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  • #194,441
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:07am Apr 10, 2024 8:07am
Maybe I didn't make it, apparently it doesn't make much of a difference in the effect (Relative to the size of the candles)
  • #194,442
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:08am Apr 10, 2024 8:08am
Quoting fx6996
{quote} I'm sorry to tell you this but that candle is black - glasses maybe? Congratulations on those GREEN pips
Well!! Thanks buddy
  • #194,443
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:08am Apr 10, 2024 8:08am
Quoting D7S
{quote} With the data coming in this hot, one could almost argue that the Feds may hike the rate a bit... almost - lol
So far no hikes priced in! Otherwise the EUR would be down another big figure

I went short at 1.0860
  • #194,444
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:10am Apr 10, 2024 8:10am
Quoting myths
{quote} Apparently, this time the intensity of the CPI impact was stronger than the previous CPIs, as far as the NFP impact, do you know the reason?
it's bankers feeding on poor longs nothing to do with cpi number. It's just added bonus
  • #194,445
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:12am Apr 10, 2024 8:12am
Quoting pedro319
{quote} Right shoulder is a goner, we don't need to do anything, the head will be challenged at some point. The marvel of classic technical analysis or for some... THEORIES {image}
I dont think that RS is goner now, unless it close below 1.0737
  • #194,446
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:12am Apr 10, 2024 8:12am
Quoting myths
{quote} Apparently, this time the intensity of the CPI impact was stronger than the previous CPIs, as far as the NFP impact, do you know the reason?
My take is that this represents a huge repricing on the expectation of rate hikes, there have been one too many hot CPI prints. One or two? The market can brush that off, but the sticky inflation problem has now had multiple data points and months to confirm that disinflation has now halted. Markets have thrown in the towel on a June / July , or even a September rate cut. Thats what would explain the bigger than usual drop (and probably bigger to come) as the interest rate differential seems to be headed to a wider place than it is now. Eurozone inflation figures have been largely headed in the right direction with some continued dis-inflation. Even the swiss national bank has begun cutting rates. Based on this I see broad USD strength to continue and EURUSD to continue its decline.
  • #194,447
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:13am Apr 10, 2024 8:13am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} I´m holding till my TP at 1.0680 on this swing for the reasons I mentioned in my previous three posts.
I´m still holding till my target at 1.0680.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #194,448
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:16am Apr 10, 2024 8:16am
Also valid: Never catch a falling wife!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #194,449
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:16am Apr 10, 2024 8:16am
Quoting Griffinx
{quote} I dont think that RS is goner now, unless it close below 1.0737
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 13 KB

Target for this move 1.07
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #194,450
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:16am Apr 10, 2024 8:16am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Also valid: Never catch a falling wife!
Lol.
  • #194,451
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:16am Apr 10, 2024 8:16am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Wow... so many members watching... I feel touched.. The power of "family" and "good vibes".. Thanks to all who contribute {image}
You are touching lives
  • #194,452
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:17am Apr 10, 2024 8:17am
Quoting vankola
{quote} Yep, I've had enough of Grandma's pension. Shorted the living hell out of it
Closed all now!!! Watch out sellers.

Self validation moments now:
Greed is the killer of your capital.
  • #194,453
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:18am Apr 10, 2024 8:18am
Maybe a pause at: 1.0762-ish
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #194,454
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:18am Apr 10, 2024 8:18am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I suggest to stay bearish.. ONLY if H1 candles close above ~1.0837 I could agree with you.. Until then only selling! Best wishes
noted ... but i want to see .0925
  • #194,455
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:19am Apr 10, 2024 8:19am
Congrats to all of the winner traders on today's print!
I got stopped out as there was no fading that flush so just +$200
I do trade the futures markets and had some nice moves there so yeah all good (won't get into discussing that here)
I'll let you know when I get involved in another trade with this pair but for now I'm flat
  • #194,456
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:20am Apr 10, 2024 8:20am
Quoting Happymorning
{quote} noted ... but i want to see .0925
Can you time travel to March 21? There you can see it

Oh wait a second... or were you mentioning sub-parity???? Whatta...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #194,457
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:20am Apr 10, 2024 8:20am
Quoting TheGreyhound
According to the CME fed watch tool, the market inferred probability of a June 2024 rate cut has dropped from a 56% probability to 22.9%. Furthermore, the probability of a July rate cut has dropped to 38.5%. September remains a even distribution as markets now completely write off a June or July cut and a big maybe for September. This CPI print was a confirmation that the "rate cuts are coming" narrative is over and the Fed has been caught behind the curve once again. https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/int...atch-tool.html...
there is a US election this year

The FED has NEVER moved rates after July in an election year!
  • #194,458
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:22am Apr 10, 2024 8:22am
So itchy to buy a retrace. But won't will just get all my fingers cut.
  • #194,459
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:26am Apr 10, 2024 8:26am
Quoting Polimini
i won't make big decisions based on this, and i'm probably wrong. Still this is what i think is the future for this pair, and what would make sense. {image}

first target done, let's see if it makes it to the 2nd one
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Untitled.png Size: 11 KB
  • #194,460
  • Apr 10, 2024 8:29am Apr 10, 2024 8:29am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Can you time travel to March 21? There you can see it Oh wait a second... or were you mentioning sub-parity???? Whatta...
that was pure TA with starting wave 5
i do not see bearish start today, but kind of very long c (261.8)
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