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EURUSD only

  • #207,861
  • Apr 15, 2025 3:06pm Apr 15, 2025 3:06pm
Possible support ahead. Advisable for sellers to take TP at ~1.1250 at least for now.
  • #207,862
  • Apr 15, 2025 3:35pm Apr 15, 2025 3:35pm
There is a situation that I am both happy about and afraid of. Normally, I was expecting a reaction from 1.1270. But there was no reaction. What I am afraid of is that it has not broken yet. The current fair value of EURUSD is around 1.09. And it has seen an appreciation of nearly 6%. I expect this to drop to 1-2% and reach 1.10-1.11 levels.
I write my posts with translation. There may be spelling mistakes.
  • #207,863
  • Apr 15, 2025 6:02pm Apr 15, 2025 6:02pm
Today, the BOC will release interest rates, and the US will report retail sales. The BOC is predicted to be unchanged. Yesterday, the USD strengthened, but not significantly. DXY closed at 100.159.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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I trade at FXOpen
  • #207,864
  • Apr 15, 2025 10:37pm Apr 15, 2025 10:37pm
Pending Short 1351 and 1368 average down
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #207,865
  • Apr 16, 2025 12:47am Apr 16, 2025 12:47am
Quoting Depipmaster
{quote} Yeah! Now, if everything goes to plan( no high-impact news events), it would be wise to only sell the lower highs from this point.
Just as I feared, selling momentum has been disrupted by Trump BS on Tariffs, resulting in another uncertainty-induced pullback. i.e
"Escalating US-China trade tensions cloud the outlook. In a recent move, US President Trump launched a probe into new tariffs on key mineral imports, which are heavily sourced from China, sparking fresh concerns."
That said, the pullback has already covered 80 %+ of the previous lower leg. I doubt we will make a HH. I'll look to short at those premium levels.
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  • #207,866
  • Apr 16, 2025 12:54am Apr 16, 2025 12:54am
Quoting fxcontest
Pending Short 1351 and 1368 average down
Now waiting London open (M30 candle) 1350, Bear or Bull
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #207,867
  • Apr 16, 2025 1:02am Apr 16, 2025 1:02am
Quoting fxcontest
{quote} Now waiting London open (M30 candle) 1350, Bear or Bull
Cut loss, Buy 1378 till 1370
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #207,868
  • Apr 16, 2025 1:06am Apr 16, 2025 1:06am
Got long before the push, now out and sidelines. I see it risky to go long from this level
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#teamplayer
  • #207,869
  • Apr 16, 2025 1:09am Apr 16, 2025 1:09am
Quoting Depipmaster
{quote} Just as I feared, selling momentum has been disrupted by Trump BS on Tariffs, resulting in another uncertainty-induced pullback. i.e "Escalating US-China trade tensions cloud the outlook. In a recent move, US President Trump launched a probe into new tariffs on key mineral imports, which are heavily sourced from China, sparking fresh concerns." That said, the pullback has already covered 80 %+ of the previous lower leg. I doubt we will make a HH. I'll look to short at those premium levels. {image}
Entered at the top. Took one loss and a BE on the other. I'll re-enter on the immediate pullback price gives, and then that's it for this pair. Let's see how it goes.
  • #207,870
  • Edited 1:28am Apr 16, 2025 1:10am | Edited 1:28am
Quoting Depipmaster
{quote} Just as I feared, selling momentum has been disrupted by Trump BS on Tariffs, resulting in another uncertainty-induced pullback. i.e "Escalating US-China trade tensions cloud the outlook. In a recent move, US President Trump launched a probe into new tariffs on key mineral imports, which are heavily sourced from China, sparking fresh concerns." That said, the pullback has already covered 80 %+ of the previous lower leg. I doubt we will make a HH. I'll look to short at those premium levels. {image}
It's funny how little tweets move price substantially. However, real action seems to do nothing. Sell signals have always been disrupted for some time now. All the parameters align but somehow price manages to disregard it and fly up. Let's see how high it will go.
  • #207,871
  • Apr 16, 2025 1:14am Apr 16, 2025 1:14am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} It's funny how little tweets move price substantially. However, real action seems to do nothing. Sell signals have always been disrupted for some time now. All the parameters align buy somehow price manages to disregard it and fly up. Let's see how high it will go.
It sure is funny, especially under the Trump presidency. But, well, we will just have to adapt as traders.
  • #207,872
  • Apr 16, 2025 1:30am Apr 16, 2025 1:30am
Quoting Depipmaster
{quote} It sure is funny, especially under the Trump presidency. But, well, we will just have to adapt as traders.
Yeah, his tweets or news surrounding his policies are a cloak used to hide/rationalise these extreme moves. But it's good that price is moving.
  • #207,873
  • Apr 16, 2025 1:42am Apr 16, 2025 1:42am
Bulls are strong and premium level at ~1.1380 could be inadequate to facilitate sufficient selling pressures.
Possible buy signals targeting ~1.1420. From there, sellers might take control.
  • #207,874
  • Apr 16, 2025 1:52am Apr 16, 2025 1:52am
Quoting Niffler2024
{quote} Bias updated {image} {image} {image}

