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EURUSD only

  • #195,781
  • Apr 29, 2024 2:34am Apr 29, 2024 2:34am
EU can reach R1 today but not big pips yet.

15 min
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #195,782
  • Apr 29, 2024 3:34am Apr 29, 2024 3:34am
Looking For Sell
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  • #195,783
  • Apr 29, 2024 3:45am Apr 29, 2024 3:45am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
EU can reach R1 today but not big pips yet. 15 min {image}
Still not above the trendline but the pivot is in, so it may stabilise and go up later.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #195,784
  • Apr 29, 2024 3:45am Apr 29, 2024 3:45am
My Daily Pivots & Range . . . . (run-up to German CPI numbers)
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  • #195,785
  • Apr 29, 2024 3:50am Apr 29, 2024 3:50am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Still not above the trendline but the pivot is in, so it may stabilise and go up later.
Update

15 min
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #195,786
  • Apr 29, 2024 3:50am Apr 29, 2024 3:50am
Selling is the goal, but I trade mixed until bulls have exhausted trying to break above ~1.0744 area... No rush dear bears!

*Also remember: End of month could cause shakeouts, which both sides can benefit from!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #195,787
  • Apr 29, 2024 4:02am Apr 29, 2024 4:02am
short-term scenario:
tp .0665 (fe 100.0) ... end of w 1
.0708/.0718 retraction
2nd tp - +/- .0580
  • #195,788
  • Apr 29, 2024 4:11am Apr 29, 2024 4:11am
Just as an FYI... for anyone talking about "parity and rate divergence"... I know the markets are certainly full of it.

back in '22 we had an entire year that in its peak reached a divergence of 200bps FED over ECB.
Today we are talking about 25-50bps at a maximum of 1 or 2 meetings (effectively 2-3months max).
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Put that in perspective
Don't follow my trades. Challenge my Analysis!
  • #195,789
  • Apr 29, 2024 4:13am Apr 29, 2024 4:13am
Quoting Brainafk
Just as an FYI... for anyone talking about "parity and rate divergence"... I know the markets are certainly full of it. back in '22 we had an entire year that in its peak reached a divergence of 200bps FED over ECB. Today we are talking about 25-50bps at a maximum of 1 or 2 meetings (effectively 2-3months max). {image} Put that in perspective
Thank you for sharing this. Have you done the same with inflation, economic growth? I think looking at divergence in these areas gives a clearer picture of where fundamentals are headed
  • #195,790
  • Apr 29, 2024 4:17am Apr 29, 2024 4:17am
Quoting Rundatbag
{quote} Thank you for sharing this. Have you done the same with inflation, economic growth? I think looking at divergence in these areas gives a clearer picture of where fundamentals are headed
I have not. Inflation to me is an input data point for monetary policy, hence the "result" would materialize via rate and that is considered.
Economic growth certainly a stand alone input data... my personal hypothesis is europe being hit harder and faster and showing first signs of a stable case/recovery whereas the US is only now getting bitten as the savings and loans are exhausted (weakening consumers).

But to your point... this is my personal oppinion i havent done any detailed research other than following the overall news and a few data points on US credit.
EDIT: also, im not trying to forecast rates, I merely trying to argue the point that even if a minor rate divergence would occur (which I do believe is likely) the impact shouldnt be A) as long as back in '22) B) as hard as back in '22.
Don't follow my trades. Challenge my Analysis!
  • #195,791
  • Apr 29, 2024 4:33am Apr 29, 2024 4:33am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} TS 8 pips. Market is volatile at the moment and hard for me to read. Edit: Re-entered 1.0720
TS 16 pips

Entered long.
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #195,792
  • Apr 29, 2024 4:43am Apr 29, 2024 4:43am
Quoting NiyazNike
{quote} One can take SL to BE to be on safer side though it has to go down - Enjoy Green Pips {image}
31 pips in and trade closed- Bingo hope some of you have got profit and closed as well
  • #195,793
  • Apr 29, 2024 5:04am Apr 29, 2024 5:04am
I am short now!
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #195,794
  • Apr 29, 2024 5:06am Apr 29, 2024 5:06am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} TS 16 pips Entered long. {image}
TS 8 pips

Back to short.
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #195,795
  • Apr 29, 2024 5:19am Apr 29, 2024 5:19am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
I am short now! {image}
Let's take it down to 1.0660.
  • #195,796
  • Apr 29, 2024 5:33am Apr 29, 2024 5:33am
IMO, bottom is already in.
  • #195,797
  • Apr 29, 2024 5:55am Apr 29, 2024 5:55am
Quoting Traderview
IMO, bottom is already in.
That's what she said.
  • #195,798
  • Apr 29, 2024 6:21am Apr 29, 2024 6:21am
EURUSD again entered. Hope this works
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  • #195,799
  • Apr 29, 2024 6:22am Apr 29, 2024 6:22am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} TS 8 pips Back to short. {image}
SL -8 pips.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #195,800
  • Apr 29, 2024 6:34am Apr 29, 2024 6:34am
No news until tomorrow... market is therefore thin... beware of choppiness but trust in bears!
Focus only on what truly matters!
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