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EURUSD only

  • #211,041
  • Jul 4, 2025 4:01am Jul 4, 2025 4:01am
Liquidity building on 15m above and bellow. Which direction do we get?
I am short since Frankfurt open, SL already at BE.
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  • #211,042
  • Jul 4, 2025 4:14am Jul 4, 2025 4:14am
Inserted Video
  • #211,043
  • Jul 4, 2025 4:46am Jul 4, 2025 4:46am
Quoting Bloodwish
https://youtu.be/GphH5lyWcvU
My intention was EXACTLY the same.. SELL towards 1750 but Mr.Market "changed his mind" ...
He's the boss
A couple of partial profits taken, but it would not even pay for my lunch
NY is CLOSED TODAY...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #211,044
  • Jul 4, 2025 4:48am Jul 4, 2025 4:48am
Be carefull with shortpositions guys.
From the info I got from a verry successful trader is the long uptrend from the euro not over.

Take a look at these video from his channel.

Inserted Video
  • #211,045
  • Jul 4, 2025 4:58am Jul 4, 2025 4:58am
Quoting 3Davy
Be carefull with shortpositions guys. From the info I got from a verry successful trader is the long uptrend from the euro not over. Take a look at these video from his channel. https://youtu.be/yCaWoWQW36c?si=s4k230sJMY9wdriF
agree.. A LONG gravity back above 1850 is very likely, but I think today's lack of US liquidity might make the whole day boring...
Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #211,046
  • Jul 4, 2025 6:18am Jul 4, 2025 6:18am
1780 Today Close.
  • #211,047
  • Edited 9:55am Jul 4, 2025 7:22am | Edited 9:55am
Based on M15, bears must drop below 1.1742 for bearish continuation... Let's see..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #211,048
  • Jul 4, 2025 7:38am Jul 4, 2025 7:38am
@Ata-Turkoglu ... Noted. Thank you. From price action, the zone between 1.1742 and 1.17200 serve as a major supply zone and support for the EURUSD and traders must keenly monitor the price action as bears approach this zone - it might either break through successfully or be rejected as seen in times past (Thursday July 03, 2025 between 8:30 - 9:00AM EST.
  • #211,049
  • Jul 4, 2025 7:59am Jul 4, 2025 7:59am
Analysis: On the H4 timeframe, the dashboard indicates a mixed signal from individual indicators. The Moving Averages (MA) are Neutral, while MACD and CCI are signaling SELL. Conversely, Stochastic and RSI show BUY signals. ADX suggests a Weak BUY, indicating limited bullish momentum from this indicator.

The "Overall" analysis, which averages results across M5, M30, and H1 timeframes, points to a Strong SELL with a 43% conviction. This suggests a prevailing bearish sentiment across shorter timeframes, despite the mixed signals on the current H4 chart.

