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  • #161,021
  • Nov 12, 2022 8:42am Nov 12, 2022 8:42am
Daily Outlook for Monday-Tuesday

I keep it short and simple: whatever you think could happen will probably happen around the yellow circle.. No rush!

Watch: 1.0395 area.... (1.0430 is touch to next parallel line)

Keep enjoying your weekends
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #161,022
  • Nov 12, 2022 8:54am Nov 12, 2022 8:54am
Quoting ForexGoose
next week, the bears or sheep should be getting stalled once again and bulls might get to 1.05 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRNhVyLTXk4
i do think EU will not reach there, as in 2 days arrow, EU already reach around 430 pips up, so might be a retracement happen to 1.018xx at least. i stick to bulls for DXY next week, but i might be wrong of course.
  • #161,023
  • Nov 12, 2022 10:06am Nov 12, 2022 10:06am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Daily Outlook for Monday-Tuesday I keep it short and simple: whatever you think could happen will probably happen around the yellow circle.. No rush! Watch: 1.0395 area.... (1.0430 is touch to next parallel line) Keep enjoying your weekends {image}

My observation area was 1.0390
And 200 DMA at 1.0434

So important supply zone

I will sell on gap up opening on Monday
PaRaM
  • #161,024
  • Nov 12, 2022 10:30am Nov 12, 2022 10:30am
So many optimistic forecasts ... The war in Europe is over, maybe I missed something ?!
Winter has already passed, the energy crisis has passed and the threat of a global recession?!
I was hoping to read opinions here about the timing of the return to 0.95 .... however, the mood is different ..
  • #161,025
  • Nov 12, 2022 10:41am Nov 12, 2022 10:41am
looks like the bullish engulfing confirmation was totally valid ... am gona wait for the retest to add more buys
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  • #161,026
  • Nov 12, 2022 10:49am Nov 12, 2022 10:49am
Quoting Broke.Ricch
looks like the bullish engulfing confirmation was totally valid ... am gona wait for the retest to add more buys {image}
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  • #161,027
  • Nov 12, 2022 11:43am Nov 12, 2022 11:43am
Quoting Sniper-FX
So many optimistic forecasts ... The war in Europe is over, maybe I missed something ?! Winter has already passed, the energy crisis has passed and the threat of a global recession?! I was hoping to read opinions here about the timing of the return to 0.95 .... however, the mood is different ..
You will found ever a statement in the press for that move or that move. Emotion driven market are working at its own way. I do not count fundamentals in my desicions, only what I can see in my chart. It make for me no sense to grab out of news a foundation for upcoming moves. Why we are over parity? Why this at the time many are seems against this? Yes it must go ever deeper as long we have all the negative crisis? So we have a endless down move because such news? See how this not working.
Perfection is the enemy of good enough!
  • #161,028
  • Nov 12, 2022 1:52pm Nov 12, 2022 1:52pm
Quoting MichaelSch
{quote} You will found ever a statement in the press for that move or that move. Emotion driven market are working at its own way. I do not count fundamentals in my decisions, only what I can see in my chart. It make for me no sense to grab out of news a foundation for upcoming moves. Why we are over parity? Why this at the time many are seems against this? Yes it must go ever deeper as long we have all the negative crisis? So we have a endless down move because such news? See how this not working.
Can't agree more and price behaving like this proves us right over and over, again and again...

I personally have 2 rules: "Never trade inside the hour of news" and "Always stick to your chart and your system!" Period!

Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #161,029
  • Nov 12, 2022 2:02pm Nov 12, 2022 2:02pm
General opinion:

DXY is in a weekly order block and EU is at a key weekly resistance level. EU did not fill the liquidity gaps in this exit. When I take all these into account, my general view is that the EU will be on a downward trend in the coming days.
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Swing Trader
  • #161,030
  • Nov 12, 2022 5:59pm Nov 12, 2022 5:59pm
This is the opinion of beginners... Of course the market depends on the situation in the world.. this is proven by history.. You do not have those levers for analysis.. to understand it completely. You perceive short-term growth as a rule, very soon the euro will be below parity, let's see and discuss this later?!
  • #161,031
  • Nov 12, 2022 11:11pm Nov 12, 2022 11:11pm
Next week 1.0185 could be revisited
PaRaM
  • #161,032
  • Nov 13, 2022 3:10am Nov 13, 2022 3:10am
EURUSD had a very good week, it almost took out 1.0369 as it rised above 1.0198 on bad news for the Dollar and some market optimism about lower gas prices in Europe.

The upside move is considered a consolidation and it can fall easy as it rised so be carefull with your longs and don't underestimate the bears they could be out there hiding around here and the S2 Yearly level - see weekly chart.

The pips that the EU can travel at the next week are 211 but any news can help it rise above that number.

