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Daily GBP/JPY analysis

  • #4,661
  • May 18, 2007 6:54am May 18, 2007 6:54am
Quoting cesarnc
Dow Jones rocketed at open. China didn't spread panic.

This is Carries bullish (risk not spreading across the board)
Yes. I am waiting for the USD news however. Strong negative on the USDJPY might stall us.
Virtue finds and chooses the mean. Aristotle, Ethica Nichomachea
  • #4,662
  • May 18, 2007 7:00am May 18, 2007 7:00am
Quoting Plutonite
I am long now, and see no major correction before 239.85 GJ, or 121.56 UJ. It looks like a rally to me.
Hahahaha, I'm a frikkin nostradames, it went EXACTLY to 239.85 before the news pulled the floor from under it. Now do you believe I am a pipastrologist, you doubting heretics?
Virtue finds and chooses the mean. Aristotle, Ethica Nichomachea
  • #4,663
  • May 18, 2007 7:12am May 18, 2007 7:12am
10:10 Bet against the US stock market and you have been setting yourself up for sleepless nights. Fx players have been keeping a keen eye on the US bourse, using it as a barometer of the markets appetite for risky assets. In the Fx world, risky assets translate into being long eur/jpy aud/jpy and the like. Take a look in the rearview mirror tho, and you see the US 10 year note switching gears from second to third. If the US note eclipses 4.9% (now known as 4rth gear) watch the dow melt and risky assets come under pressure
  • #4,664
  • May 18, 2007 7:18am May 18, 2007 7:18am
I don't care... Too good a dip + too good a Dow Jones on a Friday to stay off...

Truck is loaded.

G8 can come down here and kiss my @#$$#@#$ for all I care

  • #4,665
  • May 18, 2007 7:26am May 18, 2007 7:26am
Quoting cesarnc
10:10 Bet against the US stock market and you have been setting yourself up for sleepless nights. Fx players have been keeping a keen eye on the US bourse, using it as a barometer of the markets appetite for risky assets. In the Fx world, risky assets translate into being long eur/jpy aud/jpy and the like. Take a look in the rearview mirror tho, and you see the US 10 year note switching gears from second to third. If the US note eclipses 4.9% (now known as 4rth gear) watch the dow melt and risky assets come under pressure


Second gear into third huh. First car analogy i ever saw from that guy. Anyway, my next nostradamus claim is for GBPJPY to stall at 239.64, and if it makes it through then 239.88 then much higher in a bull rally. Watch the stars, they are aligned, thus I have spoken.
Virtue finds and chooses the mean. Aristotle, Ethica Nichomachea
  • #4,666
  • May 18, 2007 7:36am May 18, 2007 7:36am
Quoting Plutonite
Second gear into third huh. First car analogy i ever saw from that guy. Anyway, my next nostradamus claim is for GBPJPY to stall at 239.64, and if it makes it through then 239.88 then much higher in a bull rally. Watch the stars, they are aligned, thus I have spoken.
Just read a bank's analysis on GJ. 260 for 2007 toppish then correction.

  • #4,667
  • May 18, 2007 7:37am May 18, 2007 7:37am
Quoting Plutonite
Second gear into third huh. First car analogy i ever saw from that guy. Anyway, my next nostradamus claim is for GBPJPY to stall at 239.64, and if it makes it through then 239.88 then much higher in a bull rally. Watch the stars, they are aligned, thus I have spoken.
This guy was the only reason to laugh for me this week...
  • #4,668
  • May 18, 2007 7:39am May 18, 2007 7:39am
If EJ does not take out 164 today, my name is Britney Spears
  • #4,669
  • Edited 8:10am May 18, 2007 7:45am | Edited 8:10am
Quoting cesarnc
Just read a bank's analysis on GJ. 260 for 2007 toppish then correction.

Maybe. Or maybe the bank's analyst's sister's friend's daughter pulled the number out of her a$* !! Forget the bank, listen to nostradamus. I speak only the truth. And I am > than your fancy bank.


