AUD/USD

ok, i jumped the gun on this trade tbh. I usually enter after 10 a.m. new york time.
Anyway I said buy and hold, which means I am biased long. The idea is to wait for money to flow out of 1 currency to the others. Usually its 1 currency that loses against others. If that currency is in an uptrend for weeks than we go long once there is some support/push back into uptrend. Vice Versa for the currency that receives the money.

AUD/USD remains bearish and aligns pretty well with my other analysis that I made on this pair the other day. I expect bearish momentum to continue next week starting Monday. The strength meter does not lie.

Analysis: On the H4 timeframe for AUDUSD, the Technical Analysis Dashboard indicates a "Very Strong SELL" signal from the Moving Averages, alongside "SELL" signals from MACD and Stochastic. The ADX shows "No Trend," while the RSI is "Oversold" and the CCI is also "Oversold."

Considering the "Overall" analysis, which aggregates M5, M30, and H1 timeframes, the dashboard reports a "Strong SELL (37%)" indication for AUDUSD. This suggests a consistent bearish sentiment across multiple shorter timeframes.

The market condition for AUDUSD is currently identified as "Ranging." Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.6551 (98 pips away) and support at 0.6445 (1 pips away). Currently, all trading strategies (Scalping, Daytrading, and Swing Strategy) are "Waiting for Signal."

Disclaimer: This analysis is based solely on data from the provided dashboard and is intended for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and by following this analysis or its signals, you may incur financial losses. Please exercise caution and make your own informed trading decisions.

AUD/USD is strong which is showing positive trending conditions after a brief pause and rejecting the last support which was resistance and retested to become support. Now that's done and strength meter is shifting towards the bullish side, I do see AUD/USD exploding upwards to 0.654825

Recent AUD/USD structure broke, retested this box support and I expect AUD/USD to rise 20 pips.

Analysis: The dashboard for the current H1 timeframe indicates a prevailing SELL sentiment across most indicators. Specifically, MACD, Stochastic, and CCI are all showing SELL signals. The Moving Averages (MA) are Neutral, while ADX suggests a Weak SELL, and RSI provides a contrasting BUY signal.

Considering the "Overall" analysis, which averages results across M5, M30, and H1 timeframes, the sentiment is a Very Strong SELL (57%). This comprehensive view strongly reinforces the bearish outlook for AUDUSD.

Regarding market conditions, the dashboard identifies a Weak Trend. The nearest Resistance zone is at 0.6563 (17 pips away), while the Support zone is significantly further at 0.6343 (201 pips away). Given the Weak Trend and the price being relatively close to resistance with an overall strong SELL signal, the price is likely to continue its downward movement towards the support zone rather than showing a reversal.

There are no active Scalping, Day trading, or Swing trading signals in the Strategy Portfolio at this time.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based solely on data from the provided dashboard and is intended for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and by following this analysis or its signals, you may incur financial losses. Please exercise caution and make your own informed trading decisions.

Analysis: The dashboard indicates a mixed but predominantly bullish outlook on the H4 timeframe. The Moving Averages show a Very Strong BUY (100%) signal, supported by BUY signals from Stochastic, RSI, and CCI. However, MACD is signaling SELL, and ADX indicates No Trend, suggesting a lack of strong directional momentum at present.

Looking at the "Overall" analysis across M5, M30, and H1 timeframes, the sentiment is a BUY (30%). This low percentage suggests that while there's a bullish bias, it's not a strong conviction across the shorter timeframes, implying potential for volatility or a lack of clear upward momentum.

The current market condition is identified as Ranging. The price is currently within the Resistance zone of 0.6589 - 0.6575. The nearest Support zone is significantly lower at 0.6374 - 0.6343, approximately 205 pips away. The "SR Alert" is currently "Waiting for Signal," indicating no immediate trading opportunities based on support and resistance breakouts or bounces. Given the ranging market and the price being inside the resistance zone, a potential pullback or continued consolidation within this range is likely until a clear breakout occurs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based solely on data from the provided dashboard and is intended for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and by following this analysis or its signals, you may incur financial losses. Please exercise caution and make your own informed trading decisions.

