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  • #204,381
  • Jan 29, 2025 12:26am Jan 29, 2025 12:26am
Quick H1 Outlook

  1. To keep it simple: D1 is currently corrective, but H1 candles are still struggling to find direction.
  2. While below ~1.0457, and while my MACD lines are below 0, bears have the upper hand, but again: things can get interesting today once data comes out. We must watch very carefully.
  3. Overall, I prefer to flow with bears for now and will try to rinse and repeat selling as high as I can and as close as it gets to 1.0457 (1), BUT I am aware that bulls are lurking and if necessary I will adapt real quick if I see a break above 1.0457 (2).

Good luck and happy trading day to all

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #204,382
  • Edited 1:27am Jan 29, 2025 12:45am | Edited 1:27am
entire day hugged fibo 61.8 (.0429) and no drop to fibo 78.6 (.0404) on Asia ?
sadpanda
p.s. many stops @ .0410
  • #204,383
  • Jan 29, 2025 1:27am Jan 29, 2025 1:27am
Quoting SnaveForex
Pending shorts 0445
at this point 0407 or sub 0383 floor is now at 0333 ish
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  • #204,384
  • Jan 29, 2025 1:57am Jan 29, 2025 1:57am
Quoting SnaveForex
{quote} at this point 0407 or sub 0383 floor is now at 0333 ish {image}
tp 0414. 0412 needs to break to confirm more down pressure. For now sideline until news clears the way
  • #204,385
  • Jan 29, 2025 3:41am Jan 29, 2025 3:41am
1.042 area to be observed if provide no support decline to 1.036 area in sight.
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  • #204,386
  • Jan 29, 2025 4:09am Jan 29, 2025 4:09am
Quoting death-wish
{quote} As expected trump made his move. we could revisit 1.04 again till FOMC
price hovering at 1.04 will expect it to stay in this range till FOMC
  • #204,387
  • Jan 29, 2025 4:14am Jan 29, 2025 4:14am
Quoting death-wish
{quote} price hovering at 1.04 will expect it to stay in this range till FOMC
seems to go down like a rock will maybe find little support around 1.0375
  • #204,388
  • Jan 29, 2025 4:21am Jan 29, 2025 4:21am
Quoting Chicago-Greg
{quote} seems to go down like a rock will maybe find little support around 1.0375
no its way oversold, unless there's insider trading there's no reason for it to be sinking this low before fomc data. it will rebound and hover around the 1.04 mark till major news
  • #204,389
  • Jan 29, 2025 4:23am Jan 29, 2025 4:23am
Quoting Happymorning
entire day hugged fibo 61.8 (.0429) and no drop to fibo 78.6 (.0404) on Asia ? sadpanda p.s. many stops @ .0410
fibo is reached (taking into account intraday S61 pivot .0396)
now i wanna see bulls till .0535/.0540
  • #204,390
  • Jan 29, 2025 4:55am Jan 29, 2025 4:55am
Quoting vinesh1
{quote} Actually. looks like there is a glitch in the broker's feed for DXY there is no gap. Just checked a different broker and not seeing the same gap. Please ignore. That said we may see a pullback to 1.38 region.
we may extend to 1.33 or a little lower before a giant move up. We will see.
  • #204,391
  • Jan 29, 2025 4:58am Jan 29, 2025 4:58am
Quoting vinesh1
{quote} we may extend to 1.33 or a little lower before a giant move up. We will see.
Agreed... dips might get stopped around 1.0330... (Don't forget those zeros though... 1.033)

*On a side note: I wouldn't be surprised if FED drops interest rates by 0.25% today in contrary to what forecasters believe.. Time will tell!

Best wishes
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  • #204,392
  • Jan 29, 2025 5:29am Jan 29, 2025 5:29am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Agreed... dips might get stopped around 1.0330... (Don't forget those zeros though... 1.033) *On a side note: I wouldn't be surprised if FED drops interest rates by 0.25% today in contrary to what forecasters believe.. Time will tell! Best wishes {image}
yes, this is I am also anticipating about surprise rate cut to boost the Markets! Dont remember exactly but it happened once in last Trump era.
  • #204,393
  • Jan 29, 2025 5:43am Jan 29, 2025 5:43am
Quoting fxpipper
{quote} Talking about other pairs, even in passing, is a pet peeve of Ata's. Hence the dislike and warning he gave you. Maybe checking out the first post on the first page of the thread would be a prudent idea to avoid unpleasantries.
Everything in the markets is correlated. It is not rational to only talk about the EURUSD parity and analyze it without talking about other currency pairs. What is priced in markets is correlation. If you say you have to act as I say. Turks have a famous saying: "Long live my Sultan"
  • #204,394
  • Jan 29, 2025 5:47am Jan 29, 2025 5:47am
further development on the setup I posted last week. still on the fence tho! want to see how PA forms around these areas 1.0372
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  • #204,395
  • Jan 29, 2025 5:56am Jan 29, 2025 5:56am
I would be beyond surprised if the Fed cut, given everything that's going on, in fact I suspect there would be a hawkish message - something along the lines of, "we want to wait and see what happens, uncertainty, etc".

Given that, I am very surprised e/u is going down, that being said I also didn't really get why it went up in the first place, so
  • #204,396
  • Jan 29, 2025 5:59am Jan 29, 2025 5:59am
Quoting forexci
{quote} and I'm right again, as I predicted, the price is forcing down and down to buy stop losses and liquidity in the 1.0380 - 1.0360 band. If we see long-tailed candles extending down from the 1.0430 level where it is now, this will be the most obvious indicator of an increase. {image}
And I was right again, the price dropped to 1.0380 levels. Unless there is a decisive close below the 1.0354 support, I will consider all movements in the 1.0380 band to be stop loss clearing and liquidity movements before the rise. Let's see (the picture I sent also has eurcad, euraud eurnzd written on it. I hope you don't mind this. lol)
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  • #204,397
  • Jan 29, 2025 7:06am Jan 29, 2025 7:06am
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“Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:
1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)
2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)
They happen regardless of time frame.
They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist.” - H. Rearden


Price Action #advancedalientrading

1) Price will either breakout of the high, low or both of the previous bar
2) Price will not breakout of the previous bar.
3) Price will either close above a level (line) or not.
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My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #204,398
  • Jan 29, 2025 7:23am Jan 29, 2025 7:23am
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My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #204,399
  • Jan 29, 2025 7:47am Jan 29, 2025 7:47am
Do not bet on a horse that has already lost
A little beginner trader since 2006
  • #204,400
  • Jan 29, 2025 7:50am Jan 29, 2025 7:50am
But got a risky position on 1.0384
And I will add every 5 pips untill 1.0370

Sl: 1.0340

Tp open maybe i close them on 1.0416 if it can !

But the upper hands is for bears for now!

So don't bet on charts.
A little beginner trader since 2006
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