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  • #192,001
  • Mar 15, 2024 10:04am Mar 15, 2024 10:04am
Bulls and bears of the last 15 days have prepared the good battle of the second half of the last month of the quarter.

LTake care everyone ! As for me, another well deserved 4H nap is due

Big cheers ! And have the best of weekends !!!
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #192,002
  • Mar 15, 2024 10:11am Mar 15, 2024 10:11am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
To keep things as simple as it gets: This is my main D1 level that gives me confidence when selling! I think it will stop bulls and as long as it does, I stay bearish! {image}
are we still this price target of 90+. Price looks like stuck and exhausted. No real guts to push up. Hate it when bankers take early weekend :-(
  • #192,003
  • Mar 15, 2024 10:13am Mar 15, 2024 10:13am
I'm loving the way the fx cartel are messing around until there are enough short stops above 1.09 to devour.
It's only a matter of time before all stops up to 1.0930 are gobbled up.
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It's a big game.
  • #192,004
  • Mar 15, 2024 10:20am Mar 15, 2024 10:20am
Its clear that after all the red news bulls are having a break. The other scenario is that they afraid because of a hawkish fed next week, but I believe that there are bulls that will risk anyway, so its the Friday ahead of the weekend effect, I conclude.
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #192,005
  • Mar 15, 2024 10:25am Mar 15, 2024 10:25am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} System wise, 75% scalpers between 3 to 12 pips and 25% of mildly longer term trades between 20 to 40 pips roughly... Today was a lazy day for sure but I got what I needed Best wishes
Thatīs the way to go. It is much easier to win 10 trades of 7 pips than 1 trade of 70 pips.
The key is to always trade in the direction of strength. For some reason it takes years to learn that simple fact. Everything becomes so much easier once you get that through your head. It pains me to see so many people trading against strength. It reminds me so much of all those losing years we all had.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #192,006
  • Edited 9:07pm Mar 15, 2024 10:32am | Edited 9:07pm
Scalping up and down for 2-5 pips for 6 hours is so tiring, if the next 60 minutes dont break out? - what ever the side? I am going to call it a weekend
this many scalps in 6 hrs
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #192,007
  • Mar 15, 2024 10:43am Mar 15, 2024 10:43am
This is how weekly stands for the past month o so
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #192,008
  • Mar 15, 2024 10:44am Mar 15, 2024 10:44am
Quoting Avir
This is how weekly stands for the past month o so {image}
Exactly, and price is looking at the monthly pivot at 1.0800 again.

Here I shared this weekly chart at the weekend, but price is inside the range still.

https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...4#post14788124
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #192,009
  • Mar 15, 2024 10:58am Mar 15, 2024 10:58am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} Thatīs the way to go. It is much easier to win 10 trades of 7 pips than 1 trade of 70 pips. The key is to always trade in the direction of strength. For some reason it takes years to learn that simple fact. Everything becomes so much easier once you get that through your head. It pains me to see so many people trading against strength. It reminds me so much of all those losing years we all had.
How do you define strength?
  • #192,010
  • Mar 15, 2024 11:04am Mar 15, 2024 11:04am
This is where we going to be stuck for the rest of the evening - Between DEmark Pivot & Prior Close
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2024-03-15_16-02-47.png Size: 44 KB
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #192,011
  • Mar 15, 2024 11:32am Mar 15, 2024 11:32am
Apparently the bulls won't wake up today.
I closed the operation. See you Monday gentlemen. Maybe I'll show up on Sunday posting my weekend studies.
They are selling hats with horns. Where are the bulls this Friday?
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  • #192,012
  • Edited 12:31pm Mar 15, 2024 11:47am | Edited 12:31pm
Quoting noox
{quote} How do you define strength?
Good question... There are many ways but I will make it extremely simple for you.
Here is an indicator I prepared which I always use. Put it on a H4 EURUSD chart. Set the MA inputs as follows:
MA 1= Method 1, Period 20, PRICE 0 MA 2= Method 3, Period 49, Price 0
Look at the chart attached. When the ribbon is Green open only Buys. When Red, open only sells. Trade away from the ribbon. Allow price to return to the ribbon and trade away from it. Think of it as a rubber band.
Of course, there are other filters you can use and many other ways to help you, but even using only this concept and proper money management will make you money if you follow the rules.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD,H4.png Size: 164 KB
Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 MA ribbon filled.ex4   10 KB | 286 downloads
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #192,013
  • Mar 15, 2024 11:49am Mar 15, 2024 11:49am
so much indecision, lets hope for a better week. I'm bullish for Monday. Have a nice weekend everybody
  • #192,014
  • Mar 15, 2024 12:00pm Mar 15, 2024 12:00pm
Despite the positive US CPI release this week, EURUSD failed to gain significant traction and instead retreated after the US PPI report. This price action led to the formation of a consolidation pattern, which could indicate a period of indecision or reduced volatility in the market.

