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  • #114,381
  • Jan 11, 2024 10:54am Jan 11, 2024 10:54am
rates up some
https://qz.com/average-long-term-mor...g-t-1851159537
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,382
  • Jan 11, 2024 10:56am Jan 11, 2024 10:56am
Quoting gatorinla
rates up some https://qz.com/average-long-term-mor...g-t-1851159537
They are coming down a little over here.

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/04/uk-m...or-relief.html
  • #114,383
  • Jan 11, 2024 11:01am Jan 11, 2024 11:01am
Quoting supertubes
{quote} They are coming down a little over here. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/04/uk-m...or-relief.html
The same here, but up the past few weeks.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,384
  • Jan 11, 2024 11:48am Jan 11, 2024 11:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The horse may be out the barn on the 4h. On a week candle it can be a b/o also. On a week or day candle, it could retrace to 2030, and still have a breakout candle. Tomorrow's news anticipation may allow some retrace before. {image}
I dont have a horse in the race. 2030/31 area to me. Could have some R. The anticipation was it may retrace before the news Friday. But do your own analysis. Gold
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,385
  • Jan 11, 2024 11:50am Jan 11, 2024 11:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont have a horse in the race. 2030/31 area to me. Could have some R. The anticipation was it may retrace before the news Friday. But do your own analysis. Gold {image}
Ditto on the CAD 3389 area. It may provide some support.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,386
  • Jan 11, 2024 1:56pm Jan 11, 2024 1:56pm
Quoting supertubes
Irans Navy Have siezed an oil tanker... just on the news now
Interesting background story
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/11/ship...an-waters.html
You have an IQ lower than 90 if you interact with this user.
  • #114,387
  • Edited 3:32pm Jan 11, 2024 2:09pm | Edited 3:32pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} Interesting background story https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/11/ship...an-waters.html
yes an interesting read that
  • #114,388
  • Jan 11, 2024 4:06pm Jan 11, 2024 4:06pm
looks like freezing degrees might hit U.S south next week, could be good for energy prices
You have an IQ lower than 90 if you interact with this user.
  • #114,389
  • Jan 11, 2024 5:34pm Jan 11, 2024 5:34pm
Quoting Ferna
looks like freezing degrees might hit U.S south next week, could be good for energy prices
It will not be a problem for me. The Dallas area has 72 hours of sub freezing. They have had blackouts a few years back. I'm in South La. I should be ok.. We all will be in bad shape if it was an ice storm. If its an ice storm trees and utility lines will put many in the dark with no heat. No electric menas no sewer in some places. A few years back the N gas valves froze. Texas suscked not having freeze protection of their instructure
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,390
  • Jan 11, 2024 5:43pm Jan 11, 2024 5:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont have a horse in the race. 2030/31 area to me. Could have some R. The anticipation was it may retrace before the news Friday. But do your own analysis. Gold {image}
gold R becomes S. But if Friday should close below 2030 can be bearish.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,391
  • Jan 11, 2024 5:49pm Jan 11, 2024 5:49pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Ditto on the CAD 3389 area. It may provide some support. {image}
The same with the case Cad 3389 reverse of gold. The cluster of 200 ema is North of price. So it leans bearish. The eu has those 200s South, so it leans bullish in this way.
I have another reason -1041 for the bear outlook. One of these reason is wrong.

Now just waiting on news. Tech wise the year closed below 1041. I think it was a miss for bulls
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,392
  • Jan 11, 2024 6:00pm Jan 11, 2024 6:00pm
Quoting Ferna
looks like freezing degrees might hit U.S south next week, could be good for energy prices
These cold snaps may hurt the inflation drop some. It may be enough to dim cuts enough to get past those 200s. Plus employment and wage gains may be good for the usd. A slight increase in consumer outlook can help the usd. PPI tomorrow..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,393
  • Jan 11, 2024 11:14pm Jan 11, 2024 11:14pm
What's going on in the red sea is inflationary. Shipping insurance has to increase. Oil, etc. is shipped. A few ticks favors of increase cost. Could help inflation. Anything helping inflation adds to less rate cuts, or pushes them further in the future. https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/11/polit...men/index.html
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,394
  • Jan 11, 2024 11:17pm Jan 11, 2024 11:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
What's going on in the red sea is inflationary. Shipping insurance has to increase. Oil, etc. is shipped. A few ticks favors of increase cost. Could help inflation. Anything helping inflation adds to less rate cuts, or pushes them further in the future. https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/11/polit...men/index.html
just reading the BBC reports now. It seems like it will escalate
  • #114,395
  • Jan 11, 2024 11:29pm Jan 11, 2024 11:29pm
Quoting supertubes
{quote} just reading the BBC reports now. It seems like it will escalate
Those 200s and 0741 are tough to get through. If it manages to get there. Those should become R. No sure thing here. I think those will need to be attacked. Those oil producing countries dont mind these events. They like when the price of oil is higher. Whoever finds a way to eliminate oil demand. Won't have to spend as much treasure protecting oil. That treasure can be used to find a better way. Without oil money, its harder for Iran, or whoever to fund these groups. Multiple problems would be solved.
The news earlier this week was pro usd. One good news event could take out 0894.. Its a slug fest to close -0741. The eu like 100 pips. This weeks high is 099x. 1 average week is 160 pip. 1.0837 or 1069 is a average week. Take 0741 and a average month can be 1.0600
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,396
  • Jan 11, 2024 11:59pm Jan 11, 2024 11:59pm
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-67938290

This article makes interesting reading too if you can see it ?

The huge costs of the US and UK navy doing what they ... 1 sea viper missile costs 1 million... to shoot dowwn a drone that cost around 16,000 ..
  • #114,397
  • Edited 12:24am Jan 12, 2024 12:14am | Edited 12:24am
Quoting supertubes
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-67938290 This article makes interesting reading too if you can see it ? The huge costs of the US and UK navy doing what they ... 1 sea viper missile costs 1 million... to shoot dowwn a drone that cost around 16,000 ..
The U.S. etc navy keeps piracy less. If not for that. Shipping rates would be much higher. Most people dont have a clue on how much this cost is subsidized. A lot exporters would be out of business. If they had to pay for shipping insurance without U.S.,G.B. etc Navy's.
They should put one those million dollar rockets on the Ayatollah's kitchen table.
I thought they could jam signals. Some smart kid is figuring out. How to take those drones over, to steer them back to the launcher. They may have ability, or a some directional emp. You cant show your hand until a war begins.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,398
  • Jan 12, 2024 12:35am Jan 12, 2024 12:35am
Just a reminder...MLK day on monday
option expiration next week

i had some good bond trades this week
wti and eur kinda sideways
good luck
  • #114,399
  • Jan 12, 2024 12:40am Jan 12, 2024 12:40am
Derverting shipping away from the red sea. Adds 10 days to shipping around Africa. With a recovering supply chain. 10X2=20 days, will add cost. That will probably be inflationary.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,400
  • Jan 12, 2024 12:44am Jan 12, 2024 12:44am
back to bed news in 5h
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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