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  • #1,241
  • Jan 14, 2025 11:19am Jan 14, 2025 11:19am
Here is my second planned entry at weekly level (blue line).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-01-14_12-16-26.png Size: 33 KB
  • #1,242
  • Jan 14, 2025 11:56am Jan 14, 2025 11:56am
Quoting Fadhl
Here is my second planned entry at weekly level (blue line). {image}
I'm in.
  • #1,243
  • Jan 14, 2025 12:41pm Jan 14, 2025 12:41pm
Quoting Fadhl
Here is my second planned entry at weekly level (blue line). {image}
TP1 hit with 100 points and STP at BE.
  • #1,244
  • Jan 14, 2025 2:11pm Jan 14, 2025 2:11pm
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} TP1 hit with 100 points and STP at BE.
And finally stopped at BE.
  • #1,245
  • Jan 14, 2025 2:37pm Jan 14, 2025 2:37pm
Quoting Fadhl
Good day! As I expect a strong PPI data, I sold a small position with STP at 21000, TP open.
did you manually close!?
I see in the pic you posted in the morning never touched 21000.
  • #1,246
  • Jan 14, 2025 4:10pm Jan 14, 2025 4:10pm
I just closed manually. 2 min before close. was great day. I do have a little sour taste because Nasdaq went up another 200 points after creating a new lower low for the day within 30 min haha an hour before close. could have closed 300+ plus but ended with 150 points secured. that's what matters anyways. always greatful for a win. how was your day fadhl. I haven't chatted with another trader in a while tbh. any advice when it comes to emotion. any tips?
  • #1,247
  • Jan 15, 2025 7:19am Jan 15, 2025 7:19am
  • #1,248
  • Jan 15, 2025 8:26am Jan 15, 2025 8:26am
Quoting Xaletradesx
{quote} did you manually close!? I see in the pic you posted in the morning never touched 21000.
Yes closed manually and market played me.
  • #1,249
  • Jan 15, 2025 8:30am Jan 15, 2025 8:30am
Good day!
Key US inflation came out red; almost an undershoot. This is very good for US equities.
The low of this month is locked and price should move up towards 21867 and even 22133. This movement will have a hand from next week with Trump officially in the office. Earnings season will be the decision-maker for the next move.
My plan is to buy.
  • #1,250
  • Jan 15, 2025 8:46am Jan 15, 2025 8:46am
Here is my planned Buy entry at key level if market gives me the chance to jump in.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-01-15_09-44-47.png Size: 36 KB
  • #1,251
  • Jan 15, 2025 8:58am Jan 15, 2025 8:58am
If you're trading the 5min opening range, price is providing a valid buy opportunity.
  • #1,252
  • Jan 15, 2025 10:24am Jan 15, 2025 10:24am
Quoting Fadhl
Here is my planned Buy entry at key level if market gives me the chance to jump in. {image}
This potential trade is cancelled. Price went up without a meaningful retrace.
  • #1,253
  • Jan 15, 2025 4:32pm Jan 15, 2025 4:32pm
End of day analysis!
Clearly the undershoot inflation data was a very good news for equities and NQ. Price will continue up towards 21867 and may be 22133.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2025-01-15_17-29-23.png Size: 40 KB

The daily close was bullish with a clear breakout. A continuation up is the least resistance.
  • #1,254
  • Jan 16, 2025 8:03am Jan 16, 2025 8:03am
Quoting Fadhl
End of day analysis! Clearly the undershoot inflation data was a very good news for equities and NQ. Price will continue up towards 21867 and may be 22133. {image} The daily close was bullish with a clear breakout. A continuation up is the least resistance.
@fadhl please chime in.

Per the economic news this morning the Unemployment came in higher, in my view this supports rate cuts scenario. But retail sales came lower. I am not sure which news takes precedence here.

Also sharing a descending channel I have been watch on NQ, daily level. Per the "blue circle" market overnight touched the top of the channel. If the unemployment data supports rate cuts narrative, then we should start to see an attempt to break out/above this channel until the presidential inauguration. And a move higher to the ATHs per Fadhl's chart.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nq.png Size: 28 KB
  • #1,255
  • Jan 16, 2025 8:37am Jan 16, 2025 8:37am
Quoting BikB
{quote} @fadhl please chime in. Per the economic news this morning the Unemployment came in higher, in my view this supports rate cuts scenario. But retail sales came lower. I am not sure which news takes precedence here. Also sharing a descending channel I have been watch on NQ, daily level. Per the "blue circle" market overnight touched the top of the channel. If the unemployment data supports rate cuts narrative, then we should start to see an attempt to break out/above this channel until the presidential inauguration. And a move higher to the...
First of all, not all data have the same weight and at all the time. In certain time a specific data becomes very relevant and the same data in other circumstances becomes irrelevant. For instances, few weeks ago, Inflation data was somewhat irrelevant as markets had confidence that inflation was down, but since Trump won the election and started speaking about tariffs and inflation data showed higher measures, markets started paying attention to it as this inflation will become a monster again if Trump really imposes his tariffs. The fact that this week data came undershoot gave a relief to the markets perception and expectations.
Secondly, the rate cut was completely removed from the radar since last FED as the economy is strong in US and Trump noise came into effect. So no need for any data, at least for now, to bring back the rate cut. This is ended. Markets has started to think about the possibility of rate increase late in 2025!!!
So nothing really is sustainable... things move and change depending on the context.
Regarding the equities, Trump is surrounded with Billionaires' who have interest that stocks continue up. So deregulation and free money will be in the agenda which it will boost up the stocks, hence the equities. But this is only a honey moon. So as soon as it ends, a crash will happen. When? No idea how long this honey moon will last.

Hope it helps.
  • #1,256
  • Jan 16, 2025 8:43am Jan 16, 2025 8:43am
Good day!
I won't be able to post today as I'm out of my office and can't really follow the market. See you tomorrow!
  • #1,257
  • Jan 17, 2025 7:20am Jan 17, 2025 7:20am
Good day!
Today's plan
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Will update with NY opening session.
  • #1,258
  • Jan 17, 2025 8:45am Jan 17, 2025 8:45am
Quoting Fadhl
Good day! Today's plan {image} Will update with NY opening session.
Price has behaved as expected.
The opening range is bearish which also expected.
I'm looking for a buy signal.
Price reached the yellow box which is the value area to go long.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,259
  • Jan 17, 2025 9:06am Jan 17, 2025 9:06am
I bought this. Price was at VA and reaction was positive.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,260
  • Jan 17, 2025 12:43pm Jan 17, 2025 12:43pm
Quoting Fadhl
I bought this. Price was at VA and reaction was positive. {image}
I banked some 100 points, moved STP to BE and left the remaining to last target.
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