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  • #211,201
  • Jul 9, 2025 8:02am Jul 9, 2025 8:02am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Sidelines all afternoon because bulls won't let go of 1.1720... Anyways is well.. We wait.. Cheers
could hang around here for a bit longer
could this be the right shoulder of a h&s? Nexckline 1682
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #211,202
  • Jul 9, 2025 8:29am Jul 9, 2025 8:29am
3rd time today Sold @ 1.1749 now trailing SL at 45 points.
See what i can get this time

24 Pips Banked today
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #211,203
  • Jul 9, 2025 8:39am Jul 9, 2025 8:39am
Relatively good day +22pips in three rounds. All shorts within 17200 - 17040… as Forum experts predicted.
I’m extremely curious about possible heavy drop up to 167xx. Waiting for some suitable fundamental. Not sure that FOMC will be enough

Best,
Songo
Songo
  • #211,204
  • Jul 9, 2025 8:47am Jul 9, 2025 8:47am
As soon as a H4 candle closes below 1.1709, a strong sell-off might be triggered...

Therefore, bulls must stay alert until the end of this week! Don't get slaughtered!

*And sorry to bring it: This TF is maybe not bearish yet, but it is also not bullish anymore since candles dropped below 1.1748...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #211,205
  • Jul 9, 2025 8:53am Jul 9, 2025 8:53am
Quoting Kyuu
{quote} Unfortunately my idea was wrong and lost 10 pips after being up 70 pips but I didn't consider that there is news coming out tomorrow and that news lines up with all my major S/R lines I have which connects at 1.66. In hindsight, my trade entry setup wasn't a trend changing setup so I should've kept my TP at +60 pips anyways. But my own opinion on the market hasn't changed yet because I didn't recognize news tomorrow so I think todays movement has to do with setting up for tomorrows news. I am entering a entry long order now at 1.1636 which...
I got out of my pullback short order at 1.172 because of no bear continuation, market is ranging too much and I never like being a part of the pool. I can imagine tons of traders holding their shorts and longs as well as long entry orders below the lows and short order above the highs. The news in 2 hours I believe will really penetrate in one direction before reversing in the other maybe with the help of tomorrows news as well

I have a short entry at 1.1736 which I will remove before the news, I doubt we'll get there before the news but still expecting price to go down somewhere to where my long entry order at 1.1636

If price spikes up with the news for whatever reason, I'll look at 1.175-1.176 area to short because I don't believe we're ready for the bull run until we test 1.166 area especially with this "triple bottom" 1.169 area

Guess we'll find out in 2 hours
  • #211,206
  • Jul 9, 2025 9:59am Jul 9, 2025 9:59am
Quoting Kyuu
{quote} I got out of my pullback short order at 1.172 because of no bear continuation, market is ranging too much and I never like being a part of the pool. I can imagine tons of traders holding their shorts and longs as well as long entry orders below the lows and short order above the highs. The news in 2 hours I believe will really penetrate in one direction before reversing in the other maybe with the help of tomorrows news as well I have a short entry at 1.1736 which I will remove before the news, I doubt we'll get there before the news but...
I never really find FOMC minutes to have that drastic of an effect, do you ?

Im thinking the unemployment claims tomorrow will be the decisive break or make for bears or bulls
  • #211,207
  • Jul 9, 2025 10:00am Jul 9, 2025 10:00am
Hi all …

Beware of the EUR/USD pair because at some point in time it will face a very strong movement, either upwards in the event of a breakout or downwards in the event of a breakdown. You must pay attention to the false breakout or breakdown operations.
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  • #211,208
  • Jul 9, 2025 10:04am Jul 9, 2025 10:04am
H4 candle close below 1.1709 just occurred... I stay short and I keep my short bias for this entire week!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #211,209
  • Jul 9, 2025 10:55am Jul 9, 2025 10:55am
Quoting OdysseyXV
{quote} I never really find FOMC minutes to have that drastic of an effect, do you ? I'm thinking the unemployment claims tomorrow will be the decisive break or make for bears or bulls
I don't track specific news events I am just looking at a red envelope on the Forex Factory home page and news is news haha, I honestly don't track each news event.

