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  • #164,521
  • Jan 4, 2023 5:04am Jan 4, 2023 5:04am
It closed 4 bullish bars (15 min chart) without any significant volume, in these cases it must drop fast below a support level like, 1.0606... maybe in an hour from here it does. I can't imagine what will happen if it rises above the recent high at 1.0635 but it needs to be carefull also a fast rise to 1.0651.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #164,522
  • Jan 4, 2023 5:11am Jan 4, 2023 5:11am
Based on M30, I have 2 scenarios.. Nothing for sure, we don't know if 1.0629 area will successfully resist..

I personally want to go with scenario 1 for now, especially as long as candles keep opening above 1.0598..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-M30.png Size: 19 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #164,523
  • Jan 4, 2023 5:29am Jan 4, 2023 5:29am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Based on M30, I have 2 scenarios.. Nothing for sure, we don't know if 1.0629 area will successfully resist.. I personally want to go with scenario 1 for now, especially as long as candles keep opening above 1.0598.. {image}
Well-done man! there is so much trick to the scenarios today, maybe the coast will be clearer later, i think scenario 2 is more probable for the fact that 1.06370 area is still holding as resistance, and i think{now psychology}, the shenanigan masters seem to have already sold yesterday, now looking to take out retails that sold with them before they sell again. Maybe, maybe not
  • #164,524
  • Jan 4, 2023 5:38am Jan 4, 2023 5:38am
Quoting dele5000
{quote} Well-done man! there is so much trick to the scenarios today, maybe the coast will be clearer later, i think scenario 2 is more probable for the fact that 1.06370 area is still holding as resistance, and i think{now psychology}, the shenanigan masters seem to have already sold yesterday, now looking to take out retails that sold with them before they sell again. Maybe, maybe not
Thanks brother... So, first I will try to buy the dip toward 1.0598 but I am aware that I might get sucker-punched.. So I will do my best to react quick in case scenario 1 fails.. Let's see..

Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #164,525
  • Jan 4, 2023 5:46am Jan 4, 2023 5:46am
Additionally, for those who trade based on RSI hidden divergence, I think one is building up on 15M,, which I think is bearish, I don't know whether ATA use hidden divergence
  • #164,526
  • Jan 4, 2023 5:52am Jan 4, 2023 5:52am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Thanks brother... So, first I will try to buy the dip toward 1.0598 but I am aware that I might get sucker-punched.. So I will do my best to react quick in case scenario 1 fails.. Let's see.. Best wishes
Euro en route haha.. 1.07 was such a good price..
  • #164,527
  • Jan 4, 2023 5:58am Jan 4, 2023 5:58am
Quoting v2vboni
{quote} Updated positions - with same TP @ 1.05990 It will be interesting to see if Frankfurt FX fixing pushes up the price even more @ current price or returns to current week VWAP area. --- @ post time: 1.05974 {image}
Updated positions: New TP @ 1.05940... a little above the Weekly VWAP (NY Day session)

I believe this price area will become resistance if it drops below or on the NY Weekly VWAP. Then, once my target is reached... My plan is to buy dips before/on/during the NY session.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2023-01-04 at 7.53.48 PM.png Size: 73 KB
Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #164,528
  • Jan 4, 2023 6:05am Jan 4, 2023 6:05am
Stepping down to M1 to chase precise long entry..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #164,529
  • Jan 4, 2023 6:10am Jan 4, 2023 6:10am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Stepping down to M1 to chase precise long entry..
Check that divergence on 15M before pulling the trigger
  • #164,530
  • Jan 4, 2023 6:13am Jan 4, 2023 6:13am
Quoting dele5000
{quote} Check that divergence on 15M before pulling the trigger
Thanks.. I have no divergence with my own settings...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #164,531
  • Jan 4, 2023 6:19am Jan 4, 2023 6:19am
EUR/USD 15M Chart

Short..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD 15M.png Size: 21 KB
  • #164,532
  • Jan 4, 2023 6:31am Jan 4, 2023 6:31am
According to 15M and 1M: I am buying from 1.06077 level with 8 pips stop.
Swing Trader
  • #164,533
  • Jan 4, 2023 6:38am Jan 4, 2023 6:38am
It moves very slow and still hours until the news. I am sure the FED today will keep its hawkish bias (will still hike in next meeting/s) but also will give a dovish message because of a slow down in prices and rates. Also needs to watch if the FED hasn't got any plans to cut rates at 2023, that is EU bearish.

For the time anything below 1.0450 and above 1.0700 should be a trade towards the center again -> 1.0575.

... dropping, come on bears you can make it! Sorry bulls!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #164,534
  • Jan 4, 2023 6:41am Jan 4, 2023 6:41am
Quoting mustafayucel
According to 15M and 1M: I am buying from 1.06077 level with 8 pips stop.
stopped at -8 pips
Swing Trader
  • #164,535
  • Jan 4, 2023 6:49am Jan 4, 2023 6:49am
Just went long at 1.0601... Stop: 20 pips... Tp: Open...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #164,536
  • Jan 4, 2023 6:59am Jan 4, 2023 6:59am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Just went long at 1.0601... Stop: 20 pips... Tp: Open...
Moving stop to breakeven... zero risk...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #164,537
  • Jan 4, 2023 7:06am Jan 4, 2023 7:06am
We also can see the price trading inside this channel until something very strong breaks it, 1.0684 - 1.0520 can also guard a more significant move outside it.

15 min chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 16 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #164,538
  • Jan 4, 2023 7:11am Jan 4, 2023 7:11am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Moving stop to breakeven... zero risk...
will fund a separate account for this strategy at times i miss out on a good numbers. My stop is always fixed at 20pips but buy and large I never regret any decision that went against me
  • #164,539
  • Jan 4, 2023 7:16am Jan 4, 2023 7:16am
Busted at breakeven.. That's the best I can do trying to buy against surprise bear pressure and escaping without any losses

Waiting for next opportunity.. I still must try to buy dips based on M30!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #164,540
  • Jan 4, 2023 7:16am Jan 4, 2023 7:16am
difficult follow but not to fight with top ranging anyway ! may more even , now test try 0650 to next may even more above 0683 if ! take care
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 14 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 18 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
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