With the FOMC meeting looming next week, traders may be hesitant to take strong directional bets, leading to this range-bound trading environment. It's important to keep a close eye on key support and resistance levels within this consolidation pattern, as a breakout in either direction could signal the next directional move.

Weekly chart - price is closing below 1.0920 yearly pivot!
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Have a great weekend!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #192,015
  • Mar 15, 2024 12:06pm Mar 15, 2024 12:06pm
Quoting Alorente
{quote} Iīm with you Ata. Sell order opened at 1.08997. I may hold it for a few days with the positive swap.
I decided to close the EU trade at 1.0882 for 18 pips. Will reenter on Monday.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #192,016
  • Mar 15, 2024 12:06pm Mar 15, 2024 12:06pm
Quoting Alorente
{quote} Good question... There are many ways but I will make it extremely simple for you. Here is an indicator I prepared which I always use. Put it on a H4 EURUSD chart. Set the MA inputs as follows: MA 1= Method 1, Period 20, PRICE 0 MA 2= Method 3, Period 49, Price 0 Look at the chart attached. When the ribbon is Green open only Buys. When Red, open only sells. Trade away from the ribbon. Allow price to return to the ribbon and trade away from it. Think of it as a rubber band. Of course, there are other filters you can use and many other ways...
The problem of course, like with all MAs is that when price is at the MA, it's basically a coin-flip which way it'll go. So this method will result in a lot of fails too. I prefer methods with better defined odds, but thank you.

Could you share that indicator on the right that shows the daily candle?
  • #192,017
  • Mar 15, 2024 12:16pm Mar 15, 2024 12:16pm
Quoting noox
{quote} The problem of course, like with all MAs is that when price is at the MA, it's basically a coin-flip which way it'll go. So this method will result in a lot of fails too. I prefer methods with better defined odds, but thank you. Could you share that indicator on the right that shows the daily candle?
You donīt have to trade with it. Just use it visually to trade in the direction of strength. When Red only Sells. Green only Buys. As you can see, right now it is Red, so I only enter Sells. It helps you stay out of trouble.

Attached is the indi you requested.
Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 MTFCandle.ex4   34 KB | 299 downloads
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #192,018
  • Mar 15, 2024 12:33pm Mar 15, 2024 12:33pm
Quoting Alorente
{quote} You donīt have to trade with it. Just use it visually to trade in the direction of strength. When Red only Sells. Green only Buys. As you can see, right now it is Red, so I only enter Sells. It helps you stay out of trouble. Attached is the indi you requested. {file}
If you look back two weeks ago, it's changing colors fast. So in times of major accumulation this system, like most others are unreliable. Every MA based system works great during distribution though. This could be benefitial when scalping on lower timeframes. And, as always, the key to profitability is money management.

Thanks for the indie, I've been looking for that for ages.
  • #192,019
  • Mar 15, 2024 12:57pm Mar 15, 2024 12:57pm
Hi All,

This is my EURUSD 15 Mar 2024 W11 – Intraday Analysis – US Industrial Production (Ramadan Late Analysis)

Always highly appreciate your feedback.

Amr Sadek
www.amrsadek.net
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My Journey https://amrsadek.net
  • #192,020
  • Mar 15, 2024 2:34pm Mar 15, 2024 2:34pm
Dreams for monday...
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