Ok. So wrong on the triangle setup but we seemed to have morphed into something else.

Possible Daily bull flag starting.

Chart bias will be updated after 1000 GMT
My Charts / Ideas Do Not Constitute Any Advice. Always Do Your Own Research
  • #207,875
  • Edited 2:18am Apr 16, 2025 1:55am | Edited 2:18am
Windows updated yesterday closing my terminal overnight without a save and lost my research... noob watch :/

Anyhows, not important, most of what I had blew into the wind with the drop below the flag anyway.

Currently back into the topside of the BO of the flag. Imo the drop below bodes well for a harder push topside with the liquidity hunt below before the move.

I just got knocked out of my BO trade as I type and I am now looking for London to bring PA back down to BO levels for a confirmation push topside.

If we break below the falling TL of the flag then bears could possibly come on board hard.

If we keep going up (now I'm out of trade) I will go and have a smoke and have to wait for a new R:R trade to present itself, perhaps on the AU heh.

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Edit: I found a more true TL (rising dotted TL) where PA created a long signal on the 5 min so I have re-entered long with tight stop. It's still possible for this to retreat to the falling TL but I don't want to watch a lift off with my pants around my ankles. I will delete the solid rising TL on my chart after post.
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #207,876
  • Apr 16, 2025 2:11am Apr 16, 2025 2:11am
Quoting Palambir
oversold {image}
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Contrarian
  • #207,877
  • Apr 16, 2025 2:26am Apr 16, 2025 2:26am
short stopped at -92 pips. Opening long at 1.1378 SL 1.2656 targeting 1.17
This information is not intended as investment advice
  • #207,878
  • Apr 16, 2025 2:35am Apr 16, 2025 2:35am
Quoting fxpipper
{quote} Yep, looks like a type 2 distribution on the 1H at least. I've been selling since 1355. Looking to get down to previous to previous week's high of 1145ish, but that might be too ambitious. Have alerts set along the way so I might scale out slowly. {image}
Ugh, where’d this bullish bullshit come from? Alas, stopped out at BE.
  • #207,879
  • Apr 16, 2025 2:38am Apr 16, 2025 2:38am
Quoting Depipmaster
{quote} Just as I feared, selling momentum has been disrupted by Trump BS on Tariffs, resulting in another uncertainty-induced pullback. i.e "Escalating US-China trade tensions cloud the outlook. In a recent move, US President Trump launched a probe into new tariffs on key mineral imports, which are heavily sourced from China, sparking fresh concerns." That said, the pullback has already covered 80 %+ of the previous lower leg. I doubt we will make a HH. I'll look to short at those premium levels. {image}
Also waiting for a short here
Looks like reversals from AS highs/lows are high probability
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  • #207,880
  • Apr 16, 2025 2:42am Apr 16, 2025 2:42am
Quoting fxpipper
{quote} Ugh, where’d this bullish bullshit come from? Alas, stopped out at BE.
this ?

245% Tarrif China
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