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The Swamp

  • #121,081
  • Feb 14, 2025 6:56am Feb 14, 2025 6:56am
Quoting LoneTrader1
DXY {image}
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  • #121,082
  • Feb 14, 2025 7:12am Feb 14, 2025 7:12am
I would had taken this short normally. Things just dont seem right.
EU
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,083
  • Feb 14, 2025 7:28am Feb 14, 2025 7:28am
It would need to be a good move to reach 434 in the next 30 min.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,084
  • Feb 14, 2025 7:38am Feb 14, 2025 7:38am
Quoting gatorinla
I would had taken this short normally. Things just dont seem right. EU {image}
To make 434 for the LC close. The bears are not showing the needed aggression. It's unlikely to get there in this hour.
Taken back 503, looks bullish on a 5 min.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,085
  • Feb 14, 2025 7:51am Feb 14, 2025 7:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} To make 434 for the LC close. The bears are not showing the needed aggression. It's unlikely to get there in this hour. Taken back 503, looks bullish on a 5 min. {image}
It took 503.. Bulls need a HH
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,086
  • Feb 14, 2025 8:03am Feb 14, 2025 8:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It took 503.. Bulls need a HH {image}
It looks like I will be stopped out
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,087
  • Feb 14, 2025 8:07am Feb 14, 2025 8:07am
either way..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,088
  • Feb 14, 2025 8:09am Feb 14, 2025 8:09am
s/o +3
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,089
  • Feb 14, 2025 8:18am Feb 14, 2025 8:18am
Quoting gatorinla
s/o +3 {image}
on the 5 min that s/o was a small b/o. inside the high/low the past few hs. So it may retest the low last hour. It didnt b/o the high
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,090
  • Feb 14, 2025 8:28am Feb 14, 2025 8:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} on the 5 min that s/o was a small b/o. inside the high/low the past few hs. So it may retest the low last hour. It didnt b/o the high {image}
out+2
I may have closed too early.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,091
  • Feb 14, 2025 9:41am Feb 14, 2025 9:41am
Quoting gatorinla
I would had taken this short normally. Things just dont seem right. EU {image}
Next week have to look at things the other way around.
  • #121,092
  • Feb 14, 2025 9:57am Feb 14, 2025 9:57am
Quoting LoneTrader1
DXY {image}
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  • #121,093
  • Feb 14, 2025 10:15am Feb 14, 2025 10:15am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,094
  • Feb 14, 2025 11:21am Feb 14, 2025 11:21am
please any one give me some advise i am long in USDCAD from 1.46742 and it is becoming night mare i am wating to see if in march USD might get stronger i am in big loss
  • #121,095
  • Feb 14, 2025 8:59pm Feb 14, 2025 8:59pm
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Next week have to look at things the other way around.
the same here. I may be scalping. The inflation fudis usually point to a stronger usd. Well that didnt happen. I have to think 610 and the other higher pp at 6xx... Monday I will seek some support if it shows it. I cant trust anything because the next tweet can do the opposite. The market likes stability. Right now, what's coming from the country representing the usd. Is looney tunes. Several times a day. The vice and sec of defense talk opposite. And about a thousand other things
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,096
  • Feb 15, 2025 3:42am Feb 15, 2025 3:42am
Quoting Dhruv2002
please any one give me some advise i am long in USDCAD from 1.46742 and it is becoming night mare i am wating to see if in march USD might get stronger i am in big loss
I dont want to give you false hope. You should always have a stop loss when the trae it taken. You should always know your risk limitation and have it set before taking the trade.

Anyway 1.4106, 1.4133, or in this chart. The 1.4136 area may give you something back. Here you can go back to the year open close or quarter. Just fill in the blanks to see what it has in the larger fibs. https://www.pivotpointcalculator.com/#google_vignette
The ypp is 1.4027 it may be pulling it there.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,097
  • Feb 15, 2025 3:54am Feb 15, 2025 3:54am
The CAD is already well beyond the average monthly range. So it's not an average move. The rejection off that 5 year high is strong so far.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #121,098
  • Feb 15, 2025 11:21am Feb 15, 2025 11:21am
Quoting Dhruv2002
please any one give me some advise i am long in USDCAD from 1.46742 and it is becoming night mare i am wating to see if in march USD might get stronger i am in big loss
You have bought at a multi year high, wrong trade in the first place, then no SL, and letting it go against you that far, now hoping for a miracle to happen or some hope. It doesn't work like that in trading,

Market analysis will not solve the problems created by a lack of discipline and confidence.

The market is a boundary-less environment; your mental structure must impose the rules and discipline needed to thrive.

When you define your risk in advance, you acknowledge the possibility of being wrong. Without this, traders rationalize, justify, or avoid decisions, leading to losses.

Mark Douglas
  • #121,099
  • Feb 15, 2025 11:29am Feb 15, 2025 11:29am
Most traders have absolutely no concept of what it means to be a risk-taker in the way a successful trader thinks about risk. The best traders not only take the risk, they have also learned to accept and embrace that risk. There is a huge psychological gap between assuming you are a risk-taker because you put on trades and fully accepting the risks inherent in each trade. When you fully accept the risks, it will have profound implications on your bottom-line performance.

When you learn the trading skill of risk acceptance, the market will not be able to generate information that you define or interpret as painful. If the information the market generates doesn’t have the potential to cause you emotional pain, there’s nothing to avoid. It is just information, telling you what the possibilities are. This is called an objective perspective—one that is not skewed or distorted by what you are afraid is going to happen or not happen.

Unless you learn to completely accept the possibility of an uncertain outcome, you will try either consciously or unconsciously to avoid any possibility you define as painful.

Mark Douglas
  • #121,100
  • Feb 15, 2025 3:29pm Feb 15, 2025 3:29pm
Quoting LoneTrader1
Most traders have absolutely no concept of what it means to be a risk-taker in the way a successful trader thinks about risk. The best traders not only take the risk, they have also learned to accept and embrace that risk. There is a huge psychological gap between assuming you are a risk-taker because you put on trades and fully accepting the risks inherent in each trade. When you fully accept the risks, it will have profound implications on your bottom-line performance. When you learn the trading skill of risk acceptance, the market will not be...
yes i accept that it was big mistake that being said i still have 250% margin level , i can wait till march perhaps till 1st april,the last hope is reciprocal tariffs and it will hit CA economy , at that time even i manage to recover 50% i will have no regret
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