Volman meets Burke or My journey with PA

Given up on PA or still relevant to your strategy ?

Just realized something. Trivial as it appears, it could cause confusion. The use of the term tick. In futures, "tick" is the minimum price move. That is my reference. Similar to a pip in forex. Not to be confused with that other tick concept, which when observed, seems artificial.

Updated. The goal now is to create a basic and sound rule set. Test it for a brief (undefined as of now) time, then move the system to the larger RTY contract.

Current parameters

As I was saying, I set out to trade naked. No go. Went back to my roots of squiglies and whatnots. Much of that is documented in these pages. Made the full transition to using what I consider true price action as there is no time distortion to the price on the charts.

What I have now is a system that (hopefully, and it is looking that way) that takes advantage of the irregular cycles of the intraday market.

And yeah I am posting the parameters and all. Reason being is most people are lazy and will not take the time to learn/use this. As far as giving away anything, I am sure folks much smarter than I have crunched some numbers and done similar already. Only they have it down to a T. How I do this is turn my autist level up some and go at it.

One last thing for the occasional passerby, I do not give signals.

Better though, I am documenting the creation of a system (which few do, yeah for me, blah, blah).

I do invite posts and comments. Good or bad. (believe me bro, my skin has gotten real thick)

Sorry, missed this earlier.

I think it is all how PA is defined. If by naked chart, yes.

If by there is some form of cyclic nature that can be quantified some way, no. I would argue I use "PA" in a more direct way than most.

Slower day like today the 1-minute works OK. The 5-minute, to me (and this was a main TF for me) is useless.

8-Range bar. The basics of how I view the use of moving averages. The two "?" spots point to the MACD. The helper, so to speak.

Not every swing is worth taking, but ... no pay if no play.

This should cover things for now.

A basic down cycle.

Looking at things from the 8-Range view, the week so far (in sections):

Monday




Tuesday Part A




Tuesday Part B




Wednesday




The main thing to notice is how price cycles through the days in various ways and how the system can catch most of the action.

I analyze prior history all the time when doing a project as this. This allows me to go back and see how price reacts and moves through the ma's.

This has to always be remembered. Once the parameters are set, it is price itself that creates its own framework. I am amazed and thankful every day that I have been able to choose parameters, almost out of the air, that do so well.

Post #3557 shows, not only a basic cycle, but also the initial cycle of a trading day. That would be today. *** Before going any further: Any posts showing price from today 2July 2025 are hypothetical in nature as I did not trade today. ***

With that, I more often than not do not look for any potential trades before the start time. All part of ensuring discipline with this method is built. (An example of maintaining discipline is I still have not returned to "X" since the beginning of March this year.)

One way to identify cycles is with the Zig-Zag indi. From here we can see that not all crosses will result in valid trades.

This means a rule set that will hopefully cover both situations - successful cross and "failed" cross. Failed as in it did not result in a valid trade in the cross direction.

Now that we have Gold crosses defined as the visual start of any cycle, lets expand the view to cover the potential entry area.

Here is the initial cross and potential entry area to start the day.