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The Winner

  • #1
  • First Post: Edited Apr 28, 2025 3:44am Apr 18, 2025 7:12am | Edited Apr 28, 2025 3:44am
I believe in finding the trend on a higher timeframe (HTF) and trading it on a LTF. At the start of the trend there will often be momentum. Finding Momentum on HTF gives nice trades on LTF. I use the Daily to find momentum and trade the M30.

This post #1 will be alive and updated frequently. So just because you have read it - you should do it again frequently. I will not provide a template. If you cannot easily make your own template, then you will not be able to trade this strategy - or any other strategy.

Strategy has changed a bit at 28. April 2025. In stead of using the MA's I am now going all in using the Smoothed Heiken Ashi. You could say I am home again. This has been my strategy for years now.

I have made a couple of helping robots for you guys. More about that below.

On the screen set up the Smoothed Heiken Ashi - hereafter called SHA. Data 1.20.1.1. The 20 is the Moving Average. You can use whatever you like. There are more trades if you use 10, but they are also a bit more unsecure.

Now put on the MACD and the CCI indicators which are attached to this post. Use he default settings. They works fine.

Now to the rules.
They will be improved further later.

  1. Use the daily timeframe. (H4 could do if you want more action)
  2. Find a nice trending instrument. This is very important. Use the Daily and weekly timeframe to identify it. I will show one trick using Smoothed Heiken Ashi.
  3. Enter Long when a bar cross over the SHA upper Moving Average and CCI and MACD are green. SHA shall turn blue. at latest at the next bar, otherwise exit the trade. The opposite for Shorting.


Exits - will be described during today.

  1. RRW.
  2. Crossing opposite SHA.
  3. Heiken Ashi exit (Not SHA).
  4. MIKA exit.
  5. SuperTrend.
  6. SAR.

NOTE: I always exit on the close of the bar - never on the spike. Therefore my placed stoploss is always far away from my planned stoploss. Then I use a robot for exitting on the close of bars. This way my SL's cannot be hit by SL hunters using spikes.

Free tools.

  1. Winneralarm_3. An indicator. Gives an alert whenever a bar cross the Moving Average. Just set the Moving_Average parameter to the same value as you use in your SHA. The alarm works on the present timeframe. So if you change the timeframe, you will get the alarms present at the time in that timeframe. You can get alert on the screen, on your mobile and you can get a colourchange at alarms. See attached chart with colouralarms. This way I do not need to open charts hunting trades. Trade possibilities will be served for you. BUT!!!! It is possibilities. You must chose your trades wisely.
  2. Automatic exit. I have made an ExitRobot. It needs a little update. I will upload a new version today.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Finding a nice instrument to trade.
I myself trade all 28 Forex pairs. Using my robots you will get a colour every time a possible trade occure. Find a nice behaving pair like this:
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If you trade Long, then you can continue trading the M30 as long as the long bars on the Daily are green. Opposite for short. I have a few more tricks. They will come later.

See this - Cherry Picked - example where the bars were continuely green at the Daily. There are lots of nice trades on the M30.
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I will get some sleep now. More description will come during today.
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Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 Clive's Histogram CCI.ex4   19 KB | 729 downloads
File Type: ex4 MACD_2Lines.ex4   11 KB | 637 downloads
File Type: ex4 Heiken_Ashi_Smoothed.ex4   12 KB | 420 downloads | Uploaded Apr 27, 2025 10:45pm
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #2
  • Apr 18, 2025 9:01am Apr 18, 2025 9:01am
Interesting thread and great work here! Always looking for a D1 strategy given not much time to look at the charts. Will look in more detail into the strategy. thank you!
  • #3
  • Apr 18, 2025 9:31pm Apr 18, 2025 9:31pm
Subscription activated.
Thanks for the knowledge share! Excited to follow along and see what this can accomplish! I'm on tradingview. Gonna have to see if I can find an equivalent to the Clive histogram.
Trying to learn how to learn how to teach a robot how to learn
  • #4
  • Apr 18, 2025 10:12pm Apr 18, 2025 10:12pm
Quoting Webb1003
Subscription activated. Thanks for the knowledge share! Excited to follow along and see what this can accomplish! I'm on tradingview. Gonna have to see if I can find an equivalent to the Clive histogram.
Or maybe use MT4 too. I will later provide my MIKA indikator. I made that myself and I am sure, that there is nothing like it on TV. Could be made though. If CocAlfa or Machine comes around, they can make it.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #5
  • Apr 18, 2025 10:40pm Apr 18, 2025 10:40pm
Quoting RiskFighter
{quote} Or maybe use MT4 too. I will later provide my MIKA indikator. I made that myself and I am sure, that there is nothing like it on TV. Could be made though. If CocAlfa or Machine comes around, they can make it.
Very surpriced. Made a search and found, that my MIKA indicator has been made for Trading View. I will reveal that when I explain my use of it in the coming days.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #6
  • Apr 18, 2025 10:48pm Apr 18, 2025 10:48pm
Quoting RiskFighter
{quote} Very surpriced. Made a search and found, that my MIKA indicator has been made for Trading View. I will reveal that when I explain my use of it in the coming days.
https://www.tradingview.com/script/e...eCCI-With-EMA/