Quote
If EJ does not take out 164 today, my name is Britney Spears
EJ will retrace on 164.16. The stars are aligned. Behold, we shall make money! Too bad i wont get to call you britney though
Virtue finds and chooses the mean. Aristotle, Ethica Nichomachea
  • #4,670
  • May 18, 2007 8:32am May 18, 2007 8:32am
well, well, well, looks like i missed the party again. And all my longs are dead whores now. I cant believe it went all the way down and now back up to where we were at the beginning of this wonderful day. The story with the artificial push lower to make a good dip to buy seems the most realistic one

My god...im frustrated again. Out of curiosity, did anyone make a profit out of this move?

10:53Fridays becoming the most lethal trading day of the week lately..And its not even the 13th
We leave no soldier behind.
  • #4,671
  • May 18, 2007 8:46am May 18, 2007 8:46am
Quoting gagiul

10:53Fridays becoming the most lethal trading day of the week lately..And its not even the 13th


And they are giving me the best trades lately... Just erased half of my weekly blowup.

Hopefully I'll learn the lesson.
  • #4,672
  • May 18, 2007 9:00am May 18, 2007 9:00am
Quoting cesarnc
And they are giving me the best trades lately... Just erased half of my weekly blowup.

Hopefully I'll learn the lesson.
what lesson can u learn from such a meaningless move down and up?
We leave no soldier behind.
  • #4,673
  • May 18, 2007 9:00am May 18, 2007 9:00am
Quoting gagiul
well, well, well, looks like i missed the party again. And all my longs are dead whores now. I cant believe it went all the way down and now back up to where we were at the beginning of this wonderful day. The story with the artificial push lower to make a good dip to buy seems the most realistic one

My god...im frustrated again. Out of curiosity, did anyone make a profit out of this move?

10:53Fridays becoming the most lethal trading day of the week lately..And its not even the 13th


Everybody trading vegas, linear regression channels and news made profit, I caught both moves (see posts above) but I was only lucky because I was awake at the time. Fridays are always beautiful.
Virtue finds and chooses the mean. Aristotle, Ethica Nichomachea
  • #4,674
  • May 18, 2007 9:02am May 18, 2007 9:02am
Quoting gagiul
what lesson can u learn from such a meaningless move down and up?
You learn to short when a strong fibo coincides with heavy negative GBP news and strong deviation from moving averages, and to go long again when the move bounces off on the other side (strong statistical deviation and fibo also).
Virtue finds and chooses the mean. Aristotle, Ethica Nichomachea
  • #4,675
  • May 18, 2007 9:03am May 18, 2007 9:03am
Quoting gagiul
what lesson can u learn from such a meaningless move down and up?
Wait for the right trades... instead of assuming too much as I did...

"Dollar is going down now"

Carries selloff / no follow through is a good entry... as was my USDCAD short today.
  • #4,676
  • May 18, 2007 9:06am May 18, 2007 9:06am
Quoting cesarnc
If EJ does not take out 164 today, my name is Britney Spears
Ouch
  • #4,677
  • May 18, 2007 9:11am May 18, 2007 9:11am
Quoting cesarnc
Ouch
Wait till next week before putting the embarrassed smileys up . And it might still get there today, the americans like to trade in the afternoon.
Virtue finds and chooses the mean. Aristotle, Ethica Nichomachea
  • #4,678
  • May 18, 2007 9:19am May 18, 2007 9:19am
Quote
Originally Posted by cesarnc http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
If EJ does not take out 164 today, my name is Britney Spears

4 hours and it bit to go before we hear a rendition of 'Hit me baby one more time'

I do hope 164 hits now lol
  • #4,679
  • May 18, 2007 9:27am May 18, 2007 9:27am
Quoting el_duende
4 hours and it bit to go before we hear a rendition of 'Hit me baby one more time'

I do hope 164 hits now lol
Yeah, and every time he misses a target we'll make him sing "Oops, I did it did it again!".

LOL cesar, you're never gonna hear the last of it.
Virtue finds and chooses the mean. Aristotle, Ethica Nichomachea
  • #4,680
  • May 18, 2007 9:30am May 18, 2007 9:30am
Quoting Plutonite
Yeah, and every time he misses a target we'll make him sing "Oops, I did it did it again!".

LOL cesar, you're never gonna hear the last of it.
I know it.

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