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  • #211,381
  • Jul 15, 2025 4:19am Jul 15, 2025 4:19am
Quoting aayushjaiswa
{quote} No brother dollars mean liquidity
correct, mainly key levels inside of a setup where orders could rest
Hi there!!!
Northsar trader, high risk All Time Profit: $753,971
  • #211,382
  • Jul 15, 2025 4:20am Jul 15, 2025 4:20am
Closed position at +25 pips. Opened short at 1.1687 SL 1.1734. It seems 1.1690 held nicely (I stand corrected)
This information is not intended as investment advice
  • #211,383
  • Jul 15, 2025 4:31am Jul 15, 2025 4:31am
Inserted Video
  • #211,384
  • Jul 15, 2025 4:38am Jul 15, 2025 4:38am
The Eur/Usd 4H chart is in the downtrend.
Here are the confluences:

  1. The price is currently obeying the downtrend and making LH and LL.
  2. The price is between a very LIQUID AREA from which it has bounced of several times.
  3. The price has hit the Downward Channel at 12:30 pm. '
  4. A new FVG has been created in the chart of 4H between 1.16796-1.16731 approx.
  5. The price which had to hit the FVG and move down, Just crossed the FVG area of the 4H and resultantly the FVG is converted to the IFVG.
  6. The price is currently showing a rejection at the top of the downward channel due to the high Liquid Area.
  7. The current news of German ZEW Economic Sentiment indicates a possible bullish run of the EUR/USD chart.
  8. The price would hit the 4H IFVG and then break the Downward Channel as already high volitality was indicating a reversal.
  9. The MACD shows the bull are stronger than the bears.
  10. The 100,200 EMAs are also agreeing with the bulls

So adjusting STOP below the 4H IFVG and the TP above the 100% FIB EXTENSION.
A good RR of 2.5-3 is achievable

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  • #211,385
  • Jul 15, 2025 4:54am Jul 15, 2025 4:54am
EURUSD is a massive sell, do yourself a favour and get enlightened with COT reports as well as calculating extremes.
OI Trader
  • #211,386
  • Jul 15, 2025 4:59am Jul 15, 2025 4:59am
Quoting aite.sam
The Eur/Usd 4H chart is in the downtrend. Here are the confluences: The price is currently obeying the downtrend and making LH and LL. The price is between a very LIQUID AREA from which it has bounced of several times. The price has hit the Downward Channel at 12:30 pm. ' A new FVG has been created in the chart of 4H between 1.16796-1.16731 approx. The price which had to hit the FVG and move down, Just crossed the FVG area of the 4H and resultantly the FVG is converted to the IFVG. The price is currently showing a rejection at the top of the downward...
its hard to identify the 4hr FVG
  • #211,387
  • Jul 15, 2025 5:17am Jul 15, 2025 5:17am
Moving SL to BE. Free trade. Go Bears!
This information is not intended as investment advice
  • #211,388
  • Jul 15, 2025 5:33am Jul 15, 2025 5:33am
Quoting Terges
{quote} I do not think you will get any answer here. This is a EURUSD Only forum Good luck finding your answer!
Ooo! Sorry
Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #211,389
  • Jul 15, 2025 6:15am Jul 15, 2025 6:15am
Meanwhile, on H4...

While candles open below red zone, this chart is bearish!

While bulls are correcting, I am waiting for a new breakout... No breakout = no selling!
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #211,390
  • Jul 15, 2025 6:36am Jul 15, 2025 6:36am
Quoting Footsie
{quote} Take a look at the monthly, weekly and daily chart. This whole 4H mess is just a small pullback relative to the higher timeframes. Hardly a downtrend!
Long term trend on the daily is a downtrend. There is a possible trend reversal in play from the Q3 2022 lows to the Q1 2025 lows, but long-term trend reversals usually need to be tested.

Four to 8-week target is 1.11, with room to 1.08 if the first target is breached forcefully.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/post/15305166#post15305166
  • #211,391
  • Jul 15, 2025 7:34am Jul 15, 2025 7:34am
and... Closed at BE Bad news report, bad! If H1 EMA holds, I may test again the short side, otherwise sitting on the dock!
This information is not intended as investment advice
  • #211,392
  • Jul 15, 2025 7:42am Jul 15, 2025 7:42am
A muted reaction so far to mixed USD inflation headlines. Cooling core CPI (0.2% actual vs. 0.3% expected) is a m/m number (i.e. a noisier data series) vs. hotter than expected y/y headline CPI (2.7% actual vs 2.6% expected).

EURUSD bulls likely to have hopes dashed here for a quick upside reversal.
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  • #211,393
  • Jul 15, 2025 7:50am Jul 15, 2025 7:50am
Quoting bartholemew
A muted reaction so far to mixed USD inflation headlines. Cooling core CPI (0.2% actual vs. 0.3% expected) is a m/m number (i.e. a noisier data series) vs. hotter than expected y/y headline CPI (2.7% actual vs 2.6% expected). EURUSD bulls likely to have hopes dashed here for a quick upside reversal.{image} {image}
I am looking for sells, however I still think today will be bullish, think we will revisit the 1h resistance again
  • #211,394
  • Jul 15, 2025 8:01am Jul 15, 2025 8:01am
Quoting bartholemew
A muted reaction so far to mixed USD inflation headlines. Cooling core CPI (0.2% actual vs. 0.3% expected) is a m/m number (i.e. a noisier data series) vs. hotter than expected y/y headline CPI (2.7% actual vs 2.6% expected). EURUSD bulls likely to have hopes dashed here for a quick upside reversal.{image} {image}
mixed , bullish will be limited and later consolidating . brearish will not triger as its being on it since last week
  • #211,395
  • Edited 8:22am Jul 15, 2025 8:07am | Edited 8:22am
I timed it really badly Short at 1.1665 SL 1.1712 but we are going down, you heard it here first.
This information is not intended as investment advice
  • #211,396
  • Jul 15, 2025 8:10am Jul 15, 2025 8:10am
Quoting Terges
I did time it really badly Short at 1.1665 SL 1.1712 but we are going down, you heard it here first.
still waiting for a break below 1660
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #211,397
  • Jul 15, 2025 8:15am Jul 15, 2025 8:15am
Ahhhh,,, I am jumping in... bit by bit .. with BUY
SL 1.16000
&P 1.17500
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #211,398
  • Jul 15, 2025 8:18am Jul 15, 2025 8:18am
Quoting bartholemew
A muted reaction so far to mixed USD inflation headlines. Cooling core CPI (0.2% actual vs. 0.3% expected) is a m/m number (i.e. a noisier data series) vs. hotter than expected y/y headline CPI (2.7% actual vs 2.6% expected). EURUSD bulls likely to have hopes dashed here for a quick upside reversal.{image} {image}
Year-over-year core CPI was also high, at 2.9%:

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

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  • #211,399
  • Jul 15, 2025 8:39am Jul 15, 2025 8:39am
Adjusting stop to 1.1684 (-20 pips)
This information is not intended as investment advice
  • #211,400
  • Jul 15, 2025 8:44am Jul 15, 2025 8:44am
Quoting Terges
Adjusting stop to 1.1684 (-20 pips)
It was a nasty STOP LOSS HUNTING now for BULLs...
My SL is at 1.1600
I hope it won't go as low... but I have my HEDGE orders ready ...
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