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  • #7,961
  • Oct 4, 2024 6:38am Oct 4, 2024 6:38am
Quoting ahmerjamil
{quote}
254k means eurusd will continue falling till 1.09 next week
  • #7,962
  • Oct 4, 2024 7:13am Oct 4, 2024 7:13am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} 254k means eurusd will continue falling till 1.09 next week
254k also means the next rate cut cannot exceed 25bps
  • #7,963
  • Oct 4, 2024 7:17am Oct 4, 2024 7:17am
1.0943!

4 hours
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  • #7,964
  • Oct 4, 2024 8:35am Oct 4, 2024 8:35am
EUR/USD broke below the 1.1002 daily support after better-than-expected US NFP data, reaching a low of 1.0959 before retracing to 1.0981, which acted as previous support and now resistance. This level held, leading to another leg down toward 1.0943, with potential to reach the 100-day moving average at 1.0928. As the weekend approaches and the trading week nears its end, EUR/USD will continue to trade until the close, but I’ll be wrapping up here. It’s been a fantastic week, mostly filled with success! Wishing you more winning trades and plenty of green pips ahead. Have a great weekend!

Daily
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  • #7,965
  • Oct 4, 2024 9:32am Oct 4, 2024 9:32am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote}{image}
Happy weekend all bears (beers )
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  • #7,966
  • Oct 4, 2024 11:06am Oct 4, 2024 11:06am
Quoting ahmerjamil
Based on daily, I am marking 1.0938 & (1.0920, 16) as daily supports!
Thinking about Ahmer stop Hunter market sentiment theory.
Enjoy the weekend.
  • #7,967
  • Oct 5, 2024 12:46am Oct 5, 2024 12:46am
EUR/USD dropped to 1.0951 after expectations for a 0.50% rate cut by the Fed were reduced to 0.25%. This shift came as Non-Farm Payrolls rose more than forecast at 254k, with unemployment dropping and hourly earnings growing faster than expected.

The pair remains bearish, with the next targets at 1.0940 and the 1.0862/80 zone. A deeper drop to 1.0777 is possible but may take over a week to materialize. If the pair retraces upwards, 1.1000/1.1020 could be tested, but downside pressure toward 1.0940 or the 1.0905 monthly support level is more likely.

If a move above 1.1000 extends beyond 1.1020 (monthly resistance), the next target would be around 1.1045–50 (daily moving average). Enjoy the rest of your weekend!

Weekly volatility (range) 113 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0955 (EU1.93b), 1.1265 (EU1.05b), 1.1100 (EU1.01bb) Source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US Trade Balance, FOMC Minutes, US Initial Jobless Claims, US CPI, US PPI & University Michigan Sentiment Prelim.

Daily
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  • #7,968
  • Edited 7:52pm Oct 6, 2024 8:23am | Edited 7:52pm
RELATIVE ANALYSIS
Hoping you had a great rest and weekend.

This is my analysis:

Based on my strategy, with the help of the H1 and Journal graph. We have witnessed the break of last month's low at 1.10020, leaving a large FVG after some important news. Which makes me think that they will seek to fill said FVG to continue with a descent to the last OB in break that I marked in H1 (1.09266 - 1.09136), and then rise again to 1.11221 or perhaps more.

In conclusion:

The level 1.10020 - 1.10152 seems like a perfect selling zone to me. On the other hand, the level 1.09266 - 1.09136 seems like a perfect buying zone to me.

(PLEASE NOTE THE OVERSOLD LEVELS ON H1 AND THE DIVERGENCE)
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_______________________
See where the market is moving and follow it.
  • #7,969
  • Oct 6, 2024 8:26am Oct 6, 2024 8:26am
Quoting AmDrafax
RELATIVE ANALYSIS Hoping you had a great rest and weekend. This is my analysis: Based on my strategy, with the help of the H1 and Journal graph. We have witnessed the break of last month's low at 1.10020, leaving a large FVG after some important news. Which makes me think that they will seek to fill said FVG to continue with a descent to the last OB in break that I marked in H1 (1.09266 - 1.09136), and then rise again to 1.11221 or perhaps more. In conclusion: The level 1.10020 - 1.10152 seems like a perfect selling zone to me. On the...
On the other hand, this is the scenario I would like to see in all of this

Good luck everyone, best wishes
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  • #7,970
  • Oct 6, 2024 8:21pm Oct 6, 2024 8:21pm
Hey traders, Good morning, Hope you all are well!

Based on H1, I am marking 1.1001, 03, 07, 1.1026, 36 as resistance!

Good luck!
Stop Procrastinating
  • #7,971
  • Oct 6, 2024 8:23pm Oct 6, 2024 8:23pm
Quoting ahmerjamil
Based on H1, I am marking 1.1001, 03, 07, 1.1026, 36 as resistance!
Look at retailers, Tooooo much buyers!
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Stop Procrastinating
  • #7,972
  • Oct 6, 2024 8:25pm Oct 6, 2024 8:25pm
EUR/USD is ranging between 1.0981 - 1.0951 looking down for the 1.0940 support. If the last breaks then we should see a fall to 1.0905 - 1.0900 levels. 1.0981 resistance should hold or a more corrective wave to 1.1000/08 or 1.1020 may come. Have a great week ahead!

Daily volatility (range) 52 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0955 (EU1.93b), 1.1265 (EU1.05b), 1.1100 (EU1.01bb) Source: financialjuice.com
1 hour
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  • #7,973
  • Oct 6, 2024 8:28pm Oct 6, 2024 8:28pm
Quoting ahmerjamil
Based on H1, I am marking 1.1001, 03, 07, 1.1026, 36 as resistance!
Quoting ahmerjamil
Based on daily, I am marking 1.0936 & (1.0920, 16) as daily supports!
& Supports are same, 1.0951, 1.0936 & (1.0920, 1.0916)
Stop Procrastinating
  • #7,974
  • Oct 6, 2024 8:30pm Oct 6, 2024 8:30pm
Quoting ahmerjamil
{quote} {quote} & Supports are same, 1.0951, 1.0936 & (1.0920, 1.0916)
A fight between buyers and sellers have a green week ahead!
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  • #7,975
  • Oct 6, 2024 8:32pm Oct 6, 2024 8:32pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} A fight between buyers and sellers {image}
Absolutely sir, & Today is monday, So let see who's win!
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Have a green week ahead! {image}
Same too you sir james!
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Stop Procrastinating
  • #7,976
  • Oct 6, 2024 9:15pm Oct 6, 2024 9:15pm
starting the week with such a heavy trade
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  • #7,977
  • Oct 6, 2024 11:53pm Oct 6, 2024 11:53pm
expecting some correction for sellers to regroup
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #7,978
  • Oct 7, 2024 12:00am Oct 7, 2024 12:00am
Quoting johncen
expecting some correction for sellers to regroup {image}
255+ pips drop last week, sure it needs a correction! We might see 1.0777 if it drops below 1.0900 and stabilize there. ECB rate cut is coming!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #7,979
  • Oct 7, 2024 12:07am Oct 7, 2024 12:07am
Today's calendar is empty, Range trading is possible, But we have to see what the London session does!
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Stop Procrastinating
  • #7,980
  • Oct 7, 2024 12:12am Oct 7, 2024 12:12am
Ahmer
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