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  • #193,781
  • Apr 4, 2024 2:55pm Apr 4, 2024 2:55pm
I never tire of thanking you: God bless the FED hawks
Let us be green
  • #193,782
  • Apr 4, 2024 2:56pm Apr 4, 2024 2:56pm
Quoting mtako
Finally reached my
Quoting mtako
Buy stop 07683 sl2 Just in case bears lose the ball high enough : It is time to prepare for my 2nd main station of the Quarter:{quote}Buy stop 0774 0794 0814 0834 0854, dynamic SLs <07 and TPs>09. All SLs will definitely be at Break-Even at 0900. That means that I need a sustained 12H breakout, example:2023.12.14. Buy stop 07683 sl2
SO
Quoting mtako
...No more <0830 allowed, or bulls will pay the back-from-highs-into-midHighs-selling-time price, and will be force to pay the bears their fair due, back to the lows, paid in full with boiling honey But......
Last Bull standing for today !

Facing the most beautiful bear of all

Good luck Mr.Bear
Good luck Mr.Bull!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: paenbe.jpg Size: 183 KB
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #193,783
  • Apr 4, 2024 2:58pm Apr 4, 2024 2:58pm
Quoting pedro319
{quote} Monetary policy and interest rates are the background for all trading. Assuming the are no major (game changer) news, things should stay as they are, and then the technicals have their place. (In my case, harmonics) NFP can at times be a bit of a game changer, that is where the risk comes in, then you are left with probabilities and your own money management and judgement. I hope it helps.

That's why I didn't understand the market reaction in first place. I was too fast then.

btw: Fed’s Kashkari floats possibility of no rate cuts this year

So if ECB really cut rates, this paper is going down the river, but I assume they won't until FED makes the first step.
  • #193,784
  • Apr 4, 2024 2:58pm Apr 4, 2024 2:58pm
Quoting mtako
{quote}{quote}SO{quote} Last Bull standing for today ! Facing the most beautiful bear of all Good luck Mr.Bear Good luck Mr.Bull! {image}
I don't know how you are going to pull this one off but I know you are very capable.
You could get bounce 61.8 as per Fx bible but there is a rendez vous with 1.08. Both could happen but the odds are with the latter.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #193,785
  • Apr 4, 2024 2:59pm Apr 4, 2024 2:59pm
last 30 days:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 15 KB
Let us be green
  • #193,786
  • Apr 4, 2024 2:59pm Apr 4, 2024 2:59pm
Quoting pedro319
{quote} Monetary policy and interest rates are the background for all trading. Assuming the are no major (game changer) news, things should stay as they are, and then the technicals have their place. (In my case, harmonics) NFP can at times be a bit of a game changer, that is where the risk comes in, then you are left with probabilities and your own money management and judgement. I hope it helps.
Thanks a lot. I see bigger chances to a stronger NFP (quantified to 75-80%) and I believe in your experience. The risk are the 20-25% lower NFP and the ideea that not every harmonic pattern will be finished. And if it not finished it means that is not a harmonic pattern. But is just my beginner logic. I learn to use still only for potential reversal not for self determination.
  • #193,787
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:02pm Apr 4, 2024 3:02pm
This is amazing!! Just wondering when its going to stop!!
  • #193,788
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:02pm Apr 4, 2024 3:02pm
Quoting Mihisti
{quote} Thanks a lot. I see bigger chances to a stronger NFP (quantified to 75-80%) and I believe in your experience. The risk are the 20-25% lower NFP and the ideea that not every harmonic pattern will be finished. And if it not finished it means that is not a harmonic pattern. But is just my beginner logic. I learn to use still only for potential reversal not for self determination.
I have other stuff on W1 chart to corroborate my theory and inclination.
Don't forget to take some at 1.08 anyway.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #193,789
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:03pm Apr 4, 2024 3:03pm
Quoting vinesh1
{quote} what news?
26 min USD Fed's Balance Sheet
  • #193,790
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:05pm Apr 4, 2024 3:05pm
want to add at .0782 to tp .0925
  • #193,791
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:05pm Apr 4, 2024 3:05pm
Quoting pedro319
{quote} I don't know how you are going to pull this one off but I know you are very capable. You could get bounce 61.8 as per Fx bible but there is a rendez vous with 1.08. Both could happen but the odds are with the latter.
Thank you, following my rules like you, I'll try to not disappoint !

Buy stop 08343 08355 0837 0845
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #193,792
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:07pm Apr 4, 2024 3:07pm
EU Painted a nice Shooting Star candle on the Daily.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #193,793
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:09pm Apr 4, 2024 3:09pm
Quoting pedro319
{quote} We are not supposed to discuss those things here, they get anal about it. The answer is: it depends on few things of technical nature, both are very common, the AB=CD is the most basic harmonic pattern. Good luck for tomorrow.
No one gets anal about system talk...

We have a few simple rules and they are very clear! It is all for the sake of focusing on EURUSD. Please visit Page 1 or if these things still don't fit to your liking you can always switch to the EURUSD thread where everything is 100% free.. no rules at all! Or again: you can open your own thread and make your own rules.

Best wishes!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #193,794
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:14pm Apr 4, 2024 3:14pm
Bulls,
last men standing,
listen to my Tacos carefully
You must not let the following happen again !:
Quoting mtako
...The 21st of March is just one of many such moments where Bears have stopped bulls in their track at this level,...
Quoting mtako
... Last time Mr.Price made such an upmove was on the 21st of March, a 100pips drop ensued(from the low of the time). I don't underestimate the potential for price to go down from around here. Pedro and others are trying to capitalize on this potential, and for many good reasons. Let's continue...
Buy stop 08386 08403 08419 08435 08441 0850
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gsgdrhgbu.jpg Size: 125 KB
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #193,795
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:15pm Apr 4, 2024 3:15pm
Never deen so much movement on a Thu afternoon. Lol. What do i know.
  • #193,796
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:15pm Apr 4, 2024 3:15pm
Aggressive bears stopped attacking at 23:00
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 80 KB
  • #193,797
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:16pm Apr 4, 2024 3:16pm
Quoting Alorente
EU Painted a nice Shooting Star candle on the Daily.
If it closes like this, it's also a stop grabber. (it did grab my stops)
D1 Macd tried to turn green but got rejected, indicating taking out of the lows at 1.0725.
Of course the NFP can overrule that very quickly but it's more evidence for the bear case.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #193,798
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:17pm Apr 4, 2024 3:17pm
I'm out! looks like things are pretty much done for tonight? What a great run, almost made up for my amateur hour yesterday . Im fairly sure its still going to 1.08 but its late here and wanted to bank some profits for a change. Thank you to all the experts here for your calm advice its always appreciated. Bonne nuit!
  • #193,799
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:18pm Apr 4, 2024 3:18pm
Quoting vinesh1
Never deen so much movement on a Thu afternoon. Lol. What do i know.
I know! Im just so happy I was staring at the screen when things took off for once it was perfect timing!
  • #193,800
  • Apr 4, 2024 3:19pm Apr 4, 2024 3:19pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} No one gets anal about system talk... We have a few simple rules and they are very clear! It is all for the sake of focusing on EURUSD. Please visit Page 1 or if these things still don't fit to your liking you can always switch to the EURUSD thread where everything is 100% free.. no rules at all! Or again: you can open your own thread and make your own rules. Best wishes!
Sorry. It was my fault for asking. At my age, one gets forgetful at times...
Observation is the path to discovery.
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