Pivot Trading

Quoting fx6996

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{quote} Wow, you really don't understand the role of the FED do you? They have 2 mandates: Price stability (inflation under 2%) AND low unemployement That's it! Powell has been extrememly transparent and the bank failure is NOT going to change the FED so trade at your own risk.

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Quoting fx6996

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{quote} Wow, you really don't understand the role of the FED do you? They have 2 mandates: Price stability (inflation under 2%) AND low unemployement That's it! Powell has been extrememly transparent and the bank failure is NOT going to change the FED so trade at your own risk.

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Quoting Davit

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{quote} You are not wrong possibility of Feds hiking is 70-80% however market is jittery which explains why USD is getting beat up last 48hrs

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Quoting Davit

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Hallo Pivoter Hatte ein paar Treffer, erholte sich aber gut. bis heute {image}

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Quoting fx6996

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{quote} 1. I don't understand why the market is so "jittery" - these 2 banks were 1-off's due to their role in VC community 2. If times of difficulty it's usually the "safe currencies" like USD, JPY, CHF that benefit the most, not suffer. I just don't think that the FED is going to be nimble and change on a dime - they are more like a ship at sea that takes a long time to reach the final destination.

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Quoting smd101

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{quote} About your first point, i think you do not see the fundamentals clearly...!! {image}

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Quoting rupasi

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I was able to take my EC off the table finally with a small loss. Entered last week, not some of my better trading. CAD was pretty weak after the announcement that interest rate raising was mostly done for now. The entries we at good R levels R61, R78 and R100 but fundies were not consistent with the CAD sentiment. I am using Voty's cool indi to show last weeks levels so you guys can see. EUR definitely stronger although I didn't think through the whys of that. This is why I should not trade when my head is not completely in the game. I has some...

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Quoting MuniFX

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well, just because yields fall 1% in the very short time doesn't mean they can't rise further in the mid-term & long-term: they fell because a lot of capital was "parked" in t-bills, you do that when you think theres a downside risk for stocks & economy (less "save" returns than yield in t-bills), so I have to ask myself why do they think the possible return will be lower?, one answer would be the fed won't stop raising rates the next meetingS, so yields go higher still and stocks tank further, than the usd gets stronger because of save heaven status...

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Quoting smd101

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{quote} Right now the bond yield is below the terminal rate. Right now its telling there is a chane of no rate hike coming meeting. Could be there will be 25 bps. ECB said 50 but they will go for 25 now because they donot want the same situation like svb. As said previously they always see what the fed is doing. If fed in trouble they get scared. Its only what i think and it doesnot matter. Market will do what it want to do.

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