For now its good to watch for price action and news that will support any move, have a great rest of the weekend.

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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #161,033
  • Nov 13, 2022 3:31am Nov 13, 2022 3:31am
Quoting Sniper-FX
This is the opinion of beginners... Of course the market depends on the situation in the world.. this is proven by history.. You do not have those levers for analysis.. to understand it completely. You perceive short-term growth as a rule, very soon the euro will be below parity, let's see and discuss this later?!
Means if we have someday no more news, we have zero movement? Sorry you have yet no clue how this work. Decades back people have extract how markets react. Nothing more can be explore, because human behavior in markets same as for hundreds years ago. Next year you will see a rise of eurusd. Now you can search for fundamentals that suit it. Means not that this will because of this news.
Perfection is the enemy of good enough!
  • #161,034
  • Nov 13, 2022 4:38am Nov 13, 2022 4:38am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Daily Outlook for Monday-Tuesday I keep it short and simple: whatever you think could happen will probably happen around the yellow circle.. No rush! Watch: 1.0395 area.... (1.0430 is touch to next parallel line) Keep enjoying your weekends {image}
Pls bro I need a favour can you kindly share this daily template and indicators that made it up.Thanks
  • #161,035
  • Nov 13, 2022 7:16am Nov 13, 2022 7:16am
Daily timeframe below. As you can see, e/u has now just entered an important zone, which is currently acting as supply, and the 200ma is also quite close.

Next few weeks will be quite interesting, not sure how much weight one CPI print will have.
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  • #161,036
  • Nov 13, 2022 8:12am Nov 13, 2022 8:12am
index 4htf
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  • #161,037
  • Nov 13, 2022 8:54am Nov 13, 2022 8:54am
I read your post and don't know what to answer... If there is no news, there will be no life... let alone the market. Believe the person who has earned six-figure accounts in the market.. Can you boast of this? The euro will soon be below parity again..want to bet?!)
  • #161,038
  • Nov 13, 2022 9:24am Nov 13, 2022 9:24am
Quoting Slingshots1
{quote} Pls bro I need a favour can you kindly share this daily template and indicators that made it up.Thanks
My MACD indicator has some bugs which I am still trying to solve and therefore I don't want to share it for now. Please don't mind me.
The parallel lines, price tags, highlight-circle, etc. etc. are all placed manually.

I can only share my colored moving average indicator, which I already shared a year ago... The settings that I use on my DAILY chart can be seen on the image below...

I hope it helps
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Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 AtasBetterMA.ex4   12 KB | 365 downloads
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #161,039
  • Nov 13, 2022 9:35am Nov 13, 2022 9:35am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} My MACD indicator has some bugs which I am still trying to solve and therefore I don't want to share it for now. Please don't mind me. The parallel lines, price tags, highlight-circle, etc. etc. are all placed manually. I can only share my colored moving average indicator, which I already shared a year ago... The settings that I use on my DAILY chart can be seen on the image below... I hope it helps {file} {image}

Thanks for sharing

Will be waiting for your MACD indicators whenever it is ready

Hope it gets ready soon
PaRaM
  • #161,040
  • Nov 13, 2022 12:52pm Nov 13, 2022 12:52pm
Happy Sunday night dear fellow traders.

In my view, this kind of higher-than-average power can indicate the end of the correction just as it can indicate an even deeper up continuation, perhaps even be the end to this downtrend.

But there is still much room for struggles and the downtrend could actually soon be in its prime, as crazy as that sounds.

Now, I find that it is worth zooming out a bit to see what happened at these levels earlier this year, and factor in the significant past hurdles present, all the while keeping in mind that anything is possible, both ways, and preparing across the board is most important !
Zooming out to Monthly is interesting but of less importance in terms of trading as we lack data on that scale(for me ! as I'm a data guy, no offense to anti-history traders!).

Cheers all, may the coming week bring you great trading as well as great joy !!!!

P.S My own most recent and longest of this downtrend bear excursion has come to an end last week with the closure of over a thousand positions, not only with this instrument. Same old same old as my friend Ata would say . I will spare you my lovely live shared series of crazy shorts that survived in a sea of BE's, losses and wins, and all other details, as I realize it is not of interest to the vast majority of this thread's readers, the kind of post of which I wrote in the past but got little to no interest the vast majority of the times, and that's fine, but along with the multiplying demands to stop sharing freely in this thread, I am abstaining further, as the last weeks have shown, and I sure hope it is appreciated as much as I hoped, and will continue to refrain from sharing here as much as I would like..... blah blah blah. If I am wrong about a few of you, my deepest apologies! Feel free to discover more about me and the bulk of my trading in my past posts, from my profile. When zooming out, a bit like with a chart, there is more than meets the eye in any trader's world.
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
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