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  • #122,261
  • Apr 14, 2025 2:24am Apr 14, 2025 2:24am
I'd be tempted to think that around 1.15 there's likely to be significant resistance, especially since the ECB will probably cut rates again.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #122,262
  • Apr 14, 2025 5:19am Apr 14, 2025 5:19am
Quoting DMA Trader
I'd be tempted to think that around 1.15 there's likely to be significant resistance, especially since the ECB will probably cut rates again.
The range is probably between 1.128 and 1.1423, but the dollar has dropped quite a lot. I'm hesitant to go long here, especially if we slip below 1.136.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #122,263
  • Apr 14, 2025 7:31am Apr 14, 2025 7:31am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yup confidence in the US has dropped. China said no and the world sees it. That is irreversable. EU and the rest of the world has option now to partner with China as Trump refused to be the world leader like before.
Many of these guys getting their news. From a game show host Joe Rogan like its gospel. People need to consider their news source is not news. Its commentators lining up a bunch of crazies to interview. There is no checking facts or not. The $ for clicks without any source checking. Its making a fools of the guys repeating the BS. The dumbing down of people's common sense. Once in the cult it's hard to get out. Lead by "people are saying", or "I'm just asking". When there is no facts behind it.
The cult tell you what beer to drink, what singers not to listen to, the actors you can't watch, the football you can't watch, even the bible you read. But there is a way for these to get back on the good side of the cult. Just make a donation. And the beer will be free flowing. The leader will even come to your football game. You can't make this up..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,264
  • Apr 14, 2025 8:06am Apr 14, 2025 8:06am
Quoting gatorinla
I was supposed to take a shot at 1341 from 1406ish. I just turned is on. 1442 was the other place to look {image}
1313 1303 may show something. But the runup above 1313 is like where institutions were selling. but this tariff mess distorted everything
If 1313 would support. It would want to get back above 1442.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,265
  • Apr 14, 2025 9:10am Apr 14, 2025 9:10am
You better get the christmas toys etc bought. The tariffs at 140% will be a bargain. The problem will be importers are not going to buy the toys. The toy shortage will inflate toys well beyond the 140%.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,266
  • Apr 14, 2025 9:45am Apr 14, 2025 9:45am
Quoting LoneTrader1
DXY I had marked this level when it it was struggling to bounce from previous level. This level also had a gap, filled today. I would be expecting complete reversal soon..... {image}
If DXY wants to bounce this is good enough level to do it.
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  • #122,267
  • Apr 14, 2025 11:15am Apr 14, 2025 11:15am
Quoting gatorinla
You better get the christmas toys etc bought. The tariffs at 140% will be a bargain. The problem will be importers are not going to buy the toys. The toy shortage will inflate toys well beyond the 140%.
I’m already buying a bunch of stuff I don’t need, just in case.
By the way, the whole world is watching the 10Y yield and selling dollars when the stock market drops.
These correlations work for a while, until everyone starts doing the same thing, then the lights go out and there's no way out.


For the newcomers.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #122,268
  • Apr 14, 2025 2:55pm Apr 14, 2025 2:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Tucker Carlson is a moron. He says outrages crap for clicks. He was a lefty doing the same thing before. He is a commentator. Thats not factual crap he spills it just click bait
I was interested in what Dr. Soon had to say not the Carlson guy.. I began diving into it and seeing news articles of American Firms investing in China for the recreation of Dr. Soon research then I began tracking down research papers of people involved.. The Video was just the most current one I could find typing in his name and that is what the algo served up..
  • #122,269
  • Apr 14, 2025 7:59pm Apr 14, 2025 7:59pm
EG. I took a long .8598 tp .8683
WK average range is about .8592.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,270
  • Apr 14, 2025 8:11pm Apr 14, 2025 8:11pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} I’m already buying a bunch of stuff I don’t need, just in case. By the way, the whole world is watching the 10Y yield and selling dollars when the stock market drops. These correlations work for a while, until everyone starts doing the same thing, then the lights go out and there's no way out. For the newcomers.
