MY Journal-phil13

It is hard for me to learn intentions. I note aud has some red news so I did not know if they're playing before it?

My man was trending long so I went that way then huge selling kicked in inside small bodied candle and huge selling in the pullback but they left some nearby liquidity on first run which I thought was weird - I have seen them do this before and it then formed a lower high to reverse but dangerous to anticipate that so this time it did not but did super smash long to hit that liquidity.



Alex

is they buying USD now??????.......... early signs possibily?

huge amounts of buying and selling in my man


Alex

time for me to drop out for at least a while if not the whole day, something is not right within me to be able to get 'in/with the flow' 2nd loss trade today.


hope everyone else is having better luck than me today.

as traders we all get these days and the quicker you can recognise it and take action the better it is for your account safety.

I feel a bit the same - what is going on??


Alex

Hi Alex

we just get days like this, either we are just not in tune with what is going on or 'they' are managing to fool us, either way better to be off the battlefield at times like this and wait for things to settle.

AOW....

1. Sun Tzu said: The art of war is of vital importance to the State.
2. It is a matter of life and death, a road either to safety or to ruin. Hence it
is a subject of inquiry which can on no account be neglected.
11. Therefore, in your deliberations, when seeking to determine the military
conditions, let them be made the basis of a comparison, in this wise:–
(a) Which of the two sovereigns is imbued with the Moral law?
(b) Which of the two generals has most ability?
(c) With whom lie the advantages derived from Heaven and Earth?
(d) On which side is discipline most rigorously enforced?
(e) Which army is stronger?
(f) On which side are officers and men more highly trained?
(g) In which army is there the greater constancy both in reward and punishment?
12. By means of these seven considerations I can forecast victory or defeat.
16. All warfare is based on deception.
24. Now the general who wins a battle makes many calculations in his temple
ere the battle is fought. The general who loses a battle makes but few
calculations beforehand. Thus do many calculations lead to victory, and
few calculations to defeat: how much more no calculation at all! It is by
attention to this point that I can foresee who is likely to win or lose.

7. It is only one who is thoroughly acquainted with the evils of war that can
thoroughly understand the profitable way of carrying it on.
8. The skillful soldier does not raise a second levy, neither are his supplywagons
loaded more than twice.

14. Thus we may know that there are five essentials for victory:
(a) He will win who knows when to fight and when not to fight.
(b) He will win who knows how to handle both superior and inferior
forces.
(c) He will win whose army is animated by the same spirit throughout
all its ranks.
(d) He will win who, prepared himself, waits to take the enemy unprepared.
(e) He will win who has military capacity and is not interfered with by
the sovereign.
15. Hence the saying: If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need
not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the
enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know
neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.

1. Sun Tzu said: The good fighters of old first put themselves beyond the
possibility of defeat, and then waited for an opportunity of defeating the
enemy.
2. To secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity
of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.
3. Thus the good fighter is able to secure himself against defeat, but cannot
make certain of defeating the enemy.
4. Hence the saying: One may know how to conquer without being able to
do it.
5. Security against defeat implies defensive tactics; ability to defeat the
enemy means taking the offensive.
15. Thus it is that in war the victorious strategist only seeks battle after the
victory has been won, whereas he who is destined to defeat first fights
and afterwards looks for victory.
19. Thus one who is skillful at keeping the enemy on the move maintains deceitful
appearances, according to which the enemy will act. He sacrifices
something, that the enemy may snatch at it.

