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  • Post #160,961
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 2:14am Nov 11, 2022 2:14am
  •  Austyno
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Discipline creates Lifestyle | 1,896 Posts
We are experience the 30ema effect on weekly, we could get a sell-off to 0.98880 region, buyers beware. There's limited room up...more room down.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
 
1
  • Post #160,962
  • Quote
  • Edited 3:04am Nov 11, 2022 2:34am | Edited 3:04am
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 18,518 Posts
Though closed longs early yet bull successfuly breaks earliest signal 0197, now looks target weekly goes next signal 0267 , and next 0367 go on. Lets see when to join again from Lower tf wave patterns next or next week. Take care.
Checking smaller tf, though not in driving seat like higher tf anyway wants go target, looks simply crazy running up on very sharp edges! Limit down for up is 0096 and if try for it while if correct start likely below 0110 may easily fail and great failure may ensues. So go continue crazy up or take great failure next and must continue above 0096.
Earliest signal failure top 0234 breaks down, 1st signal 0207 and 1st confirmation 0162, so waiting failure start to involve next. Looks 0267 resistance may work for today.
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Not understand?never follow my analyses!
 
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  • Post #160,963
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  • Nov 11, 2022 2:44am Nov 11, 2022 2:44am
  •  yvestrcz
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 906 Posts
Quoting Austyno
Disliked
Exciting day for bulls , hope you guys were not burnt, I expect a retracement to 1.01350 zone where bulls will most likely take back control and continue the towards the main target @ 1.03900(200ema on daily)
Ignored
Do you think the bullish revolution has already turned the trend or is it now plain premature to assume so?
 
1
  • Post #160,964
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 3:29am Nov 11, 2022 3:29am
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 1,175 Posts
Quoting nic9man
Disliked
According to my indicators 1.0320 area has potential for a massive turn.
Ignored
Just reconsidered the details, for me the short area is 1.0265 - 1.0325, not sure how far it will manage to squeeze.
Another day, another dollar.
 
 
  • Post #160,965
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  • Nov 11, 2022 3:31am Nov 11, 2022 3:31am
  •  Austyno
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Discipline creates Lifestyle | 1,896 Posts
Quoting yvestrcz
Disliked
{quote} Do you think the bullish revolution has already turned the trend or is it now plain premature to assume so?
Ignored
The trend for now is slightly bullish because of the current monthly candle. I actually think this month will close bearish, which will resume the major downtrend but lots of patience is required. The question is which monthly high will initiate the downpour... My guess is 1.03000 zone.

Another scenario is if this month doesn't close bearish, the next month will engulf it.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
 
1
  • Post #160,966
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  • Nov 11, 2022 3:57am Nov 11, 2022 3:57am
  •  Mitiblotch
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 7,257 Posts
Bear blood everywhere. I think they won't rest until they take out all shorts before the retracement will happen. Asia finally bought and London is buying. Scary. Imagine London buying 100 pips above from daily pivot! Lol...
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/mitiblotch/mt5-10567385/9464692
 
 
  • Post #160,967
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 3:58am Nov 11, 2022 3:58am
  •  fxcontest
  • | Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Member | 563 Posts
Quoting fxcontest
Disliked
{quote} SL All Buy 1.0206 -1.210, trailing 22 pips, watching 1.0245
Ignored
1.0245 breakout, then 1.0348 or 1.0365
 
 
  • Post #160,968
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  • Nov 11, 2022 4:06am Nov 11, 2022 4:06am
  •  cchin
  • Joined Aug 2022 | Status: Member | 236 Posts
Price did attempt higher following my last post here.

It broke above 1.02 level this morning, when London came in, continue buying USD. DXY dipped below a short-term support, that fuelled the rally on EURUSD. Now, I'm expecting price to test the 100% Fib level I mentioned previously, at 1.036 (H6 chart, PP2). After that, there's a small chance it might attempt 1.042 with a wick up (D1 chart, WP2), before retreating.

This morning, pre-London open, I saw the price bounce off the 168% Fib @ 1.02 line, testing that level on shorter time frames, turning it into short term support for now. Rally can continue, given renewed optimism in the global risk markets.

It could be trading range bound next week, since we already had two, well three high impact news events during the first 10 days of November: NFP, CPI, and FOMC. There needs to be a strong fundamental trigger for market to buy back US dollar, otherwise EURUSD will have difficulty going down. Parity (also 261% Fib) is a very strong support for now.

