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The Swamp

  • #106,401
  • Jan 27, 2023 2:03am Jan 27, 2023 2:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} See chart with post.. A mule that shits fast wont shit long. Maybe a technical genius is Musk. But he dont know much about shutting his mouth. Just load the wagon, dont worry about the mule. Nobody cares what he thinks. at least his stock price doesn't. He may be a genius, but its wrapped up in a moron. Most very successful genius have a dark secret that drives them. Lots of time its a perversion. The perversion drives the success. It takes money to be a rich pervert. On a lighter note, cheap oil hurts Tesla. He puts his foot in his mouth...
I was talking about Nikola Tesla hahah, sorry for the confusion.
  • #106,402
  • Edited 2:52am Jan 27, 2023 2:29am | Edited 2:52am
long @ 1.0867, stop at 64


Edit - now @ daily open
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  • #106,403
  • Edited 6:14am Jan 27, 2023 5:41am | Edited 6:14am
Quoting Don96
long @ 1.0867, stop at 64 Edit - now @ daily open {image}
had a second long stopped +1 at 1.0881.

waiting to see if we can push above daily open, it may become a spot for long... 1.09+ seems to be holding, Cable struggling

EDIT: - out +10 on long, might get some direction during NY. also an ascending TL on h4, i dont trade them, but it might be worth noting. h4 closing below DO and 1.0890 again

PA for today is squeezing, i will give 2 back here to see 1.09+ tested. Long at 1.0876, stop 74. i dont need to give much

Quoting Don96
{quote} had a second long stopped +1 at 1.0881. waiting to see if we can push above daily open, it may become a spot for long... 1.09+ seems to be holding, Cable struggling EDIT: - out +10 on long, might get some direction during NY. also an ascending TL on h4, i dont trade them, but it might be worth noting. h4 closing below DO and 1.0890 again PA for today is squeezing, i will give 2 back here to see 1.09+ tested. Long at 1.0876, stop 74. i dont need to give much {image}
see if the close is above 1.2405 today... it may break. i had it breaking earlier this week as per previous posts. it may still happen today. it may not. i'm not positioned on cable
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  • #106,404
  • Jan 27, 2023 6:24am Jan 27, 2023 6:24am
100 pips movement today ?
up 1.0965
down 1.0800

let's see which one is right.
  • #106,405
  • Jan 27, 2023 6:28am Jan 27, 2023 6:28am
Quoting Don96
{quote} had a second long stopped +1 at 1.0881. waiting to see if we can push above daily open, it may become a spot for long... 1.09+ seems to be holding, Cable struggling EDIT: - out +10 on long, might get some direction during NY. also an ascending TL on h4, i dont trade them, but it might be worth noting. h4 closing below DO and 1.0890 again PA for today is squeezing, i will give 2 back here to see 1.09+ tested. Long at 1.0876, stop 74. i dont need to give much {quote} see if the close is above 1.2405 today... it may break. i had...

Looks like i will be stopped, my SL may have been a better entry, zoomed in for my entry, likely to give those two pips back.

Cable 3 or so off daily low.
  • #106,406
  • Jan 27, 2023 6:30am Jan 27, 2023 6:30am
Quoting chess king
100 pips movement today ? up 1.0965 down 1.0800 let's see which one is right.
great insight.
  • #106,407
  • Jan 27, 2023 6:58am Jan 27, 2023 6:58am
Waiting for a 1m long signal since 0875.. nothing yet, That rise to 1.09 may be all she has for now. I thought it would reach 1.092x again to short the tl. it hasn't retested 0850 or 35 yet. The last outside move was up on the day. Pa is till above 1.0835. Its still bullish to me, with sideways movement. It may test 0835. I'm not trading in the middle 45 pips from the high and 45 pips from 0835. Just to get chopped up. Stops have to be outside that range. Making the 50/50 R/R suck on a new trade.

news in 30m
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,408
  • Jan 27, 2023 7:09am Jan 27, 2023 7:09am
Quoting SnailFX
{quote} I was talking about Nikola Tesla hahah, sorry for the confusion.
yeah.. he was the misunderstood ditch digging genius. Its ashamed he was taking advantage of.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,409
  • Jan 27, 2023 9:09am Jan 27, 2023 9:09am
Quoting Don96
{quote} had a second long stopped +1 at 1.0881. waiting to see if we can push above daily open, it may become a spot for long... 1.09+ seems to be holding, Cable struggling EDIT: - out +10 on long, might get some direction during NY. also an ascending TL on h4, i dont trade them, but it might be worth noting. h4 closing below DO and 1.0890 again PA for today is squeezing, i will give 2 back here to see 1.09+ tested. Long at 1.0876, stop 74. i dont need to give much {quote} see if the close is above 1.2405 today... it may break. i had it breaking...
Cable testing... im still not positioned, have a long EU at B.E
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  • #106,410
  • Jan 27, 2023 9:18am Jan 27, 2023 9:18am
Quoting gatorinla
Waiting for a 1m long signal since 0875.. nothing yet, That rise to 1.09 may be all she has for now. I thought it would reach 1.092x again to short the tl. it hasn't retested 0850 or 35 yet. The last outside move was up on the day. Pa is till above 1.0835. Its still bullish to me, with sideways movement. It may test 0835. I'm not trading in the middle 45 pips from the high and 45 pips from 0835. Just to get chopped up. Stops have to be outside that range. Making the 50/50 R/R suck on a new trade. news in 30m {image}
That day candle that made that HH. Has a LL when it went below 0850 last h.. Its risen since. But that drop opened a test closer to 1.0835 too. If it does run back down. Below 1.0835 would be another LL since the high. A 2x move down would target 1.0715. The algo on the week at 1.0710/slip. This has a potential drop to test 1.07. If 1.0835 dont hold.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,411
  • Jan 27, 2023 9:58am Jan 27, 2023 9:58am
Quoting Don96
{quote} Cable testing... im still not positioned, have a long EU at B.E {image}
unfortunate, i didnt enter either position.

