. The euro may be limited to 1654.. chf .7887. gbp 1.3450/51.. Or near +- those levels with a pool of liquid. EU wise the 1.16179 area may be enough to push it to 1.1654. Opening below 1617x.. It may be unable to bounce, if it did it may be limited the 15/30 pips. My hope is it cleanly reaches 1654. Opening above 1618 is better for the Monday rise . Don't take that to me being bullish,, its the opposite. i think its going to drop next week into...
I dont like that ths gbp closed the 12h above 1.3450.. The eu didnt get all the way to 1654.. The chf has a typo .7987 is about right. Lets see if the usd grows balls now.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,924
  • Jul 21, 2025 5:18am Jul 21, 2025 5:18am
falling and holding below 1626/23 gets the ball rolling.. thats the new pool to break..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,925
  • Jul 21, 2025 5:54am Jul 21, 2025 5:54am
Quoting gatorinla
falling and holding below 1626/23 gets the ball rolling.. thats the new pool to break..
bear didnt follow after giving initial signals
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,926
  • Jul 21, 2025 6:00am Jul 21, 2025 6:00am
Quoting johncen
{quote} bear didnt follow after giving initial signals
Be skeptical if its not holding below 1647/54.. The gbp didnt hold the 12h.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,927
  • Jul 21, 2025 6:02am Jul 21, 2025 6:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Be skeptical if its not holding below 1647/54.. The gbp didnt hold the 12h.
same as uj
makes me wonder if bull wants to break out higher
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,928
  • Jul 21, 2025 6:28am Jul 21, 2025 6:28am
if we start closing above 1664 mayb it wants higher
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,929
  • Jul 21, 2025 6:47am Jul 21, 2025 6:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Be skeptical if its not holding below 1647/54.. The gbp didnt hold the 12h.
I closed the loser 1661. The gbp was a early warning.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,930
  • Jul 21, 2025 7:02am Jul 21, 2025 7:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I closed the loser 1661. The gbp was a early warning.
might not see bear today, instead mayb a breakout to the north and ended this correction wave.
i m out
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,931
  • Jul 21, 2025 9:16am Jul 21, 2025 9:16am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i do have a bullish scenario which pa may go to 1750 before down. But unlikely. i guess 1450-1470 fisrt then may bounce back to 1570-1630
seems like going towards my bullish scenario

pa is in a position that i dnt want to long or short
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,932
  • Jul 21, 2025 9:31am Jul 21, 2025 9:31am
1684-88 is an easy sell zone
  • #123,933
  • Jul 21, 2025 12:12pm Jul 21, 2025 12:12pm
Quoting FxguruNJ
1684-88 is an easy sell zone
out, 1750 looks promising i agree
  • #123,934
  • Jul 21, 2025 3:54pm Jul 21, 2025 3:54pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} seems like going towards my bullish scenario pa is in a position that i dnt want to long or short
my bullish scenario:

Rise to 1.1720 retest the daily broken trendline, if we cannot climb back above, then it wil come back down. Its possibly b wave correction too.
Noting usdx is close to 97.60 key support. I will be keen to see if a inverted h&s will be completed to signal further up.

However with daily close above 1667 and we have broke above that downward trendline on 1h…. I cannot rule out further up from here
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,935
  • Jul 21, 2025 9:25pm Jul 21, 2025 9:25pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} my bullish scenario: Rise to 1.1720 retest the daily broken trendline, if we cannot climb back above, then it wil come back down. Its possibly b wave correction too. Noting usdx is close to 97.60 key support. I will be keen to see if a inverted h&s will be completed to signal further up. However with daily close above 1667 and we have broke above that downward trendline on 1h…. I cannot rule out further up from here
Once it crossed 1654.. I had to bail.. That was the place to resist.. or break out.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,936
  • Jul 21, 2025 9:56pm Jul 21, 2025 9:56pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Once it crossed 1654.. I had to bail.. That was the place to resist.. or break out.
yea h1 h4 and daily all bullish now
lower tf is stuck in the middle
while pa above 1.1667 bull is favoured unless we start closing below
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,937
  • Jul 21, 2025 10:11pm Jul 21, 2025 10:11pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea h1 h4 and daily all bullish now lower tf is stuck in the middle while pa above 1.1667 bull is favoured unless we start closing below
Monday pumps can do the opposite before mid week.. I'm ea today, so what happens happens
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,938
  • Edited 8:03am Jul 22, 2025 4:18am | Edited 8:03am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea h1 h4 and daily all bullish now lower tf is stuck in the middle while pa above 1.1667 bull is favoured unless we start closing below
I got 2 positive closes.. If a sign you trust lines up. It indicates a valid flag and pole. I didnt think it would cross 1720/30 and hold. The pole sights the 1819 area.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 5 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,939
  • Edited 8:04am Jul 22, 2025 4:37am | Edited 8:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I got 2 positive closes.. If a sign you trust lines up. It indicates a valid flag and pole. I didnt think it would cross 1720/30 and hold. The pole sights the 1819 area. {image}
I had this breaking down lower last week, after a rise to 1654 this week. This larger flag started down some, but is trying to recover. I thought it was going lower. The bulls haven't given up
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 7 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,940
  • Jul 22, 2025 4:56am Jul 22, 2025 4:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I had this breaking down lower last week, after a rise to 1654 this week. This larger flag started down some, but is trying to recover. I thought it was going lower. The bulls haven't given up {image}
yea breaking that downward flag opens up more room for the bull
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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