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  • #1,761
  • Apr 10, 2025 11:37am Apr 10, 2025 11:37am
Waiting for a slight pull back to the exact 0.5 lvl to enter long
  • #1,762
  • Apr 10, 2025 12:25pm Apr 10, 2025 12:25pm
I took a small long position.
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  • #1,763
  • Apr 10, 2025 3:12pm Apr 10, 2025 3:12pm
Picked up a long too, but on the ES. First attempt got stopped out, went in too late.
Targeting the volume point of control in the consolidation area above.
For the NQ (futures) that would be approximately 19.675,00.
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  • #1,764
  • Apr 10, 2025 3:43pm Apr 10, 2025 3:43pm
Quoting Fadhl
I took a small long position. {image}
I closed it with a good reward.
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  • #1,765
  • Apr 10, 2025 7:15pm Apr 10, 2025 7:15pm
Quoting LetsGoPitt
Picked up a long too, but on the ES. First attempt got stopped out, went in too late. Targeting the volume point of control in the consolidation area above. For the NQ (futures) that would be approximately 19.675,00. {image}
Closed the trade at breakeven. Not really feeling it. Here's a little rant

Wolfram might be right with his findings. There's a 90-day "pause", but the 10% blanket tariffs are still present. Additionally, the 125% tariffs on China is actually 145%.

The CPI numbers were a non-event. It's data before tariffs. The Fed speakers today were talking about higher inflation. They do not believe the tariffs effect are short term.

Furthermore, gold prices are still rising, indicating that demand for safe havens is still alive. The consumer staples sector is doing relatively well too. Look at Walmart and Costco for example, they closed positive and flat, respectively.

And what's the deal with Trump wanting to acquire Greenland? That's still on the table. Something like won't create stability in the world.

I'd say unless something concretes and positive comes out of the White House, the indices are still not done declining.

Edit: And look at this. Consumer sentiment is already revised down, and inflation expectation revised up.
  • #1,766
  • Apr 10, 2025 9:07pm Apr 10, 2025 9:07pm
19 383 and 20 0444 are my NQ targets for friday
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  • #1,767
  • Apr 10, 2025 9:11pm Apr 10, 2025 9:11pm
Quoting Fadhl
Hello Traders: I'm starting this thread to share my experience and learn from you. After few years trying many tools, strategies, instruments with up and down results, I finally embraced the life principle: keep it simple! From all instruments, I found Nasdaq is the best one in terms of liquidity and volatility and where you can make quick and important rewards. So this thread is preferably reserved for NQ and to lesser extent all other indices. The strategy is very simple: 1- I trade mainly NY Session. I trade both Spots and Futures. 2- Identify...
Great to have this post to discuss and share more trades from the lovely traders
the markets is now turmoil again wich means more opportunities
hope we all grab it and turn it to be our profit!
  • #1,768
  • Apr 10, 2025 9:38pm Apr 10, 2025 9:38pm
Quoting soufianeelaz
19 383 and 20 0444 are my NQ targets for friday {image}
I support your view and targets. It's very possible. Today, inflation data was undershoot which is good for equities, but more importantly lower inflation data gives the FED the REASON to cut rates; hence the FED did not bend the knee to Trump pressure.
So if tomorrow's data is also an undershoot or just inline, it's sufficient reason for the FED to cut.
Consumer sentiment data is also a key factor.
Scenarios:
1- Inline data: Both PPI & Consumer
Good for Equities
2- Undershoot: Both PPI & Consumer
Good for Equities (beside the knee jerk reaction for Consumer data as this implies the FED has to intervene and they've inflation data as rationale)
3- Overshoot: Both PPI & Consumer
Zigzag: down then up
4- Mixed data:
Zigzag

GL!
  • #1,769
  • Apr 11, 2025 3:25am Apr 11, 2025 3:25am
There you go 125% tariffs from China.
  • #1,770
  • Apr 11, 2025 7:18am Apr 11, 2025 7:18am
Good day!
  • #1,771
  • Apr 11, 2025 7:26am Apr 11, 2025 7:26am
Howdy gentlemen.Useful thread you got here.

There is a resemblence to the covid crisis.When the orange 50 SMA on daily crossed the blue 200 SMA on daily,it started to retrace up to the 200 sma.The fall that followed was less abrupt,but it was more prolonged.

I doubt anyone big is buying right now.It's short covering and waiting for positive news.But the whole rebalancing of the global trade and the fact that we have a full blown economic war between no1 and no2 will lead to a slow realisation that it is a deep crisis.Everyone might have its own views on that,but global trade as it was is not coming back and there is nothing that can take it's place right now.
It may have been overdue to put a hold on China,but the way it's done is not skillful.

There are many thousands points waiting on the way down,and with entries at better prices.
Keep up the good work.
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  • #1,772
  • Apr 11, 2025 7:33am Apr 11, 2025 7:33am
Very good data for equities.
Guaranteed the FED cut this coming meeting.
  • #1,773
  • Apr 11, 2025 7:42am Apr 11, 2025 7:42am
Today's plan
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  • #1,774
  • Apr 11, 2025 8:45am Apr 11, 2025 8:45am
Price provided a break up of the 5min opening range. With the retest, we should go long, but I'll wait for the Consumer data to avoid the kneejerk reaction.
Also pay attention to Bonds!
Bonds are on the driver seat; Breakout of the current level U10y 4.5% will crash the market again.
  • #1,775
  • Apr 11, 2025 9:02am Apr 11, 2025 9:02am
Consumer data is almost at 50!!! and expected inflation is higher!!
Let see how the market will react after the knee jerk reaction.
  • #1,776
  • Apr 11, 2025 9:11am Apr 11, 2025 9:11am
Quoting Mihais81
Howdy gentlemen.Useful thread you got here. There is a resemblence to the covid crisis.When the orange 50 SMA on daily crossed the blue 200 SMA on daily,it started to retrace up to the 200 sma.The fall that followed was less abrupt,but it was more prolonged. I doubt anyone big is buying right now.It's short covering and waiting for positive news.But the whole rebalancing of the global trade and the fact that we have a full blown economic war between no1 and no2 will lead to a slow realisation that it is a deep crisis.Everyone might have its own...
I totally agree with you.
We're witnessing before our eyes the end of US economy. The shift is structural. Any up move in equities is for recovery, not fundamentally.
Thanks for your comments and nice to see you around!
  • #1,777
  • Apr 11, 2025 9:13am Apr 11, 2025 9:13am
U10y is above 4.5!!!
It's a risky environment to go long in equities. Quick in and out with STP...
  • #1,778
  • Apr 11, 2025 9:18am Apr 11, 2025 9:18am
My potential entry if the retest is bullish.
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  • #1,779
  • Apr 11, 2025 9:25am Apr 11, 2025 9:25am
Quoting Fadhl
My potential entry if the retest is bullish. {image}
This is cancelled!
U10y is now 4.57!!!
DT must tweet some positive news imminently!
  • #1,780
  • Apr 11, 2025 10:47am Apr 11, 2025 10:47am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} This is cancelled! U10y is now 4.57!!! DT must tweet some positive news imminently!
Instead of relying on FA and TA we are guessing if Trump is in front of the keyboard or not
We have to learn to live with this, OMG...
Fadhl, like always, I thank you for your great work here!!
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