I Will Move the Market For You

How this works:

1. Challenges usually open first thing on Monday unless otherwise stated.
2. For now only one active challenge at a time.
3. If I fail a challenge I will make a best effort to pay the challenger $10, $20 USD inclusive of any fees.
4. While challenges are open, post a challenge here (NOT by DM) using this format:
   
   Please move [INSTRUMENT] [direction].
   
   For example:
   Please move CADJPY down.
   Is a well-formatted challenge.
   
   I will use my market manipulation magics to move the price of CADJPY down on the M5 timeframe. I can do this for any timeframe but we want to see as many challenges as possible, initially, to show that this is more than random chance and to give as many people as possible a chance to play.
   
   Once a properly formatted challenge has been issued, any new challenges will be ignored. I will respond to the active challenge only. Old challenges will not be revisited and must be re-issued when the challenge window re-opens.
5. Challenges issued when the window is closed will be ignored.
6. Challenges issued by DM (Forex factory mail) will be ignored.
7. The duration of each challenge demonstration is entirely at my discretion but will not usually be more than a week or two, often much less.
8. There is no stop loss, just an arbitrary time stop, again, purely at my discretion.
9. There is no warranty, guarantee, or contract between us, real or implied. All promises are pie crust promises.
10. I can amend any of these rules at any time with zero notice.
11. This is just for fun. You should not risk any real money on my prognostications or machinations.
12. Obey Wheaton’s Law. (Don’t be a dick.)

Record:
GBPCHF DOWN 2023-09-24 - 2023-10-09: SUCCESS
USDCHF UP 2023-10-09 - 2023-10-18: FAILED

The challenge window is currently: OPEN

Challenge window is now open.

This bet has no cost and therefore its expectancy is $10. It is irrational not to take it.

Ok, I get it. This is weird and I’m weird for trying it, and there’s no such thing as free money and who cares about ten dollars anyway, so nobody wants to be the first to take my money. So I’ll go first and raise the payout to $20 for next time.

I selected an instrument and direction at random.
Proof:

Please move GBPCHF Down.

I have the bid at 1.11064. Trend is already down so not too impressive a demonstration. I will try to accelerate it, though.

Challenge window is now closed.

Up 20 pips. 5m, 15m, 1H trends all up. 4H trend is down and hitting on 4H resistance. Think this pair will go down soon without your help. No offense intended. Just my view.

By how many are we allowed to ask instrument to be moved?
Please move AUDJPY down by 200 pips within Tuesday 26/Sept /2023

Alas, I can only work on one issue at a time. Focused on GBPCHF which is a sluggish, unruly beast.

You said you can move any instrument any time frame.
If so, can you please accept my challenge?

Please move XAUUSD up.

Whatever irrational force was propping it up is now tiring, maybe?

Enjoying some success now. Will exit near the bottom of the range. I think the Swiss are on guard as usual and won’t allow anything south of 1.10 for a while at least.

I’m glad I could brighten your day Mr. F.

One more leg down should do it but will it be agonizingly slow? Probably.

A dismal first experiment. Should I give up and try something that actually moves? Or give it another week? It’s not like I was refuted, not even 20pips off its starting point.

Clem…Stay the course, Clem…

Ok, ghost Kenobi. Ok.

If you want to know it, you have to stay with it. Else you mess up. Bad cycle to do so.

Btw: GBPCHF is one of the worst pairs to trade of all curencies if you speculate on fast wins or bigger reactions. Good for trend trader, really bad for swing trader etc.

Btw2: I see you have three trades open? Or did you split it in 3 parts? Why?

Agreed

I am going to say mission accomplished, despite annoyances, and open up a new challenge.

The challenge window is now open. Please pick something fast-ish and ideally a direction you think is unlikely. I give you $20 if it doesn’t happen in an ambiguous amount of time or it moves an ambiguous amount too far in the wrong direction.