All I know is the market has acted really quiet recently and the move yesterday went against my bias so I am just guessing it has to do with the upcoming news event. I could be completely wrong haha maybe we'll keep on camping here, but I have my own conspiracy views that utilize in my strategy. We'll find out in 5 minutes !
  • #211,210
  • Edited 11:41am Jul 9, 2025 11:18am | Edited 11:41am
Sold @ 1.17162
See how it goes
Edit: SL Set to a cup of coffee Zero risk now
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #211,211
  • Jul 9, 2025 11:48am Jul 9, 2025 11:48am
Quoting DeJaBlue
Sold @ 1.17162 See how it goes Edit: SL Set to a cup of coffee Zero risk now
Not sure where you are based; but in Czechia coffee is through the roof!

I am keeping my short at 1.1704
This information is not intended as investment advice
  • #211,212
  • Jul 9, 2025 11:48am Jul 9, 2025 11:48am
Based on 4h (Swing Trading)

We are now in an important support zone. I think it will start to rise from here, but as another possibility, we can visit the 1.168x level as I indicated with the orange line and continue the rise from where we left off!!!! My bias is bullish.... Next station 1.19xxx
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Swing Trader
  • #211,213
  • Jul 9, 2025 11:55am Jul 9, 2025 11:55am
Quoting Terges
{quote} Not sure where you are based; but in Czechia coffee is through the roof! I am keeping my short at 1.1704
South Africa, Its about $2 for a cup , but i got a machine so its 50c LOL
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #211,214
  • Jul 9, 2025 12:32pm Jul 9, 2025 12:32pm
Unemployment claims will decide who is more dominant, bears or bulls.

Im still holding sells.

Doubt Asia will do much unless trump announces some new miracle to save/kill the dollar.

Signing off
  • #211,215
  • Jul 9, 2025 2:27pm Jul 9, 2025 2:27pm
The price still seems to want to rest on the daily bullish trend line.

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  • #211,216
  • Jul 9, 2025 5:10pm Jul 9, 2025 5:10pm
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My target for EURUSD is 1.11.

I view the rally that's unfolded since the start of 2025 as an uncorrected countertrend move in a long downtrend that started in 2008 with the GFC and was further reinforced by the European debt crisis. The higher low in early 2025 vs. the breach of parity in Q3 of 2022 may be interpreted as a long-term trend reversal, but even so, long-term trend reversals usually need to get tested. I nominally expect the 2025 EURUSD rally to retest the top of the two years of rangebound trading of 2023-2024 (roughly the 1.05 to 1.10 range).

IMO "dedollarization" is more of a trendy buzzword than major fundamental reality, and the EU's fundamental problems remain (overregulation, slow-moving bureaucracies, demographics and immigration challenges, budget challenges with geopolitical shifts, etc.) In other words, I don't expect the long-term drivers of the long-term downtrend to change much.
  • #211,217
  • Jul 9, 2025 7:52pm Jul 9, 2025 7:52pm
Quoting bartholemew
{image} My target for EURUSD is 1.11. I view the rally that's unfolded since the start of 2025 as an uncorrected countertrend move in a long downtrend that started in 2008 with the GFC and was further reinforced by the European debt crisis. The higher low in early 2025 vs. the breach of parity in Q3 of 2022 may be interpreted as a long-term trend reversal, but even so, long-term trend reversals usually need to get tested. I nominally expect the 2025 EURUSD rally to retest the top of the two years of rangebound trading of 2023-2024 (roughly the 1.05...
thanks Bro you did much....
Never Lose Hope
  • #211,218
  • Jul 9, 2025 7:54pm Jul 9, 2025 7:54pm
My view today is bullish after short-bearish trend until 1.16824
here we go.
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Never Lose Hope
  • #211,219
  • Jul 9, 2025 9:25pm Jul 9, 2025 9:25pm
Quoting Mr.rama
My view today is bullish after short-bearish trend until 1.16824 here we go. {image}
No bullish today i bet you , use 4houurs trendline its touched third touch and rejected there. please before bringing up any view
  • #211,220
  • Jul 9, 2025 9:34pm Jul 9, 2025 9:34pm
Today, all I care is: Can bears prevent any M15 candle opening above 1.1752??? As long as they can I stay bearish!

Happy trading day folks
Focus only on what truly matters!
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