Here, I just threw together the CCI indicator for anyone using Tradingview. Matched the indicator up with what was on the first Screen shot posted here of CADCHF.
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Trying to learn how to learn how to teach a robot how to learn
  • #7
  • Apr 18, 2025 10:54pm Apr 18, 2025 10:54pm
Quoting RiskFighter
This is my thread number 30. I think I made my share and it should be the last. I believe this strategy is a winner. And it is simple. Everybody can use it. I have not tested this exact strategy, but it is a total of other strategies I have used or am still using. Watch the chart. The blue lines are winner trades and the red are losers. But this is only half the strategy. Those trades will be even better when I have explained it all. But things takes time, so this post #1 is under development. I will write when it is finished. We will explore how...
"Find a nice trending instrument. This is very important"


Totally agree on instrument selection. Right system for the right instrument. Whether it be ranging, trending, volatility etc. Have to fit the system to its instruments character.
Good luck with the thread
  • #8
  • Apr 19, 2025 4:03am Apr 19, 2025 4:03am
Quoting Webb1003
{quote} https://www.tradingview.com/script/e...eCCI-With-EMA/ Here, I just threw together the CCI indicator for anyone using Tradingview. Matched the indicator up with what was on the first Screen shot posted here of CADCHF. {image}
Very precise!
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #9
  • Edited 5:21am Apr 19, 2025 4:33am | Edited 5:21am
Here is what I look for when finding the trending pair on the Daily timeframe. First of cause some nice widening EMA's 20, 50 and 100.

This picture has 20EMAhigh, 20EMAlow and smoothed Heiken Ashi. The SHA makes the blue and read colour in the channel. It gives you a perfect "in a glance" overview. Note when you invest in the trend direction, the risk of hitting a stoploss on the other side of the channel is very low.

The SHA must always have the parameters that I attached.
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Now watch the area on the Daily chart between 15. november and 25 november on the M30 timeframe. There are an enormous amount of pips there. Just pick them as fruits. Of cause I have been "cherry picking", but this is often the case. The most important is to chose your Daily instrument wisely.
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So this was about finding the nice trend on the Daily and how they will often behave on the M30 timeframe. But which tool can we use to pick the trades on M30? I give you some nice tools for that in the coming days. Keep following the thread.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #10
  • Apr 19, 2025 5:26am Apr 19, 2025 5:26am
Quoting RiskFighter
Here is what I look for when finding the trending pair on the Daily timeframe. First of cause some nice widening EMA's 20, 50 and 100. This picture has 20EMAhigh, 20EMAlow and smoothed Heiken Ashi. The SHA makes the blue and read colour in the channel. It gives you a perfect "in a glance" overview. Note when you invest in the trend direction, the risk of hitting a stoploss on the other side of the channel is very low. The SHA must always have the parameters that I attached. {image} {image} Now watch the area on the Daily chart between 15. november...
I have used 20EMA high/low. But if you want more trades, then use 10EMA, just note that there will be more loser trades. On the other hand 34EMA and 50EMA is nice values too. Fewer trades but might be more stabile.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #11
  • Apr 19, 2025 8:13pm Apr 19, 2025 8:13pm
The suspense is rather suspensfully suspenseful! Leaving me in a suspenseful state of absolute suspense.
Trying to learn how to learn how to teach a robot how to learn
  • #12
  • Apr 19, 2025 10:24pm Apr 19, 2025 10:24pm
Quoting Webb1003
The suspense is rather suspensfully suspenseful! Leaving me in a suspenseful state of absolute suspense.
Aaaah - we have a gifted writer amongst us :-)
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #13
  • Edited 11:17pm Apr 19, 2025 11:02pm | Edited 11:17pm
As a trader I need a firm strategy, that tell me when to get in and out. Every time I enter a trade without having a signal, the trade goes against me at the instant and I loose money. I learned this the hard way.

