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The Swamp

  • #105,681
  • Nov 18, 2022 2:50pm Nov 18, 2022 2:50pm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,682
  • Nov 18, 2022 3:05pm Nov 18, 2022 3:05pm
- interest in yen,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,683
  • Nov 18, 2022 3:07pm Nov 18, 2022 3:07pm
UJ is still on the bullish side of some support i see. Next week if things change, I will change bias.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,684
  • Nov 19, 2022 8:54am Nov 19, 2022 8:54am
Folk's are starting to call Elon space Karen
  • #105,685
  • Edited 11:04am Nov 19, 2022 10:52am | Edited 11:04am
X-Files...Hundreds of sheep walk in a circle for over 10 days in N China's Inner Mongolia...
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Or not...20 years in a Zoo, followed by 7 years in freedom...
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I am who I am
  • #105,686
  • Nov 19, 2022 5:55pm Nov 19, 2022 5:55pm
Quoting imwim
X-Files...Hundreds of sheep walk in a circle for over 10 days in N China's Inner Mongolia... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q1jc...el=Leonhart306 Or not...20 years in a Zoo, followed by 7 years in freedom... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0pfo...annel=ionution
We got a wildlife place over here with thousands of grazing animals. They did something similar just before hurricane Katrina.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,687
  • Nov 20, 2022 9:50am Nov 20, 2022 9:50am
Is it possible to live forever?
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I am who I am
  • #105,688
  • Edited 9:37am Nov 21, 2022 8:58am | Edited 9:37am
Quoting gatorinla
UJ is still on the bullish side of some support i see. Next week if things change, I will change bias. {image}
UJ. If your nervous 142.23 may be a place to take some off. 144.80 is another. After 145.66 algo another.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,689
  • Nov 21, 2022 9:32am Nov 21, 2022 9:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} UJ. If your nervous 142.23 may be a place to take some off. 14480 is another. After 145.66 algo another. {image}
typo. missed a decimal obviously. 144.80
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,690
  • Nov 21, 2022 10:00am Nov 21, 2022 10:00am
using a dynamic eu sell, if it bounces. Somewhere in the 1.0349 area. Not to buy to it. Just to sell if it reaches that area.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,691
  • Nov 21, 2022 10:07am Nov 21, 2022 10:07am
Quoting gatorinla
using a dynamic eu sell, if it bounces. Somewhere in the 1.0349 area. Not to buy to it. Just to sell if it reaches that area.
The same with the unlikely xau/usd bounce 1760ish. Gold
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,692
  • Nov 21, 2022 10:19am Nov 21, 2022 10:19am
Quoting gatorinla
using a dynamic eu sell, if it bounces. Somewhere in the 1.0349 area. Not to buy to it. Just to sell if it reaches that area.
so gator we would not see 1.08xxx instead 1.048xx is the high of EU we have seen after long bearish movements in previous months? is it EU will drop much to 0.93xxx as stocks will go lower to incoming months when entering 2023?
  • #105,693
  • Nov 21, 2022 10:42am Nov 21, 2022 10:42am
Quoting hans91
{quote} so gator we would not see 1.08xxx instead 1.048xx is the high of EU we have seen after long bearish movements in previous months? is it EU will drop much to 0.93xxx as stocks will go lower to incoming months when entering 2023?
I dont know. Your looking for an answer, I dont know. I do R/R. At .9595/slip. The long was to 1.0349, or 1.0805.5. It at the time gave both those options. After Dec that option grows to 1.11xx. When pa reached .9595/slip that was the time to look for a long. When pa reached 1.0349/slip. that was the time to look for a short, or consider options. Keeping in mind it may go to 1.0805. Now your in the middle. The R/R advantage is lost here. The odds of getting chopped up increases in the middle. Most of the R/R advantage is now gone. This bounce was tricky because 1.0349 and 1.0805 had a shot. 1.0805 still does. But since its been to 1.0349+. It may just be retracing, before 1.0805. I dont know. A smaller algo at .9975/slip may bounce it. .9595 was a big number. 1.0349 or 1.0805 are smaller.