The market condition is identified as a Weak Trend, implying that while there is a directional bias (towards selling overall), the trend lacks significant strength. The nearest Resistance zone is identified between 1.1846 and 1.1826 (59 pips away), while the nearest Support zone is significantly lower, between 1.1469 and 1.1446 (298 pips away). Given the Weak Trend and Strong SELL overall, the price is likely to test the nearest Support zone if bearish momentum increases, or it may consolidate around current levels due to the weak trend. The wide gap between current price and the Support suggests potential for further downside if the Strong SELL conviction holds.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Disclaimer: This analysis is based solely on data from the provided dashboard and is intended for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and by following this analysis or its signals, you may incur financial losses. Please exercise caution and make your own informed trading decisions.
Attached File(s)
File Type: zip Technical Analysis Dashboard v4.48.zip   538 KB | 142 downloads
  • #211,050
  • Jul 4, 2025 9:51am Jul 4, 2025 9:51am
Quoting arifchw
Analysis: On the H4 timeframe, the dashboard indicates a mixed signal from individual indicators. The Moving Averages (MA) are Neutral, while MACD and CCI are signaling SELL. Conversely, Stochastic and RSI show BUY signals. ADX suggests a Weak BUY, indicating limited bullish momentum from this indicator. The "Overall" analysis, which averages results across M5, M30, and H1 timeframes, points to a Strong SELL with a 43% conviction. This suggests a prevailing bearish sentiment across shorter timeframes, despite the mixed signals on the current H4...
Yeah but still 80% of retail traders are still selling so maybe the EURUSD might move up a bit and then reverse or consolidate a bit so the sellers lose interest then it might move down
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  • #211,051
  • Jul 4, 2025 10:01am Jul 4, 2025 10:01am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Just sold 1.1776 based on H1: Candle close below 1.1772 created a restarter candle! {image}
I waited to see what bears will do but late hour and I don't want to keep this order while H1 candles to stay above 1.1776 so I got rid of it with BE..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #211,052
  • Jul 4, 2025 10:03am Jul 4, 2025 10:03am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I waited to see what bears will do but late hour and I don't want to keep this order while H1 candles to stay above 1.1776 so I got rid of it with BE..
it was slow and eu appeared bullish and keep pushing we are stuck
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #211,054
  • Jul 4, 2025 10:50am Jul 4, 2025 10:50am
Quoting keyc
{quote} Forex is estimated to trade around $6.6 trillion a day, with most trading concentrated on a few major pairs like EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD and AUD/USD 15396.9+ 3826.24 = around 20K lots around 2000K approximate 2 Billion. Even if all retail join force and become one sided, still less than 1%. IF daily range is 200 pips, at most move 2 pips.
Math is FUN!
When you don't know where your going, any road will take you there.
  • #211,055
  • Jul 4, 2025 11:16am Jul 4, 2025 11:16am
Quoting keyc
{quote} Forex is estimated to trade around $6.6 trillion a day, with most trading concentrated on a few major pairs like EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD and AUD/USD 15396.9+ 3826.24 = around 20K lots around 2000K approximate 2 Billion. Even if all retail join force and become one sided, still less than 1%. IF daily range is 200 pips, at most move 2 pips.
Retail sentiment, doesn’t directly move the forex market due to its small volume relative to the $6.6 trillion daily turnover. However, it acts as a valuable contrarian indicator, signaling potential reversals when retail positioning is extreme (e.g., 80% selling). Institutions may exploit these imbalances, targeting retail stop-losses to create short-term price movements
  • #211,056
  • Jul 4, 2025 11:43am Jul 4, 2025 11:43am
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
{quote} Retail sentiment, doesn’t directly move the forex market due to its small volume relative to the $6.6 trillion daily turnover. However, it acts as a valuable contrarian indicator, signaling potential reversals when retail positioning is extreme (e.g., 80% selling). Institutions may exploit these imbalances, targeting retail stop-losses to create short-term price movements
It's been that way for weeks now! Yet it keeps going up.
When you don't know where your going, any road will take you there.
  • #211,057
  • Jul 4, 2025 11:56am Jul 4, 2025 11:56am
Quoting Darfirst
{quote} It's been that way for weeks now! Yet it keeps going up.
I think you misunderstood me what i mean to say is that retails are selling heavily so EURUSD can still go higher and I didn't say follow the retails what is said was do the opposite of what retails do since they are wrong majority of times and it only make sense for eurusd to go higher since the sentiment is indicating bearish retail positions for days now
  • #211,058
  • Jul 4, 2025 11:58am Jul 4, 2025 11:58am
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
{quote} I think you misunderstood me what i mean to say is that retails are selling heavily so EURUSD can still go higher and I didn't say follow the retails what is said was do the opposite of what retails do since they are wrong majority of times and it only make sense for eurusd to go higher since the sentiment is indicating bearish retail positions for days now
I see, never mind then.
When you don't know where your going, any road will take you there.
  • #211,059
  • Jul 4, 2025 12:02pm Jul 4, 2025 12:02pm
Quoting Darfirst
{quote} I see, never mind then.
yeah hope you understood what I meant
  • #211,060
  • Jul 4, 2025 1:10pm Jul 4, 2025 1:10pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} it was slow and eu appeared bullish and keep pushing we are stuck
Based on M15, I reopened a new short order here at 1.1775... Let's see...
Focus only on what truly matters!
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