So let me now explain about my MIKA indicator. I stumbled over a thread made by mikajap. She made a strategy using the "BO Channel". Mika's Breakout strategy | Forex Factory I saw right away, that this tool was genious, but they were using it wrongly. So I downloaded the tool and started to use it. Sadly I rather fast found out, that the tool was made during an earlier Windows version and it simply frosed quickly - not updating, and it could not be used.
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Mikajap did not tell how she got the tool or how it is made. She has been inactive the last 10 years and we cannot ask her. So I searched first Forex Factory and since the WEB and the Youtube. There were no "BO Channel" anywhere. Then I downloaded all the channel tools I could find on FF. None of them worked like the "BO Channel". The genious about the channel is, that the price action breaks out of the channel at momentum, giving a clear edge for the trader.

One day I suddently got the idea. I was working with the HalfTrend indicator. I have used this indi a lot in my first years as a trader. You know this indi is a line - not a channel. I experimented the settings. Using the "Show Bars" setting then it looks like the yellow chart below and I discovered - That was my indicator. Collect the bars with a line and you have a channel - picture two. See the last picture for the finished channel. I programmed that. You cannot find it anywhere else on FF. This is a new tool to our society.

It is useless in a ranging - as in the picture, so we need to find some trending environment for it. That is exactly what we does on the Daily timeframe.

Now this is a warm up. Next time I will tell the different possibilities we have to trade the M30. And I will give you the indicator. But it is not only the MIKA alone. Stay tuned.
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MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #14
  • Apr 20, 2025 12:38am Apr 20, 2025 12:38am
Quoting Webb1003
{image} Close.... but no cigar. Getting that square hug on the swing low is tricky. Curious about the actual indicator and what values its calculating, Along with the lookback period Might possibly need a smoothing effect. All good. I'll wait for the indi. I just enjoy trying to make indicators from what I see. Its fun. Anyways. *Suspenseful Music in the background* The mystery deepens.
Nice to meet at skilled programmer :-). This is to me the most fun in this whole trading circus.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #15
  • Apr 20, 2025 1:01am Apr 20, 2025 1:01am
OK - now to the exits. The hard part. Though if you have a good entry strategy, then the exits gets easier. It will be about how much profit to take, rather than not to lose.

There are loads of ways to exit. I will just use a few here.

 

  1. RRW = 1:1. When you enter the trade, then set the take profit in the same distance as the stop loss.
  2. RRW = 1:x. x can be 2, 3 or whatever. You will lose more often, but will be compensated by the x.
  3. Let it run. Take as much as you can before it close.

Using 1 or 2, you will leave pips on the table most times. Using 3 you will lose some gain before you finally close the trade.

If you want a steady income. Use 1 or 2. That is the wisest thing to do. If you are clever in chosing the the instruments to trade - as stated in post #1 - then you will have gains most of the time.

If you are a family father/mother and dayjobber, then you can set&forget every day at market close. This is the way to do it for you.

If you are in for some fun daytrading, then I have two tools to catch the run.

1 The EMA channel
2 The MIKA

Using the EMA channel, just exit Longs when the bar close below the EMA low. And visa versa. Note that in this thread we only enter and exit on closed bars. Always. The backside of using this methode is, that you lose part of your gain before the close.