Here’s the full game plan for AUD/USD. We’ve got two high-probability scenarios on the table—one for buys and one for sells, so we’re prepared for whichever way price wants to break.
Buy Setup:

1. Entry: Wait for price to break and close above the 0.6600 key level on the 15-minute chart.
2. After the breakout, look for a pullback to 0.6600. If you see a bullish confirmation candle (like a strong green candle), that’s your cue to enter a buy.
3. Take Profit (TP): 0.66798 (next 4H resistance above).
4. Stop Loss (SL): 0.6580 (below the breakout and last swing low).

Sell Setup (Alternate):

1. If price fails to break above 0.6600 and instead drops, look to sell if it breaks and closes below 0.6550 on the 15-minute chart.
2. Wait for price to pull back and retest 0.6550 as resistance. If you get a strong bearish candle after the retest, enter a sell.
3. Take Profit (TP): 0.6500 (next psychological and previous support).
4. Stop Loss (SL): 0.6570 (above recent swing high).

Analysis:

1. 0.6600 is a major decision point for AUD/USD right now. If bulls take control, we can see a strong move up to 0.6680. If bears step in and 0.6550 breaks, sellers could drive price down toward 0.6500.
2. These setups are based on clean technical price action—breakouts, retests, and confirmation candles on the lower timeframes for better entries.
3. Stick to your risk management—never risk more than you’re comfortable with, and let the setups come to you. No FOMO.

Analysis: The dashboard indicates a strong SELL bias across most indicators on the H4 timeframe. Moving Averages (MA), MACD, Stochastic, and RSI all signal SELL, with MA showing a 67% sell strength. ADX suggests a Weak SELL, while CCI is Oversold, hinting at a potential reversal or exhaustion of the selling pressure.

Overall, the combined analysis across M5, M30, and H1 timeframes points to a Strong SELL (40%). This reinforces the bearish sentiment observed on the H4 chart, suggesting a consistent downward momentum across shorter to medium timeframes.

The market is currently in a Weak Trend with Medium Volatility. The Smart Money Concept (SMC) structure shows a Bullish (BOS), indicating a break of structure to the upside, and the price is currently Waiting for Pullback. This suggests that despite the short-term bearish indicators, the underlying structure is bullish, and a pullback is anticipated before a potential continuation of the bullish move.

The nearest Resistance zone is identified between 0.6688 - 0.6664, and the nearest Support zone is 0.6401 - 0.6373. Given the Bullish (BOS) and the "Waiting for Pullback" state, the current market situation suggests that the price might retrace towards the Demand zone of 0.6495 - 0.6447 (Buy Entry Zone) before potentially resuming its bullish trajectory. The probable directional bias, considering the SMC structure, leans towards a BUY after a pullback, despite the current strong sell signals from traditional indicators.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based solely on data from the provided dashboard and is intended for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and by following this analysis or its signals, you may incur financial losses. Please exercise caution and make your own informed trading decisions.

Thanks for sharing the files. I will test it from tomorrow

i think it is going to down a little bit
i sold at 0.6532

Hi all …

Climax engulfing candle with a breakout of the 50 line on the RSI and a positive increase in the CumDelta , so I bought the pair at market price in forex market

Now we can determined SL at 0.6524

Trade for day three of this week, AUD/USD. In long expecting price to push up to 0.65583
...

move up from here i expect...

https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...1?d=1751499730

Hello everyone! The AUDUSD price continues to move in a downward channel. At the same time, there was a breakout of the support level of 0.6558, which has now become resistance. After retesting this level and rebounding downwards from it, I am considering sales with the target of the support level of 0.8518.

AUD fell sharply yesterday on bad CPI data.
We have Retail Sales data today. Although not as important, let's see if it can bring some recovery. Or it might even kill he Aussie even more.

1. Entry: On a confirmed break below 0.6453 confirming invalidation of recent consolidation.
2. Confirmation: MACD down, ADX rising, RSI falling.
3. Target: Down toward 0.6334–0.6400, possibly lower toward multi-year lows if momentum accelerates.
4. Stop: Just above 0.6453 level. iT'S A GOOD TIME TO SELL AUD/USD FOR A GOOD 20 TO 50 PIP TRADE. THIS IS THE 15 MINUTES TIMEFRAME AND STRENGH METER INDICATES FURHTER BEARISH MOMENTUM

https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...l?d=1753925301