EU long Stopped B.E. The hourly close is right into support..
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  • #106,412
  • Jan 27, 2023 10:04am Jan 27, 2023 10:04am
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wh...ks-11623174750

I tp a short.. My pending L at 1.0836x missed so far. Stop at 0833.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,413
  • Jan 27, 2023 10:15am Jan 27, 2023 10:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That day candle that made that HH. Has a LL when it went below 0850 last h.. Its risen since. But that drop opened a test closer to 1.0835 too. If it does run back down. Below 1.0835 would be another LL since the high. A 2x move down would target 1.0715. The algo on the week at 1.0710/slip. This has a potential drop to test 1.07. If 1.0835 dont hold.
Of course 1.0835 is still that large support. There is no LL until it makes it. The trend is up. If this was to happen Tuesday's close below/above 1.0835. It could have more implications. Today being a Friday, after closing above 1.0835 last week. Could also have some evidence of a direction. The only path for bears is through 1.0835 to start. W/o it, there is no "start". A "start" needs to be followed with large closes. The same thing with 1.07/1.0694. 1.1186 will be on the horizon if bears are unable to take these. The trend is up.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,414
  • Jan 27, 2023 10:26am Jan 27, 2023 10:26am
Quoting gatorinla
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wh...ks-11623174750 I tp a short.. My pending L at 1.0836x missed so far. Stop at 0833. {image}
My 1m turned bullish. 5m through 4h are red. I thought it would grind closer to 1.0835.. It went to 1.0537x.. I could take a long on the 1min. I was hoping to have the smaller stop with a larger trade. I will take a chance it settles back closer to 1.0835..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,415
  • Jan 27, 2023 10:32am Jan 27, 2023 10:32am
Today's PA has been a mind-fuk! Boulder we need you back
Price = the amount a greater fool is willing to pay!
  • #106,416
  • Jan 27, 2023 10:44am Jan 27, 2023 10:44am
1.0700S/R 1.0835S/R 1.1186 Large algo attraction.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,417
  • Edited 4:41pm Jan 27, 2023 4:00pm | Edited 4:41pm
non commercial are heavier longs. The close was above 1.0835. A close above it Tuesday should strengthen 1.0835 support. A close Tuesday above 1.0887 helps bulls more. Month average range helped contain the bulls. After Tues is a new month with a new average range. Month average range is about 395 pips. That could easily put 1.1186/slip in the possibilities next month.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,418
  • Edited 9:19am Jan 28, 2023 8:51am | Edited 9:19am
Quoting gatorinla
non commercial are heavier longs. The close was above 1.0835. A close above it Tuesday should strengthen 1.0835 support. A close Tuesday above 1.0887 helps bulls more. Month average range helped contain the bulls. After Tues is a new month with a new average range. Month average range is about 395 pips. That could easily put 1.1186/slip in the possibilities next month. {image}
January ATR is 448.0 pips (1.09288-1.04808)...monthly average over past 55 months is 403.7 pips...

Partition theory - minimum retracement for 448.0 pips is 151.0 pips = 1.07778 (1.09288-0.01510)...any January close above 1.07778 means a bullish monthly close...

Partition theory - minimum retracement for 1393.6 pips (1.09288-0.95352) is 518.1 pips = 1.04107 (1.09288-0.05181)...any PA above 1.04107 means a bullish PA...

For current high at 1.09288, I bet for 1.04107/slip before 1.1186/slip...

If the PA will climb 100 pips more at 1.10288, then partition theory - minimum retracement for 1493.6 pips (1.10288-0.95352) is 551.4 pips = 1.04774 (1.10288-0.05514)...for further high at 1.10288, I bet for 1.04774/slip before 1.1186/slip...
I am who I am
  • #106,419
  • Jan 29, 2023 4:30pm Jan 29, 2023 4:30pm
Quoting imwim
{quote} January ATR is 448.0 pips (1.09288-1.04808)...monthly average over past 55 months is 403.7 pips... Partition theory - minimum retracement for 448.0 pips is 151.0 pips = 1.07778 (1.09288-0.01510)...any January close above 1.07778 means a bullish monthly close... Partition theory - minimum retracement for 1393.6 pips (1.09288-0.95352) is 518.1 pips = 1.04107 (1.09288-0.05181)...any PA above 1.04107 means a bullish PA... For current high at 1.09288, I bet for 1.04107/slip before 1.1186/slip... If the PA will climb 100 pips more at 1.10288,...
It closed above 1.0835. It did miss closing above 1.0887. That bothered me some. The month close +- 1.0835 will add to my bias. If Tuesday is above 1.0887 that's a larger and a week bias. Since it did not close above 1.0387. That leaves room for 1.0835 tested. With the month still open it could go to 1.07/1.0710 etc. -1.07/1.0694 closed, would be pretty bearish to me. Its not looking that way atm. I lean toward bullish unless those bear goals are met. If the bears come and take out 1.07, I think 1.009x/slip would come.
The week close dont mean so much today so close to the month's ending.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,420
  • Jan 29, 2023 4:39pm Jan 29, 2023 4:39pm
Day candle alone LH LL
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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