This is what makes it worse than 2008. The world lost confidence in the usa, the usd via treasury demand. Is the world voting. Pulling out of climate deal, threatening NATO, siding with Russia over Ukraine, Selling Crypto, selling bibles and crystal crosses out the White House. The complete screwing of our friends. I wonder what made people lose confidence?
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,271
  • Apr 14, 2025 8:16pm Apr 14, 2025 8:16pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This is what makes it worse than 2008. The world loss confidence in the usa, the usd via treasury demand. Is the world voting.
meaning no fundamental support for usd to bounce, weak dollars will be in play for a long time.

There are a large portion of bonds maturing in June with no buyers
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #122,272
  • Edited 9:43pm Apr 14, 2025 8:28pm | Edited 9:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1313 1303 may show something. But the runup above 1313 is like where institutions were selling. but this tariff mess distorted everything If 1313 would support. It would want to get back above 1442. {image}
It came back below 1340, its tested near 1313. If long, u want it back above 1340
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,273
  • Apr 14, 2025 8:30pm Apr 14, 2025 8:30pm
DXY monthly.
If we dont get a bounce here, and there's no fundamental reason we should, then next stop is the trendline.
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Its all just one persons opinion
  • #122,274
  • Apr 14, 2025 9:50pm Apr 14, 2025 9:50pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} meaning no fundamental support for usd to bounce, weak dollars will be in play for a long time. There are a large portion of bonds maturing in June with no buyers
Yeah. But it will at some point. Slowly but surely people are catching on. Harvard U gave DT a big FU. DT wanted to control the entire U. From curriculum, to hiring of janitors on up. Eventually the usd may bottom, when we look sain again. We pulled all the support in the third world. Now China and /Russia are filling the vacuum. This will set the usa back for decades. Lost trade relations may never come back.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,275
  • Apr 14, 2025 10:04pm Apr 14, 2025 10:04pm
Quoting gatorinla
EG. I took a long .8598 tp .8683 WK average range is about .8592.
EG the 1h did engulf. I'm shooting for a swing to 8683 by Friday. with any luck by Wednesday. S/l is one's personal decision against tp. There is a rate decision this week. I may close before
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,276
  • Apr 15, 2025 1:35am Apr 15, 2025 1:35am
I shorted, aiming for around 1.129 and some towards 1.12.
Stops are above 1.15.
Also some longs above 1.137 with tp at 1.14
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #122,277
  • Apr 15, 2025 4:05am Apr 15, 2025 4:05am
EUR/GBP is interesting. I’ve kind of been expecting it to drop for a while.
Although the last time it was at this level, it bounced back up again.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #122,278
  • Apr 15, 2025 6:18am Apr 15, 2025 6:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Need some verification. Everything should look bullish trend wise now. Even the tariff usd outflow favors a weaker usd. Verify! The numbers pulled from were before the tariffs {image}
Still consolidating. Sorry I closed the shorts from 1440 last week too early. No 4h closes below 1303. 1313 held the last push down. The 12h closed above 1340 a few hours ago, so did the day and week. Pa atm is holding between 1313 and 1367. To drop -1303 probably needs at least a 4h close below. To rise maybe a 1h close above 1367. The ECB cutting rates is the big thing next. At the same time the tariffs have a 90 day reprieve. Meanwhile the disaster master is talking about more tariffs or not tariffs (chips etc). Nobody knows what the mad hatter is doing, including the mad hatter. It changes as often as his 4X diapers.
So as a back up plan, what if the ECB cuts, and the Euro gets stronger over the usd? Don't rule it out.
If it manage to get above 1367 + and closing. 1442 may have some R value.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,279
  • Apr 15, 2025 6:22am Apr 15, 2025 6:22am
Quoting DMA Trader
EUR/GBP is interesting. I’ve kind of been expecting it to drop for a while. Although the last time it was at this level, it bounced back up again.
The rate cut is likely baked in. I have another pending 8553.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #122,280
  • Apr 15, 2025 6:27am Apr 15, 2025 6:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The rate cut is likely baked in. I have another pending 8553.
In my opinion, we should be at 0.83.
This euro strength is absurd.
I’ve got some older shorts, but I don’t have the courage to add new ones right here.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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johncen