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  • #167,061
  • Feb 1, 2023 6:06pm Feb 1, 2023 6:06pm
Feeling very sorry for my 1.0850 shorts lol. Gonna be a long wait to get those out
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #167,062
  • Feb 1, 2023 6:35pm Feb 1, 2023 6:35pm
Quoting Pinch969
Hopefully 1.05668 can show up tomorrow.
that is about 500 pips away?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #167,063
  • Feb 1, 2023 6:37pm Feb 1, 2023 6:37pm
Quoting M3csl
Feeling very sorry for my 1.0850 shorts lol. Gonna be a long wait to get those out
We might go straight to 1160-80 before droping again!

i dont have much left from here till 1160-80. May have to spend some time after this week to re assess my chart.

we still have ECB and Non Farm this week.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #167,064
  • Feb 1, 2023 8:11pm Feb 1, 2023 8:11pm
Quoting MichaelSHel
{quote} I'm asking, how can anyone trade on anything lower than 1d when at any news point the price can just skyrocket past any point it's been in 6 months? No matter how I do analysis, I simply can't see how I could have predicted such a ridiculous price jump. Thanks in advance.
Some of us were speculating it would get there. It was a target. (Think moving averages) The specific detailed price action of how it will get there is unknown, but the speculative target is there. Positioning requires getting a perspective of where price is...relatively.


If you don't take into consideration the larger time frames, daily weekly and monthly....even yearly (make up your own) you won't have a possibility of suspecting you may be jumping in front of a moving train. I've seen plenty of large time frame charts shown here. Don't ignore them, I'm not saying you are. Everything that happened on the one minute chart for any particular month, is concentrated into that 1 MN bar. etc.

What do the last 3 bars of the monthly chart look like they're doing?

What is the OHLC for 2022?

Where is the 2022 close relative to the entire years range?

What kind of bar would it be?

Returning to previous price levels is a "natural" event....just like the planet is spinning and the universe is moving. The 2022 lows were last seen 20 years ago.
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Charts are limited in nature. What is the relative location?
  • #167,065
  • Edited 9:12pm Feb 1, 2023 8:48pm | Edited 9:12pm
Next target goes to 1184 while a suuposed limit there at 1121. Before limit may react next if possible. Anyway bull continue without any fear fed rate and like continue further up.may even one leg up to 2000!
Fed rate then continue raise till at least below 97 and 94 before leg up if global condition remain constant!
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #167,066
  • Feb 1, 2023 10:11pm Feb 1, 2023 10:11pm
the major flow of buyers shows that they may have exhausted energy, a potential move to the downside eventually..... price left resting liquidity on the demand zone due to the fact it made equal lows. Let's see...
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  • #167,067
  • Feb 1, 2023 10:57pm Feb 1, 2023 10:57pm
Quoting littlefx1
the major flow of buyers shows that they may have exhausted energy, a potential move to the downside eventually..... price left resting liquidity on the demand zone due to the fact it made equal lows. Let's see... {image}
sorry mate I do have slightly diff view. Bull is still in control and there is no sign of bear. Might not be wise to try catch the top. With the news today and tomorrow may easily go up another 100 pips ( of course down 100 pips)
but for now no sign for bear
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #167,068
  • Feb 1, 2023 10:58pm Feb 1, 2023 10:58pm
Quoting Traderview
Sold @ 1.0977. lets see
Still holding these two
1.0977 and 1.0995.
  • #167,069
  • Feb 1, 2023 11:01pm Feb 1, 2023 11:01pm
Quoting fontu
Next target goes to 1184 while a suuposed limit there at 1121. Before limit may react next if possible. Anyway bull continue without any fear fed rate and like continue further up.may even one leg up to 2000! Fed rate then continue raise till at least below 97 and 94 before leg up if global condition remain constant! {image} {image} {image}
94 is too far away. But my year end target is 92 - 94.
  • #167,070
  • Feb 1, 2023 11:07pm Feb 1, 2023 11:07pm
Quoting grandaevus
Price holds above 1.0853 support with a bullish hammer candle. Looks quite bullish. {image}
Closed above 1.0982 support. It'll likely test resistances @ 1.1074, 1.1092.

