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EURUSD only

  • #206,921
  • Mar 31, 2025 1:41am Mar 31, 2025 1:41am
This is called confident
  • #206,922
  • Mar 31, 2025 1:57am Mar 31, 2025 1:57am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Hi, so my Right Side of the Chart came to pass nicely (quote). From here I am looking at the bears to come back on board for a correction of the current bull move. There is a strong demand level to push through if they have any hope of going lower. Imo I am expecting the support to ultimately be beaten but whether it be for the bears to go lower or just the bulls looking for an extra spring board to their liquidity is hard for me to see at this stage. The other side of the trade is the obvious momentum of the current bull move. It could...
Hi, this week I am still on my TRC plan from my previous post. PA didn't reach my AOI in the open blue box before a minor correction. I still think it will reach this level though it may now have the momentum on a downward swing to punch through without looking back.

On the topside imo if we enter into the red zone PA has a decent chance of a hard push topside.

I am looking at a poor quality H&S (I usually include wicks) but it could also be a double top for a further push downside. I don't see the sellers entering yet (4hr) and I think we have a little further topside to go to around the 1.086 zone before the bears come in to dominate again.

Edit: I forgot to mention it's NFP week so directional trading is difficult, often with whipsaw activity. I will just be trading what I see however.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #206,923
  • Mar 31, 2025 2:20am Mar 31, 2025 2:20am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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On a daily we are facing classic M pattern, which is bearish pattern. Momentaly we are testing bottom M pattern, which means M pattern is completed.
My opinion is that market is slowly going down.
Fundamentals are talking itself EU-US diference 2% on GDP and diference 2% in interest rate, both in favor of US (for now).
For now i don't see any reason for EUR strength.
  • #206,924
  • Mar 31, 2025 2:37am Mar 31, 2025 2:37am
End of Month Outlook

  1. So today is final day of March and we must watch weekly resistance level: ~1.0862 and monthly indecision level: ~1.0812!
  2. H1 candles are currently flowing between these two areas.. I noted that a bearish H&S pattern could form... Time will tell...
  3. For now: As long as H1 candles open above 1.0812, bulls have the upper hand...

Happy trading day folks

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #206,925
  • Mar 31, 2025 3:03am Mar 31, 2025 3:03am
Placed few longs, as i said 15-25 pips was the expected retrace
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  • #206,926
  • Mar 31, 2025 3:56am Mar 31, 2025 3:56am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
End of Month Outlook So today is final day of March and we must watch weekly resistance level: ~1.0862 and monthly indecision level: ~1.0812! H1 candles are currently flowing between these two areas.. I noted that a bearish H&S pattern could form... Time will tell... For now: As long as H1 candles open above 1.0812, bulls have the upper hand... Happy trading day folks {image}
Pease notice how price bounced right up from 1.0812....
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #206,927
  • Mar 31, 2025 4:17am Mar 31, 2025 4:17am
Here’s how I personally see it:

  1. It’s the last day of the month, and often the EUR/USD rises at the end of the month.
  2. I’m still short, but some things have changed, EUR used to rise when U.S. stock indices were falling, but that’s no longer the case, so be careful.
  3. It’s a very tough and tense week. Above 810, the bulls have the advantage, and I’m trying to play a bit on the long side too, aiming for quick profits at 850–860.
    Below 800/810 it’s a different story.

But the most important thing is to reduce exposure, and less experienced traders should not mess around with leverage this week. The bulls want to see a weak ADP and NFP and signs that Trump is wreaking havoc on the U.S. economy.
Part of that, in my opinion, is already priced in, which means any news or information we receive might be interpreted in a completely different way than what we expect or what appears in the media.
In other words, an example could be a weak NFP and the EUR still dropping, or the opposite.
Good luck to everyone. Discipline and Money Management come before any analysis or chart.
Have a great week!

Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #206,928
  • Mar 31, 2025 4:24am Mar 31, 2025 4:24am
30 min chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #206,929
  • Mar 31, 2025 5:01am Mar 31, 2025 5:01am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Pease notice how price bounced right up from 1.0812....
I’m hoping it drop to 1.07871. Would love to buy there. Once it clears the FVG
Look ahead. Reste positif
  • #206,930
  • Mar 31, 2025 5:12am Mar 31, 2025 5:12am
Quoting DMA Trader
Here’s how I personally see it: It’s the last day of the month, and often the EUR/USD rises at the end of the month. I’m still short, but some things have changed, EUR used to rise when U.S. stock indices were falling, but that’s no longer the case, so be careful. It’s a very tough and tense week. Above 810, the bulls have the advantage, and I’m trying to play a bit on the long side too, aiming for quick profits at 850–860. Below 800/810 it’s a different story. But the most important thing is to reduce exposure, and less experienced traders should...
810 should be defended by the bulls, otherwise we might slip.
I believe there are certain indicators that have changed, and there's a chance the dollar could rise while the markets fall. But we’ll see.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #206,931
  • Mar 31, 2025 5:55am Mar 31, 2025 5:55am
Meanwhile, on H1...

Watching ~1.0812 area getting a beating from bears... So far, bulls are protective...

Nothing for sure yet though... Time will tell more!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H1.png Size: 19 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #206,932
  • Mar 31, 2025 6:04am Mar 31, 2025 6:04am
Quoting Serve
{quote} I’m hoping it drop to 1.07871. Would love to buy there. Once it clears the FVG
Good luck for your FVG chasing... I don't mind FVG traders.. BUT just to clarify: I stick to my wma lines and own system...

*AND: Without the break of the bold black trendline on H4 chart we all better stay bullish!

Best wishes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H4.png Size: 18 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #206,933
  • Mar 31, 2025 6:42am Mar 31, 2025 6:42am
Quoting fxmasterdxb
Placed few longs, as i said 15-25 pips was the expected retrace {image}
So im not the only one whenever decides to enter the market and price goes to the complete other direction ....
  • #206,934
  • Mar 31, 2025 7:39am Mar 31, 2025 7:39am
Quoting Humanleader
{quote} So im not the only one whenever decides to enter the market and price goes to the complete other direction ....
mostly confirmation bias but sometimes i swear it does it on purpose lol.
  • #206,935
  • Mar 31, 2025 7:48am Mar 31, 2025 7:48am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Hi, this week I am still on my TRC plan from my previous post. PA didn't reach my AOI in the open blue box before a minor correction. I still think it will reach this level though it may now have the momentum on a downward swing to punch through without looking back. On the topside imo if we enter into the red zone PA has a decent chance of a hard push topside. I am looking at a poor quality H&S (I usually include wicks) but it could also be a double top for a further push downside. I don't see the sellers entering yet (4hr) and I think...
Short.

I wanted a higher price but looks like we may go down from here with a H&S like formation in the ST.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd 264.png Size: 18 KB
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #206,936
  • Mar 31, 2025 8:07am Mar 31, 2025 8:07am
If bulls can not achieve an H1 candle close back above 1.0820 in a couple of hours, bearishness will take back full control...

Remember: both sides will try to achieve a monthly candle close below or above 1.0812, accordingly!

The closing price of this day is highly highly crucial!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #206,937
  • Mar 31, 2025 8:40am Mar 31, 2025 8:40am
In the next 3 to 4 hours I expect bulls to fight for 1.0820.... Don't rush in thinking bears will win easily... Step by step!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #206,938
  • Mar 31, 2025 9:28am Mar 31, 2025 9:28am
Quoting Serve
{quote} I’m hoping it drop to 1.07871. Would love to buy there. Once it clears the FVG
  • #206,939
  • Mar 31, 2025 9:30am Mar 31, 2025 9:30am
As you can see bears are chained like dogs... they only bark and push but can't go further away from 1.0812...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #206,940
  • Mar 31, 2025 9:34am Mar 31, 2025 9:34am
They've gone down 60 pips from today's high 1.085 , which is not a small amount
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