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Mika's Breakout strategy

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  • Post #1
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  • First Post: Edited Jan 29, 2015 9:26am Jan 13, 2015 4:36am | Edited Jan 29, 2015 9:26am
  •  mikajap
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Breakouts have an edge :) | 479 Posts
THIS is a NON-COMMERCIAL Thread, 100% FREE & you can get all the indicators you need here
If you found this system to work for you, share it with your friends so we can share here!

This system is VERY EASY, just give some time to understand. Entry points are 100% NON SUBJECTIVE.
JUST wait for a signal...confirm the signal...push the button...Done.!

The setup is what matters since we are only grabbing reasonable PIPS per trade

Please don't ask about my personal accounts, live trading etc. Since i trade diff strategies
including this one. If you are interested with the strategy, please test it yourself. I wont be responsible for losses


I. TIMEFRAME & PAIR

This works on Any pair or Any timeframe (Best M15 & Above)!

I prefer to work on H1 during London Session (GMT 8 to GMT 16)
to avoid false INTRADAY breakouts and because of my personal trading time


II. ENTRY

System can work for trend and counter trend positions.
A basic trend filter uses 200EMA and 100EMA. (Bullish if PA above 200 and 100, Bearish if below)
You have the option not to trade counter trend setups.

Most of my trades are with the trend. But i counter trend on strong S/R or extreme overbought/oversold conditions

Buy Entry Rules
1. Buy Signal arrow on "BO Channel" (Arrow means first closing bar above channel)
2. Nihilist ADX (7),(21),(42) is Green or Blue
3. RSI Historgam(7) is Blue Only (Avoid Green because overbought)
4. CCI Histogram(14) is Blue Only (Avoid Green because overbought)

Sell Entry Rules
1. Sell Signal arrow on "BO Channel"(Arrow means first closing bar below channel)
2. Nihilist ADX (7),(21),(42) is Red or Orange
3. RSI Historgam(7) is Pink Only (Avoid Red because oversold)
4. CCI Histogram(14) is Pink Only (Avoid Red because oversold)

The entry point is strictly only on the bar close with signal arrow.
Late entries(2 or more bars after arrow is not valid). All rules should be met on the signal arrow.


III. StopLoss

For Long/Buy Trades
1. Below Lower Channel Line on the Entry Bar
2. Or recent Swing Low (Whichever you are comfortable)

For Short/Sell Trades
1. Above Upper Channel Line on the Entry Bar
2. Or recent Swing High (Whichever you are comfortable)

IIIB. Trailing StopLoss (OPTIONAL)
You can trail your SL (it’s up to you)
I seldom trail my stops; I do when if I caught a strong breakout

For Long/Buy Trades
1. You can use the Lower Channel Line to trail your Long trade

For Short/Sell Trades
1. You can use the Upper Channel Line to trail your Short trade


IV. TakeProfit
Bigger time-frame means bigger take-profit. Don't expect big profit on a small time-frame chart.

1. When decent profit achieved (up to you)
2. Equal to Stop loss (for 1:1 Risk Reward)
2. Value of the Channel Height on the Entry Bar (usually less than 1:1 RR)
3. (2X) Times the Value of the Channel Height on the Entry Bar (Suggested Max TP)


V. Exit (OPTIONAL)
You can close the trade manually to avoid uncertainty (it’s up to you)

For Long/Buy Trades
1. Any of the Nihilist ADX is Red or Orange
2. RSI Histogram is Pink or Red
3. CCI Histogram is Pink or Red

For Short/Sell Trades
1. Any of the Nihilist ADX is Green or Blue
2. RSI Histogram is Blue or Green
3. CCI Histogram is Blue or Green


VI. NOTES
1. The entry point is strictly only on the bar close with signal arrow.
Late entries(2 or more bars after arrow is not valid). All rules should be met on the signal arrow.

2. This system does NOT repaint after bar close
2. News Trading is your choice (BEST TO AVOID MAJOR IMPACT NEWS TRADES)
3. Only risk small and trade light
4. Please respect everyone's opinion

Example of Buy


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: Buy.PNG
Size: 47 KB



Example of Sell
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: Sell.PNG
Size: 46 KB



VII. EXAMPLE OF VALID SETUPS THAT I DON'T TAKE.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...25#post8029425

Indicators & Templates
Attached File
File Type: zip Mika's Indis.zip   220 KB | 2,973 downloads

Attached File
File Type: tpl Mika's BO.tpl   611 KB | 2,070 downloads



Session Indicator (Please Configure according to your brokers server time, a single broker can have different GMT offsets because of diff. servers)
Basic Guide in this post: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...99#post8009599
Attached File
File Type: ex4 Mika's Session.ex4   15 KB | 1,268 downloads
Reaction is better than Prediction
  • Post #2
  • Quote
  • Edited at 5:00am Jan 13, 2015 4:46am | Edited at 5:00am
  •  mikajap
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Breakouts have an edge :) | 479 Posts
These examples re on H1 trading london session

This sell example, i used the upper channel line of the signal bar as SL.
i used the channel height as TP
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: Sell.PNG
Size: 46 KB



This is same trade but i used TP 2times height of channel
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: Sell2.PNG
Size: 42 KB


This is sample of Buy signal i took

SL on lower channel line
TP height of channel

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: Buy.PNG
Size: 47 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: Buy2.PNG
Size: 43 KB
Reaction is better than Prediction
 
 
  • Post #3
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 5:56am Jan 13, 2015 5:56am
  •  mikajap
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Breakouts have an edge :) | 479 Posts
Short on AUDUSD

TP could be 16 pips or 32pips

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: Screenshot1.png
Size: 26 KB
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  • Post #4
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  • Jan 13, 2015 7:16am Jan 13, 2015 7:16am
  •  zebedeus
  • | Joined May 2012 | Status: Member | 10 Posts
hi mika, thx for sharing your system. i always wanted to know japanese trader, wonder what they are talking about there. is it only ichimoku stuff or others also. dozo yoroshiku onegai shimasu.
 