2. Therefore the clever combatant imposes his will on the enemy, but does
not allow the enemy’s will to be imposed on him.
7. You can be sure of succeeding in your attacks if you only attack places
which are undefended.You can ensure the safety of your defense if you
only hold positions that cannot be attacked.
8. Hence that general is skillful in attack whose opponent does not know
what to defend; and he is skillful in defense whose opponent does not
know what to attack.
9. O divine art of subtlety and secrecy! Through you we learn to be invisible,
through you inaudible; and hence we can hold the enemy’s fate in our
hands.
12. If we do not wish to fight, we can prevent the enemy from engaging us
even though the lines of our encampment be merely traced out on the
ground. All we need do is to throw something odd and unaccountable in
his way.
13. By discovering the enemy’s dispositions and remaining invisible ourselves,
we can keep our forces concentrated, while the enemy’s must be divided.
14. We can form a single united body, while the enemy must split up into
fractions. Hence there will be a whole pitted against separate parts of a
whole, which means that we shall be many to the enemy’s few.
15. And if we are able thus to attack an inferior force with a superior one, our
opponents will be in dire straits.
24. Carefully compare the opposing army with your own, so that you may
know where strength is superabundant and where it is deficient.
25. In making tactical dispositions, the highest pitch you can attain is to conceal
them; conceal your dispositions, and you will be safe from the prying
of the subtlest spies, from the machinations of the wisest brains.
26. How victory may be produced for them out of the enemy’s own tactics–
that is what the multitude cannot comprehend.
27. All men can see the tactics whereby I conquer, but what none can see is
the strategy out of which victory is evolved.
29. Military tactics are like unto water; for water in its natural course runs
away from high places and hastens downwards.
30. So in war, the way is to avoid what is strong and to strike at what is weak.
31. Water shapes its course according to the nature of the ground over which
it flows; the soldier works out his victory in relation to the foe whom he
is facing.
32. Therefore, just as water retains no constant shape, so in warfare there are
no constant conditions.
33. He who can modify his tactics in relation to his opponent and thereby
succeed in winning, may be called a heaven-born captain.
34. The five elements (water, fire, wood, metal, earth) are not always equally
predominant; the four seasons make way for each other in turn. There are
short days and long; the moon has its periods of waning and waxing.

21. Ponder and deliberate before you make a move.
22. He will conquer who has learnt the artifice of deviation. Such is the art of
maneuvering.
29. A clever general, therefore, avoids an army when its spirit is keen, but
attacks it when it is sluggish and inclined to return. This is the art of
studying moods.
30. Disciplined and calm, to await the appearance of disorder and hubbub
amongst the enemy:–this is the art of retaining self-possession.
31. To be near the goal while the enemy is still far from it, to wait at ease
while the enemy is toiling and struggling, to be well-fed while the enemy
is famished:–this is the art of husbanding one’s strength.
34. Do not pursue an enemy who simulates flight; do not attack soldiers whose
temper is keen.
35. Do not swallow bait offered by the enemy. Do not interfere with an army
that is returning home.

3. There are roads which must not be followed, armies which must be not
attacked, towns which must not be besieged, positions which must not be
contested, commands of the sovereign which must not be obeyed.
4. The general who thoroughly understands the advantages that accompany
variation of tactics knows how to handle his troops.
5. The general who does not understand these, may be well acquainted with
the configuration of the country, yet he will not be able to turn his knowledge
to practical account.
6. So, the student of war who is unversed in the art of war of varying his
plans, even though he be acquainted with the Five Advantages, will fail
to make the best use of his men.
7. Hence in the wise leader’s plans, considerations of advantage and of disadvantage
will be blended together.
22. He who knows these things, and in fighting puts his knowledge into practice,
will win his battles. He who knows them not, nor practices them, will
surely be defeated.
24. The general who advances without coveting fame and retreats without
fearing disgrace, whose only thought is to protect his country and do good
service for his sovereign, is the jewel of the kingdom.

I took a couple of longs when pullback looked weak (failed to make a lower low or run out of steam) and took them out at highs immediately Then stood aside as too confusing.


Alex

just made a new daily high, let see if i can get with it now.

trade off above comment........

last trade of the day pre news.........

first quick trade of the day.....

waiting until after the news release in about 35mins before i consider another trade now.......

i could not trade after the last trade above and i will not be trading the news in a short while, i see there was a good move today i hope you all caught some of it.

i will not be trading the rest of the week, hopefully i will trading again on Monday, hope you all do well today and tomorrow.

Have a great weekend . Thanks so much for all your help and charting.

Alex

Hi Alex

no problem, happy to help anyone who helps themselves as our friend wanted us to do.

you and everyone have a great weekend too.

first trade of the week is out at B/E......

Today luck on my side - sat at desk and bear trap was immediately obvious at London open -(bear breakout candle turned into tail bull candle and confirmed inside the next candle with super bull momentum) changed position from short potential to long. The momentum was huge for bulls.


Alex

Hi Alex

well done, good to hear you got some pips, i see it go long in G/U but was waiting for liquidity area before i traded, i just felt that way today so i waited until price hit the H1 OB and started trading there. as they say bulls make money bears make money but pigs get slaughtered. truth is bit tired as we had a heavy weekend so was not fussed about catching every move.

2nd and last trade of the day......

no trading for me yet USDX is in a walled city, that will make it difficult to trade....