Using the MIKA, you get several exits underway. So you do not get the long and undesturbed run, but you don't have to stay put at some RRW and leave pips on the table. Often you get a little more profit. You can also say, that having a nice trend, there will be pull backs. MIKA get's you out and in again at the pullbacks.

So much for talking. I need to put my MIKA on a living chart. I think I have to adjust some things. So it will be sometime in the coming week, that I upload it. And at the same time give the link to the TV version ;-).

MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #16
  • Edited 1:37am Apr 20, 2025 1:25am | Edited 1:37am
Just one more thing - and this is important.

When we get in on green MACD and CCI on the Daily, then we can ride the trend for some time - on the M30. But if we ride the trend until one of the indicators on the Daily gets red, then we have lost some gain to the croupier. Here comes one of the genious things

If you trade the M30, then have the MIKA on the Daily. The Mika will tell early when the trend is stopping. At that time stop trading the M30, because it will go ranging. As the nature of MIKA, the trend might kick back on the Daily. Then the MIKA on the Daily will tell you, that it is ok to continue trading the M30 again.

So this way, we keep out of bad trades on M30.

Backside is, that your runs will be cut a little too often. So in a long runnings, the EMA exit is far the best and in the short runnings, the MIKA might be better. Then again, you never know how far the runs will continue.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #17
  • Edited 3:14am Apr 20, 2025 1:33am | Edited 3:14am
I have robots that are trading for me. Plenty of them. And I do have a MIKA robot and an EMA robot. Years ago I thought that I could make a robot that just work 24/7 making money for me. I have got wiser. Now I use the robots to take the trades for me, that I would have taken manually anyway. The robots are sleeping most of the time. When I get the message on the Daily, that it will be a nice thing to trade the M30, then I put on a robot. And I take it away when the Daily tells me to stop the trading.

No, sorry - I never give away robots. They are not in a shape where other people can run them. So don't ask - please. And you don't need them. This strategy is easy to trade manually. My MIKA indicator has entry/exit arrows and I can easily make an indicator with entry/exit arrows to the EMA strategy, if you guys would like it.

But the thing is, It will be easy to forward test this strategy during the coming time using the robots. And I will show the results here.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #18
  • Apr 20, 2025 5:16am Apr 20, 2025 5:16am
Quoting RiskFighter
Just one more thing - and this is important. When we get in on green MACD and CCI on the Daily, then we can ride the trend for some time - on the M30. But if we ride the trend until one of the indicators on the Daily gets red, then we have lost some gain to the croupier. Here comes one of the genious things If you trade the M30, then have the MIKA on the Daily. The Mika will tell early when the trend is stopping. At that time stop trading the M30, because it will go ranging. As the nature of MIKA, the trend might kick back on the Daily. Then the...
Here’s a possible comment you could post in response, in English and without linking out:
That’s a really insightful breakdown—thanks for sharing! Using the Daily MIKA to guide entries and exits on the M30 makes a lot of sense, especially to avoid choppy, ranging periods. I’ve definitely experienced the frustration of riding a move too long and giving profits back. This layered approach adds a nice level of precision. Balancing between early exits with MIKA and longer runs with EMA is tricky though—do you have a personal preference or rule for when to switch between the two?
  • #19
  • Apr 20, 2025 8:26am Apr 20, 2025 8:26am
Quoting RiskFighter
As a trader I need a firm strategy, that tell me when to get in and out. Every time I enter a trade without having a signal, the trade goes against me at the instant and I loose money. I learned this the hard way. So let me now explain about my MIKA indicator. I stumbled over a thread made by mikajap. She made a strategy using the "BO Channel". Mika's Breakout strategy | Forex Factory I saw right away, that this tool was genious, but they were using it wrongly. So I...

Nice! I know the Tradingview script you are referring to.
I will keep it a secret though! Hah.

Interesting to see where it's going.

Cheers
  • #20
  • Apr 20, 2025 10:18am Apr 20, 2025 10:18am
Quoting CogAlpha
{quote} Nice! I know the Tradingview script you are referring to. I will keep it a secret though! Hah. Interesting to see where it's going. Cheers
Trying to learn how to learn how to teach a robot how to learn
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