This wont answer what you want to know. But I keep saying hunt in the high grass. This is not the high grass atm. If your a scalper this wont help you. You need to find a scalpers high grass.
1.0354 may give a shot to enter a short. But if its going to 1.0805, maybe not. But if you thought it was going to .9975. You could find some decent R/R. If you didnt overleverage. Lets say 1.0350 held R, to tp .9975. that's about 375 pips. 10% of the 375 pip is 37 pips of risk. You can do rest of the math. The entry may never come.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,694
  • Nov 21, 2022 10:53am Nov 21, 2022 10:53am
Quoting hans91
{quote} so gator we would not see 1.08xxx instead 1.048xx is the high of EU we have seen after long bearish movements in previous months? is it EU will drop much to 0.93xxx as stocks will go lower to incoming months when entering 2023?
EU pa is very bearish. I have no reason to long. But if it retraces 50% or hits the 4h 20 sma. (common retraces) That may be a short. I just wait. Then trade in the short direction. If wrong, my stops will be small. The point being, find some tall grass. The water hole is here. I already know my risk. if you have to be in a trade at all moments. Find another way to make money.
You want your stops to be hit if wrong. Try to be right. Try to wait for the exact point you want. Practice.. People moving there stops so they wont be hit, will overleverage.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,695
  • Nov 21, 2022 11:02am Nov 21, 2022 11:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The same with the unlikely xau/usd bounce 1760ish. Gold
Not a call to long.. Waiting to short
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,696
  • Nov 21, 2022 11:07am Nov 21, 2022 11:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} EU pa is very bearish. I have no reason to long. But if it retraces 50% or hits the 4h 20 sma. (common retraces) That may be a short. I just wait. Then trade in the short direction. If wrong, my stops will be small. The point being, find some tall grass. The water hole is here. I already know my risk. if you have to be in a trade at all moments. Find another way to make money. You want your stops to be hit if wrong. Try to be right. Try to wait for the exact point you want. Practice.. People moving there stops so they wont be hit, will overleverage....
EU, Not looking like a bounce atm. 1.0208 may be the next shot. ADR (1.0201) is there and a 50% (1.0208)
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,697
  • Nov 21, 2022 12:40pm Nov 21, 2022 12:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} EU, Not looking like a bounce atm. 1.0208 may be the next shot. ADR (1.0201) is there and a 50% (1.0208)
I wrote .9975 for a week or 2. Its larger than 1.0221. The atm low is 1.0222. There is some light mid support at 1.0208. So just in case 1.0805.5 is pulling it. Be a little careful after 1.0221 is reached. It may bounce 1.0208. In the middle, can chop one up. It can give the smaller false signals, and end up going to those larger like 1.0805. I know its looking bearish. So dont allow it to trap you. The middle can set traps. Cot Had the NC as long.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,698
  • Edited 9:20pm Nov 21, 2022 6:55pm | Edited 9:20pm
AUD/NZD may have a place to look for a possible long. 1.0739/40 ish.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,699
  • Nov 22, 2022 1:23am Nov 22, 2022 1:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know. Your looking for an answer, I dont know. I do R/R. At .9595/slip. The long was to 1.0349, or 1.0805.5. It at the time gave both those options. After Dec that option grows to 1.11xx. When pa reached .9595/slip that was the time to look for a long. When pa reached 1.0349/slip. that was the time to look for a short, or consider options. Keeping in mind it may go to 1.0805. Now your in the middle. The R/R advantage is lost here. The odds of getting chopped up increases in the middle. Most of the R/R advantage is now gone. This bounce...
Yes, i might think that it's heavy for EU to reach 1.08..even 1.04 cannot holding for long time, i think now it's time to back to parity again.
  • #105,700
  • Edited 2:07am Nov 22, 2022 1:53am | Edited 2:07am
Quoting gatorinla
AUD/NZD may have a place to look for a possible long. 1.0739/40 ish. {image}
Yes I was looking at that pair. I was thinking 1.06 to 1.08 might be a buy. RBNZ weds.
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