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  • #166,161
  • Edited 8:02am Jan 23, 2023 7:49am | Edited 8:02am
checking another chart and probably pa in daly tf , as confirmed a bull run may correct a minimum to bull further ., likely over 0883 it may continue down today and next day to get better support again around 0807 0r low a little say 0790. so scalping both ways at levels be better s minimum 3 days may play arounds in ranges again! .
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #166,162
  • Jan 23, 2023 8:01am Jan 23, 2023 8:01am
Quoting mtako
{quote}A fast recovery would be fun, but I don't find it necessary. I have some setups that would do better in faster movements and some in slow but steady movements. Buying the 1H spinning top, full speed! Buy stop 08632! P.S don't take offense turtle take all the time you need to have your cake and eat it too ! {image}
I know... come on turtle you can do it before the rabbit does!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #166,163
  • Jan 23, 2023 8:02am Jan 23, 2023 8:02am
Quoting Sauce
Late Mondays, happy trading week. Cup and handle formation, below 0.5 retracement it is invalidated, bouncing here will make a new high. {image}
Same structure was also happening around new year. Maybe a fractal formation, the target of the fractal would be the same fib level around 1.618 which is 1.067
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  • #166,164
  • Jan 23, 2023 8:05am Jan 23, 2023 8:05am
Quoting mtako
3H Volatility Growth in quality momentum setup activated !
Quoting mtako
{quote}Perhaps adding also to this big boy, buy limit 0864, closing both if 3H closes<0860, since that would be too much down movement volatility, enough to potentially start to weaken my 3H momentum. Good luck 3H monster !! {image}
Quoting mtako
{quote}{quote}Well done 3H Bull Monster, but there is +-25 minutes left for this setup, so keep your eyes peeled for Robber the Bear P.S 15min ranging time potential, now in my ranging mid-lows, could actually help it... {image}
Confirmed, well done 3H monster!!! So no scaling down needed for now!

Next step for me is >0880 15m dbl BOs + no return allowed <0880 afterwards!! IF <0880 afterwards, ranging potential too high.. + no new highs probably. That and big news coming up = more scaling down of my longs in these low levels prior to news...
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #166,165
  • Jan 23, 2023 8:19am Jan 23, 2023 8:19am
Quoting mtako
{quote}{quote}{quote}Confirmed, well done 3H monster!!! So no scaling down needed for now! Next step for me is >0880 15m dbl BOs + no return allowed <0880 afterwards!! IF <0880 afterwards, ranging potential too high.. + no new highs probably. That and big news coming up = more scaling down of my longs in these low levels prior to news...
may be , not know any big news coming today though! but failures are the pillar of success , so pa to do so apparently . so sideways and random both ways scalping most probable possible ! take care
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #166,166
  • Jan 23, 2023 8:22am Jan 23, 2023 8:22am
US has never defaulted on its debt. But last week it ran out of money, and "extraordinary" measures had to be put in place to avoid even more headless chickens running in the government

Defaulting would have long-lasting negative effect on USD, as the simple fact that it never did is a big part of why there is such faith in USD to begin with.

Anybody here care to elaborate, as I have always been very bad with fundamentals.

Buy stop 08735 08938 09084 09208, each bringing previous position's SL at BE
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #166,167
  • Jan 23, 2023 8:36am Jan 23, 2023 8:36am
Quoting fontu
{quote} may be , not know any big news coming today though! but failures are the pillar of success , so pa to do so apparently . so sideways and random both ways scalping most probable possible ! take care {image}
Sorry for the lack of precision mate, thank you ! I was not talking about today for the news, just the next one...

I love what you said about failures being the pillar of success !!!! Also makes me think of another thing that helps me :

The bigger the present success = The bigger the preparation for the coming inevitable failures.

I have learned to like to trade with Mr.Failure in mind at all times. He is always lurking in this zero sum and oh so dense forest.
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #166,168
  • Jan 23, 2023 8:36am Jan 23, 2023 8:36am
Entered short, let's get that proper low.
  • #166,169
  • Jan 23, 2023 8:39am Jan 23, 2023 8:39am
Quoting mtako
US has never defaulted on its debt. But last week it ran out of money, and "extraordinary" measures had to be put in place to avoid even more headless chickens running in the government Defaulting would have long-lasting negative effect on USD, as the simple fact that it never did is a big part of why there is such faith in USD to begin with. Anybody here care to elaborate, as I have always been very bad with fundamentals. Buy stop 08735 08938 09084 09208, each bringing previous position's SL at BE
I would elaborate but it'd be breaking the rules. All I could say is, for either possibility, defaulting or printing out of defaulting both good for EURUSD.
  • #166,170
  • Jan 23, 2023 8:42am Jan 23, 2023 8:42am
Quoting Sauce
{quote} I would elaborate but it'd be breaking the rules. All I could say is, for either possibility, defaulting or printing out of defaulting both good for EURUSD.
Ata, correct me if I'm wrong, but it is welcome here. There have been countless conversations about eurusd fundamentals in the past. Whether it is focused on eur or usd or both doesnt matter. These are things that affect eurusd, so is welcome, no? Just dont mention other currencies !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #166,171
  • Jan 23, 2023 9:33am Jan 23, 2023 9:33am
Quoting mtako
{quote}Ata, correct me if I'm wrong, but it is welcome here. There have been countless conversations about eurusd fundamentals in the past. Whether it is focused on eur or usd or both doesnt matter. These are things that affect eurusd, so is welcome, no? Just dont mention other currencies !
Of course there are a plethora of things that affect EURUSD... Let's say 100... I want to focus on the 10% only so we can leave all the noise out..