I'll travel after today, so will not check-in on threads too freqeuntly. I'm thorwing in a second chart (D1 time frame). The 200-SMA on daily is now at 1.042 (61% Fib). See you guys after next week, if there's no wild moves on the EURUSD pair in the mean time.
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  • Post #160,969
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  • Nov 11, 2022 4:10am Nov 11, 2022 4:10am
  •  Mitiblotch
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 7,257 Posts
Quoting cchin
Disliked
Price did attempt higher following my last post here. It broke above 1.02 level this morning, when London came in, continue buying USD. DXY dipped below a short-term support, that fuelled the rally on EURUSD. Now, I'm expecting price to test the 100% Fib level I mentioned previously, at 1.036 (H6 chart, PP2). After that, there's a small chance it might attempt 1.042 with a wick up (D1 chart, WP2), before retreating. This morning, pre-London open, I saw the price bounce off...
Ignored
Very soon all your trades will come out in profit. Does your broker not charge you swaps, or there is another way you mitigate that?
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/mitiblotch/mt5-10567385/9464692
 
 
  • Post #160,970
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  • Nov 11, 2022 4:10am Nov 11, 2022 4:10am
  •  Erkat
  • Joined Jan 2022 | Status: Member | 425 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Erkat
Disliked
{quote} {image} Based on the previous analysis, we are now in the range of the wave indicated by the red arrow.
Ignored
Most likely, the wave indicated by the red arrow has ended and we are about to start the wave indicated by the blue arrow
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  • Post #160,971
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 4:14am Nov 11, 2022 4:14am
  •  Mitiblotch
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 7,257 Posts
First good 1minute emgulfing sell candle with Hugh volume and followed by some others. Let's see if there will be break ofmstructure around this area then it means 1.0273 might hold for the day if the Soverign price movers agree. On another though we have about 1.2bn worth of options expiring around 1.0240. This might keep price close around this area before taking a good dip.
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/mitiblotch/mt5-10567385/9464692
 
 
  • Post #160,972
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 4:29am Nov 11, 2022 4:29am
  •  cchin
  • Joined Aug 2022 | Status: Member | 236 Posts
Quoting Mitiblotch
Disliked
{quote} Very soon all your trades will come out in profit. Does your broker not charge you swaps, or there is another way you mitigate that?
Ignored
Yes, that was answered back in Aug 19: here.
 
1
  • Post #160,973
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 5:03am Nov 11, 2022 5:03am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,795 Posts
1.0285/1.0300 may stop its advance but we will not see a significant drop and the start of a new downtrend yet simply because later in the US session the banks are closed for the Veterans day - Holiday.
Feels right this time!
 
1
  • Post #160,974
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 5:16am Nov 11, 2022 5:16am
  •  johncen
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 3,888 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Disliked
1.0285/1.0300 may stop its advance but we will not see a significant drop and the start of a new downtrend yet simply because later in the US session the banks are closed for the Veterans day - Holiday.
Ignored
Yup didnt see much room for bear today. But too high to add any long! I am still keeping one long trade from the bottom and now short from 0272, aiming 0240ish only.

or should probably see 0220
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
 
  • Post #160,975
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 5:23am Nov 11, 2022 5:23am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,795 Posts
Quoting johncen
Disliked
{quote} Yup didnt see much room for bear today. But too high to add any long! I am still keeping one long trade from the bottom and now short from 0272, aiming 0240ish only. or should probably see 0220
Ignored
Maybe 1.0235/27 zone, but only below your target! A bullish weekly close is coming.
Feels right this time!
 
 
  • Post #160,976
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 5:26am Nov 11, 2022 5:26am
  •  johncen
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 3,888 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Disliked
{quote} Maybe 1.0235/27 zone, but only below your target! A bullish weekly close is coming.
Ignored
Yup yup likely the case. Will be my last trade of the week. Green pips to you
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
 
 
  • Post #160,977
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 5:27am Nov 11, 2022 5:27am
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 1,175 Posts
1/2 short active, SL 1.04.
Another day, another dollar.
 
 
  • Post #160,978
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 5:34am Nov 11, 2022 5:34am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,795 Posts
Quoting johncen
Disliked
{quote} Yup yup likely the case. Will be my last trade of the week. Green pips to you
Ignored
Thanks I'll trade the next week again, green pips!
Feels right this time!
 
 
  • Post #160,979
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 5:50am Nov 11, 2022 5:50am
  •  yvestrcz
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 906 Posts
Going short from 1.0272 for the hell of it.
 
1
  • Post #160,980
  • Quote
  • Nov 11, 2022 5:52am Nov 11, 2022 5:52am
  •  numbercutter
  • Joined Jul 2022 | Status: Member | 102 Posts
added more shorts (im slowly running outta margin) as we are completely offroad and i think we just hit a deer... potentially waking up the bear next door. target is bottom of the road and if movement is nice the deep blue sea awaits
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slicendice All Time Return: 5.8%
 
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