 
  • Post #5
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  • Jan 13, 2015 7:27am Jan 13, 2015 7:27am
  •  mario777
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: invisible | 951 Posts
mika-san thanks for sharing. Looking forward for more examples. Yoroshiko!
 
 
  • Post #6
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:36am Jan 13, 2015 7:36am
  •  Mr.Ma
  • | Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Member | 438 Posts
subscribed

how was the end of your trades?
 
 
  • Post #7
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:51am Jan 13, 2015 7:51am
  •  mikajap
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Breakouts have an edge :) | 479 Posts
Here is another sample

EJ Sell setup

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: Image1.png
Size: 24 KB
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  • Post #8
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  • Jan 13, 2015 8:07am Jan 13, 2015 8:07am
  •  mikajap
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Breakouts have an edge :) | 479 Posts
You are all welcome
japan is my hometown but i stayed there for a short time.

"how was the end of your trades?"
Mostly OK today, but it does not matter now, i posted some examples of entries
Reaction is better than Prediction
 
 
  • Post #9
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 8:10am Jan 13, 2015 8:10am
  •  mikajap
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Breakouts have an edge :) | 479 Posts
another short sample on EURAUD setup

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: Image1.png
Size: 23 KB
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  • Post #10
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 8:17am Jan 13, 2015 8:17am
  •  mikajap
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Breakouts have an edge :) | 479 Posts
Quoting mikajap
Disliked
Short on AUDUSD TP could be 16 pips or 32pips {image}
Ignored
When Adx's RSI or CCI turns opposite, trade can be closed to avoid SL (Its up to you)
Sometimes i close if i think BO i maxed out after hitting S/Rs.
Sometimes i let it run if the price is still far from my SL

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: Image1.png
Size: 22 KB
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  • Post #11
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  • Jan 13, 2015 8:18am Jan 13, 2015 8:18am
  •  lucariga
  • | Joined Apr 2012 | Status: Member | 571 Posts
I'll follow with interest
 
 
  • Post #12
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 8:20am Jan 13, 2015 8:20am
  •  mikajap
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Breakouts have an edge :) | 479 Posts
Quoting mikajap
Disliked
Here is another sample EJ Sell setup {image}
Ignored
TP Hit on EJ Using 1X Channel Height

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: Image2.png
Size: 23 KB
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  • Post #13
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 8:47am Jan 13, 2015 8:47am
  •  Mr.Ma
  • | Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Member | 438 Posts
which specific pairs do you monitor each day?
 
 
  • Post #14
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 8:48am Jan 13, 2015 8:48am
  •  Knez
  • | Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Member | 250 Posts
Quoting mikajap
Disliked
{quote} TP Hit on EJ Using 1X Channel Height {image}
Ignored

Mika,

Have you tested any lower time frame than 1h, please?
 
 
  • Post #15
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 9:12am Jan 13, 2015 9:12am
  •  mikajap
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Breakouts have an edge :) | 479 Posts
Quoting Mr.Ma
Disliked
which specific pairs do you monitor each day?
Ignored
i use in all major pairs.
mostly EU GU AU, EJ, GJ, AJ, UJ, UC, UCAD, also XAUUSD
Reaction is better than Prediction
 
 
  • Post #16
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 9:14am Jan 13, 2015 9:14am
  •  mario777
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: invisible | 951 Posts
Quoting Knez
Disliked
{quote} Mika, Have you tested any lower time frame than 1h, please?
Ignored
She said any TF and pair. You can test yourself and share your result.
 
 
  • Post #17
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 9:16am Jan 13, 2015 9:16am
  •  mikajap
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Breakouts have an edge :) | 479 Posts
Quoting Knez
Disliked
{quote} Mika, Have you tested any lower time frame than 1h, please?
Ignored
This works in all timeframes,
I prefer H1 since TP averages 15-25 pips. Just enough to cover spreads.

Lower TF's smaller TP

also, i only want to trade the London session breakouts.

Mika
Reaction is better than Prediction
 
 
  • Post #18
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 10:10am Jan 13, 2015 10:10am
  •  Mr.Ma
  • | Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Member | 438 Posts
Thanks for sharing your way and view of trading
Will definately check into it!

Two more questions...
Do you trade this system live?
And for how long do you trade this system?

Thanks again!
 
 
  • Post #19
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 10:20am Jan 13, 2015 10:20am
  •  mikajap
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Breakouts have an edge :) | 479 Posts
Quoting Mr.Ma
Disliked
Thanks for sharing your way and view of trading Will definately check into it! Two more questions... Do you trade this system live? And for how long do you trade this system? Thanks again!
Ignored
yes of course in live.

I just recently added some easy to use filters to confirm trades.
But i have been using the core concept of the system for several months (which is the BO Channel indi)
Reaction is better than Prediction
 
 
  • Post #20
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2015 10:24am Jan 13, 2015 10:24am
  •  kba0
  • | Joined Dec 2014 | Status: Member | 9 Posts
have your monthly gains always been green?

did you experience any major drawdowns?

great thread, subscribed and will be following closely to see how it turns out.
 
 
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