That's why I allow fundamentals around EURO countries, USA, DXY and Big Events like Ukraine War and similar... I leave out any news coming from Asian countries, UK, Latin Countries, African countries, New Zealand or Australia, North and South pole, Mars, Milky way Galaxy etc etc.... Maybe a "big meteor" yes a huge ass meteor that could destroy us could also be discussed... but you get the idea..

I hope it clarifies
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #166,172
  • Jan 23, 2023 9:45am Jan 23, 2023 9:45am
Quoting mtako
US has never defaulted on its debt. But last week it ran out of money, and "extraordinary" measures had to be put in place to avoid even more headless chickens running in the government Defaulting would have long-lasting negative effect on USD, as the simple fact that it never did is a big part of why there is such faith in USD to begin with. Anybody here care to elaborate, as I have always been very bad with fundamentals. Buy stop 08735 08938 09084 09208, each bringing previous position's SL at BE
Quoting Sauce
{quote} I would elaborate but it'd be breaking the rules. All I could say is, for either possibility, defaulting or printing out of defaulting both good for EURUSD.
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
.. I leave out any news coming from Asian countries, UK, Latin Countries, African countries, New Zealand or Australia, North and South pole, Mars, Milky way Galaxy etc etc.... Maybe a "big meteor" yes a huge ass meteor that could destroy us could also be discussed... but you get the idea.. I hope it clarifies
!!!! mate, your humor never disappoints ! Thank you for the precision also, that's exactly what I thought.

I hope you now feel free to elaborate dear Sauce.

P.S welcome to the family mate! Am enjoying your thoughts on eurusd, your understanding, your efforts + super-good-vibes energy!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #166,173
  • Jan 23, 2023 9:57am Jan 23, 2023 9:57am
Quoting mtako
{quote}...Buying the 1H spinning top, full speed! Buy stop 08632! P.S don't take offense turtle take all the time you need to have your cake and eat it too ! {image}
The 1H bull that stopped 4 hours of bear hell. Nonetheless, intraday bears still have most of the power as long as bears momentum >0870 is not properly tackled.

Someone is putting coal in the engine for another departure ! It's micro bears trying to break last trading day's shy up advance or bigger bulls getting ready for their continuance.

1min is stuck ! Bought here 0861000 SL5
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #166,175
  • Jan 23, 2023 10:07am Jan 23, 2023 10:07am
Quoting mtako
{quote}The 1H bull that stopped 4 hours of bear hell. Nonetheless, intraday bears still have most of the power as long as bears momentum >0870 is not properly tackled. Someone is putting coal in the engine for another departure ! It's micro bears trying to break last trading day's shy up advance or bigger bulls getting ready for their continuance. 1min is stuck ! Bought here 0861000 SL5
Closed my short with tiny bite profits, no lucky bears yet.
  • #166,176
  • Jan 23, 2023 10:08am Jan 23, 2023 10:08am
Quoting Sauce
{quote} The reserve currency status is what fills the coffers of US. And the belief that the US would not default on its debt is what is backing the US dollar effectively since 1971. Over 1/3 of the 31 Trillion $ US debt is held by foreign countries leading being Japan with 1.4 T. As Japan is doing yield control while tryin to stop the exchange rate of JPY from crashing, they need USD to swap into JPY. This USD can be acquired from many channels one of them being the selling of UST (US treasuries). If Japan sells a lot of UST then the US government...

Ata I know I talked about JPY a lot here, but the reason was that because they could be the trigger to this thing which then would effect EUR and all things actually.
  • #166,177
  • Jan 23, 2023 10:08am Jan 23, 2023 10:08am
Buying 1min inverted hammer in volatility, countertrend ! Buy stop 08655!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #166,178
  • Jan 23, 2023 10:17am Jan 23, 2023 10:17am
Quoting Sauce
{quote} Ata I know I talked about JPY a lot here, but the reason was that because they could be the trigger to this thing which then would effect EUR and all things actually.
I understand but based on rules it still is "noise"... I hide all such posts with no exceptions so that it is fair and just for all...

Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #166,179
  • Jan 23, 2023 10:21am Jan 23, 2023 10:21am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I understand but based on rules it still is "noise"... I hide all such posts with no exceptions so that it is fair and just for all... Best wishes
There was no way to explain what was going on without mentioning Japan, sorry to hear that. And shame I wasted my time posting such a long explanation.
  • #166,180
  • Jan 23, 2023 10:23am Jan 23, 2023 10:23am
Quoting mtako
US has never defaulted on its debt. But last week it ran out of money, and "extraordinary" measures had to be put in place to avoid even more headless chickens running in the government Defaulting would have long-lasting negative effect on USD, as the simple fact that it never did is a big part of why there is such faith in USD to begin with. Anybody here care to elaborate, as I have always been very bad with fundamentals. Buy stop 08735 08938 09084 09208, each bringing previous position's SL at BE
Quoting Sauce
{quote} The reserve currency status is what fills the coffers of US. And the belief that the US would not default on its debt is what is backing the US dollar effectively since 1971. Over 1/3 of the 31 Trillion $ US debt is held by foreign countries leading being J with 1.4 T. As J is doing yield control while tryin to stop the exchange rate of J from crashing,...
Thank you so much mate! Great post, seriously really helps me!

On a funny note to you and Ata, I literally smacked my forehead on the wall when I saw what you had to write, the ordeal you put yourself through, mentioning those forbidden things, even though it was essential to understanding what is one of the most important influence on usd value... So I appreciate your sacrifice from the bottom of my heart mate !

But please, next time replace J**** and j** by ***** ***, maybe Ata won't notice then . Boy, you too made me laugh hard today, thanks, I needed that!!!

P.S >0870 I mentioned above, so 2nd most crucial moment here for me !!!
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
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