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  • #177,981
  • Aug 13, 2023 1:29pm Aug 13, 2023 1:29pm
Intermediate / long-term I think that EUR/USD might trade lower. We have hit long-term HTF resistance and there's an imbalance to fill lower. Monthly also SFP'd the highs. DXY also looks bullish and I'd like to see what is above those clean highs. The COT report is also showing nice futures shorting from commercials into this EUR/USD rally in July, and longing on the DXY futures. Weekly chart has not yet broken lower though, so just an idea.
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  • #177,982
  • Aug 13, 2023 10:49pm Aug 13, 2023 10:49pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
EU dropped below 1.0962 but the market closed so we'll learn more about the drop that's now heading to 1.0913/29 after the start of the new week. The bulls have their last chance to save EU at the lows above 1.0880 and up or else it can drop more first 1.0854/33 and even below 1.0800. If it stabilizes somewhere above 1.0880 then the bulls will have the chance to bring it up and test 1.1010/1.1065 zone. Weekly Volatility (range) - 97 pips Significant News - US Retail Sales MoM, US Housing Starts Number, US Industrial Production MoM, US Philly Fed...
Good day and week. EU dropped after the open and now is sitting heavy near 1.0929 low, next is 1.0913 and 1.0900. Resistance is around 1.0980 together with the weekly pivot and a rise above should first find obstacle the 1.1005 Friday high.

Daily Volatility (range) - 44 pips

1 hour
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #177,983
  • Aug 13, 2023 10:55pm Aug 13, 2023 10:55pm
expected S/R

weekly(white) in low range and sideway, price at lower weekly band + 3M MA with OS and divergence. if this level hold EU should test above Res, if it break, next Sup is lower monthly band.

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daily is at week low with OS and divergence but no low range or sideway yet, if this level hold, EU need a very slow Monday(and maybe Tuesday) for daily low range and sideway to start then break to the upside.

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best wait for stronger signals, or scalp with caution.

cheers,
"the public is not yet ready for it" W.D. GANN
  • #177,984
  • Aug 13, 2023 11:33pm Aug 13, 2023 11:33pm
Quoting johncen
I have slept in and got up after market close! Have to hold on to my shorts over the weekend! so for the entire week we remain stuck within a range between weekly R1 and S1 and close just right near support level 0950 (slightly under) bear remain in favour, however I would prefer if we can push down for another 10-20 pips and close near 0930. My target for my sell next week is near 0880, depends on how the market opens i might close some first. green pips all! {image}
I have decided to hold on to my sell until 0880ish.

we can bounce from here but may limit to 0950-60. 0980ish daily and weekly pivot. If bear is strong we wont get there today.

let see, i could be wrong and proven to be too greedy
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #177,985
  • Aug 13, 2023 11:40pm Aug 13, 2023 11:40pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} I have decided to hold on to my sell until 0880ish. we can bounce from here but may limit to 0950-60. 0980ish daily and weekly pivot. If bear is strong we wont get there today. let see, i could be wrong and proven to be too greedy
Price is slow and heavy you could be right. If it continues this way we can see it testing 1.0850 this week and when the volatility hits maybe lower.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #177,986
  • Aug 14, 2023 12:20am Aug 14, 2023 12:20am
We all know where the next target is if the price breaks 1.09292 - 1.09124
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Good luck & have a great week
There is nothing wrong with being kind & loving to each other
  • #177,987
  • Aug 14, 2023 12:26am Aug 14, 2023 12:26am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Price is slow and heavy you could be right. If it continues this way we can see it testing 1.0850 this week and when the volatility hits maybe lower.
Maybe tomorrow, when some banks are closed & we have important dollar news, we might see this scenario
In the daily chart, we returned to the MP 4 times, but couldn't close above it.
There is nothing wrong with being kind & loving to each other
  • #177,988
  • Aug 14, 2023 12:35am Aug 14, 2023 12:35am
On Friday, the previous target which was 1.10727 wasn't reached & the price fell in the possible return zone (A quick touch & return from that area wasn't interesting). In my opinion, this area hasn't left yet & I will not be surprised if we return to it again
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There is nothing wrong with being kind & loving to each other
  • #177,989
  • Aug 14, 2023 1:28am Aug 14, 2023 1:28am
Quoting pedro319
I think shorts today could target 1.0950 and 31 H1, then 1.0892 H4 and 1.0880-60 W1.
Trading plan.
Add shorts at 1.0965-81 until remaining bear targets are done.
Breaking 1.1005 destroys setup and plan.
Good luck.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #177,990
  • Aug 14, 2023 1:33am Aug 14, 2023 1:33am
Good morning, I hope you're great. I think, 1.0926 can be a support level;
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  • #177,991
  • Aug 14, 2023 1:41am Aug 14, 2023 1:41am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Price is slow and heavy you could be right. If it continues this way we can see it testing 1.0850 this week and when the volatility hits maybe lower.
decided to tp 1/3 here! Always good to have profit in the pocket then hanging around out there
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #177,992
  • Aug 14, 2023 1:43am Aug 14, 2023 1:43am
Quoting johncen
{quote} decided to tp 1/3 here! Always good to have profit in the pocket then hanging around out there
Following you in your journey.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #177,993
  • Aug 14, 2023 1:46am Aug 14, 2023 1:46am
Quoting johncen
{quote} decided to tp 1/3 here! Always good to have profit in the pocket then hanging around out there
Bounce from here would make sense.
H&S is destroyed and that means that the lows MUST be touched, that could also happen after bounce or before.
So we could go back to 1.0967-81 and then come down to finish the job.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #177,994
  • Aug 14, 2023 2:01am Aug 14, 2023 2:01am
my 5 mins chart shows no change of direction yet
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  • #177,995
  • Aug 14, 2023 2:27am Aug 14, 2023 2:27am
Quoting pedro319
{quote} Trading plan. Add shorts at 1.0965-81 until remaining bear targets are done. Breaking 1.1005 destroys setup and plan. Good luck.
or watch price reaction before these fibs
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  • #177,996
  • Aug 14, 2023 2:29am Aug 14, 2023 2:29am
The bulls did alright today;
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  • #177,997
  • Aug 14, 2023 2:33am Aug 14, 2023 2:33am
Quoting Happymorning
{quote} or watch price reaction before these fibs {image}
I don't watch, I trade instead, if I am wrong I will take the losses.
I am going with probability, if I am wrong the technical side will have to change dramatically.
Thanks for reply.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #177,998
  • Aug 14, 2023 2:35am Aug 14, 2023 2:35am
Quoting sulai45
The bulls did alright today; {image}
Back to opening price. No moves yet.
Fundamental provide Volume, Technical shows Direction
  • #177,999
  • Edited 3:08am Aug 14, 2023 2:44am | Edited 3:08am
Quoting pedro319
{quote} I don't watch, I trade instead, if I am wrong I will take the losses. I am going with probability, if I am wrong the technical side will have to change dramatically. Thanks for reply.
looks like casino for you (
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  • #178,000
  • Aug 14, 2023 2:46am Aug 14, 2023 2:46am
Quoting Happymorning
{quote} looks like casino for you (
Aka instinct
Fundamental provide Volume, Technical shows Direction
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