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  • #167,071
  • Feb 1, 2023 11:39pm Feb 1, 2023 11:39pm
yesterday, is the best scenario everyone wish . .
EURUSD goes in the same direction of the trend . .
Today . . if EUR rates decision push it up more . . . then we have to consider possible SL swing . . to retest area 1.0700 . .
each day 10%,,,, https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/1371538
  • #167,072
  • Feb 1, 2023 11:51pm Feb 1, 2023 11:51pm
Quoting Traderview
{quote} 94 is too far away. But my year end target is 92 - 94.
ok as year target and if no hope for better correction may free fall without any . anyway this month may breaks 99.42 next 97.73 an limit over 96.42 may try a bounce again in the 3rd month , likely unable correct considerably and so on ! so 6-10 weeks may even reach 94 areas. lets see
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #167,073
  • Feb 2, 2023 12:19am Feb 2, 2023 12:19am
Quoting fontu
{quote} ok as year target and if no hope for better correction may free fall without any . anyway this month may breaks 99.42 next 97.73 an limit over 96.42 may try a bounce again in the 3rd month , likely unable correct considerably and so on ! so 6-10 weeks may even reach 94 areas. lets see {image}
100.83 20 SMA on Monthly. It already touches it.
1.0977 is the 200SMA on 3M eurusd broken ALREADY.
IMO, yesterday move likely predicted with the ECB. NFP will break break 1.10.
  • #167,074
  • Feb 2, 2023 12:38am Feb 2, 2023 12:38am
See who wins the tug 'a war.... Will be waitching these levels.
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  • #167,075
  • Feb 2, 2023 12:40am Feb 2, 2023 12:40am
Sell 1022 till 1012 for 40 pips
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #167,076
  • Edited 1:11am Feb 2, 2023 12:52am | Edited 1:11am
Quoting Traderview
{quote} 100.83 20 SMA on Monthly. It already touches it. 1.0977 is the 200SMA on 3M eurusd broken ALREADY. IMO, yesterday move likely predicted with the ECB. NFP will break break 1.10.
anyway market may need some traps and so done early and may set booby traps again here as the projected bull target virtually meet , at top play to correct likely more or less . eu may to correct , if any below 0969 while limit up now at 0925, tl arounds 0956 . so ecb may play differently too . more risky top ranging , spikes up and down without much pa change after . lets see
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #167,077
  • Feb 2, 2023 1:01am Feb 2, 2023 1:01am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
I am not an Elliott waver just know some things from here and there. 30 min {image}
It growed a little bit more from that!

Now I see 1.1000 as a pivot for 1.0970 or 1.1030 you choose!

Also for the ECB today we may see 1.0930/1.0900 or 1.1125.

Coming back soon... vol is 113 pips!

Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} It growed a little bit more from that! Now I see 1.1000 as a pivot for 1.0970 or 1.1030 you choose! Also for the ECB today we may see 1.0930/1.0900 or 1.1125. Coming back soon... vol is 113 pips!
15 min. chart. The Bulls may even reach 1.1045/50 before ECB
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #167,078
  • Feb 2, 2023 1:10am Feb 2, 2023 1:10am
How do I handle such a false breakthrough? It bothers me and it leads me to make bad decisions.
Trading plan: wait to go long
Direction: Up, the Fed news has been released, but need to be alert for the next non-farm payrolls data. The data disruptions are not applicable to me, but there is nothing I can do about it.
Entry conditions: stoch indicator crossed up below the level 20.
Exit conditions: change of direction.
Please verify my trading plan.
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Just follow the trend.
  • #167,079
  • Feb 2, 2023 1:16am Feb 2, 2023 1:16am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} It growed a little bit more from that! Now I see 1.1000 as a pivot for 1.0970 or 1.1030 you choose! Also for the ECB today we may see 1.0930/1.0900 or 1.1125. Coming back soon... vol is 113 pips! {quote} 15 min. chart. The Bulls may even reach 1.1045/50 before ECB {image}
id bet more on NFP than ECB for any significant moves.
  • #167,080
  • Feb 2, 2023 1:32am Feb 2, 2023 1:32am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} It growed a little bit more from that! Now I see 1.1000 as a pivot for 1.0970 or 1.1030 you choose! Also for the ECB today we may see 1.0930/1.0900 or 1.1125. Coming back soon... vol is 113 pips! {quote} 15 min. chart. The Bulls may even reach 1.1045/50 before ECB {image}
with the current sentiment we can easily go further up with ECB rate hike and if Non Farm is not as expected.

also have 1.1125 but 1.1160-80 level crucial. A bit difficult to trade while we are in between and sl has to be huge
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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