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The Swamp

  • #123,741
  • Jul 10, 2025 6:31pm Jul 10, 2025 6:31pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} When the euro was younger. 1756 and some exhaustion was what I would wait for. 1427/28 has popped more recent in pa moves. Above it sustained may be a breakout
yea as long as we are under that downward channel i guess bear will do well. I guess we just have to be aware that on higher tf it is still looking bullish.

is your q3 indicators still flagging heavy shorts?

another thing in mind is cot report. I guess all these takes time to play out
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,742
  • Jul 11, 2025 6:08am Jul 11, 2025 6:08am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} When the euro was younger. 1756 and some exhaustion was what I would wait for. 1427/28 has popped more recent in pa moves. Above it sustained may be a breakout
typo 1727/28 correct
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,743
  • Jul 11, 2025 6:14am Jul 11, 2025 6:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} typo 1727/28 correct
yea i know you are referring to 1727/28
i have also this on my chart today, where the downward trendline is

pa tested and supported by 166x so far…
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,744
  • Jul 11, 2025 6:27am Jul 11, 2025 6:27am
my 45 min candle turned freakishly green.. Everything on either side is red.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,745
  • Jul 11, 2025 8:07am Jul 11, 2025 8:07am
that 45 min candle 6 out of 6 times. In the past closest times it happened. lead to 40 to 80 pip rise. 1727 has improved odds some. 1681 may support, 1727 may attract
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,746
  • Jul 11, 2025 8:42am Jul 11, 2025 8:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} When the euro was younger. 1756 and some exhaustion was what I would wait for. 1427/28 has popped more recent in pa moves. Above it sustained may be a breakout
When the euro was younger. This was a rather normal move. Norm was the name given for 1756. 80 pips from 1681 could reach 1754
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,747
  • Jul 11, 2025 8:54am Jul 11, 2025 8:54am
Quoting gatorinla
that 45 min candle 6 out of 6 times. In the past closest times it happened. lead to 40 to 80 pip rise. 1727 has improved odds some. 1681 may support, 1727 may attract
only 32 pips above 1681 so far.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,748
  • Jul 11, 2025 9:20am Jul 11, 2025 9:20am
L 1678.. stop 1671
I need it closing above 1681.. A move is usually to 1727 in 2-3 hs. If right
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,749
  • Jul 11, 2025 9:35am Jul 11, 2025 9:35am
its out of my hands now..
If it rises, that last 1h pin was a bear enticement to a trap.
It may sit here for 2 hs.. but usually would rise in the 2h + time frame
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,750
  • Jul 11, 2025 9:56am Jul 11, 2025 9:56am
Quoting gatorinla
L 1678.. stop 1671 I need it closing above 1681.. A move is usually to 1727 in 2-3 hs. If right
today being a Friday.. If it rises it would be quicker normally on a Friday. Being a Friday it has a better chance of a full adr.. Plus Monday could extend
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,751
  • Jul 11, 2025 10:07am Jul 11, 2025 10:07am
working without a net now.. London went home.. Lets see if the profits are being taken in NY
Hopefully the COT will be slightly more bearish.. That may give it a push high Monday to fade after Monday
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,752
  • Jul 11, 2025 12:06pm Jul 11, 2025 12:06pm
I have it going North. The reality differs atm.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,753
  • Jul 11, 2025 12:41pm Jul 11, 2025 12:41pm
Quoting gatorinla
I have it going North. The reality differs atm. {image}
pa is slow today~ maybe next week

uj gbp are both weak against dollar
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,754
  • Jul 11, 2025 12:46pm Jul 11, 2025 12:46pm
I do see bull trying so maybe some late hours push? If they push for a close above 1700 its likely to pump on Monday.
no bear yet i guess unless crazy man start announcing higher tariff for EU
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #123,755
  • Jul 11, 2025 1:43pm Jul 11, 2025 1:43pm
Need bigger effing stops. Market a bit more rigged these days.
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Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
  • #123,756
  • Jul 11, 2025 1:44pm Jul 11, 2025 1:44pm
Quoting johncen
I do see bull trying so maybe some late hours push? If they push for a close above 1700 its likely to pump on Monday. no bear yet i guess unless crazy man start announcing higher tariff for EU
If not a late bump.. Potential gap up. Day
those late red candles are not too healthy. I may be wrong.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,757
  • Jul 11, 2025 1:55pm Jul 11, 2025 1:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If not a late bump.. Potential gap up. Day those late red candles are not too healthy. I may be wrong. {image}
6h and day has this little flag.
the day has red weak shrunken candles. The 6h has those weak green ones. the lower one is engulfed with a green one.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,758
  • Jul 11, 2025 2:42pm Jul 11, 2025 2:42pm
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https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...2#post15302202
compare
Some longs closed..
8 closed some shorts
4 added some shorts
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,759
  • Jul 11, 2025 2:53pm Jul 11, 2025 2:53pm
a close above 1686 may be better for longs. below is not drastic, but less. PA missed 1756 and may want it still.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #123,760
  • Jul 11, 2025 2:58pm Jul 11, 2025 2:58pm
Quoting longfellow
Need bigger effing stops. Market a bit more rigged these days. {image} {image}
if you tell him his little T=REX paws are massive.. He may put you on his buddy list. You can make money while he is manipulating the market for you too.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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